Event Groups

Related markets are grouped into one event ladder. Probability sums are informational until Polymarket outcome exhaustiveness and mutual exclusivity are verified.

Fed Decision in July?

5 markets · summed official 24h volume $3.5M · official metadata 5/5
Σp 100.6%
+0.6 pp · informational
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?73.8¢P51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?25.7¢P0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.7¢P0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.4¢P0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.1¢P0

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

17 markets · summed official 24h volume $2.6M · official metadata 17/17
Σp 102.8%
+2.8 pp · informational
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?45.5¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?28.5¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?15.3¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?9.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?1.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?0.7¢P0Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?0.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?0.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?0.4¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?0.3¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?0.3¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?0.3¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?0.1¢P0Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?0.1¢P0

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B

3 markets · summed official 24h volume $783.3K · official metadata 3/3
Σp 299.9%
+199.8 pp · informational
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner100.0¢P0Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B100.0¢P0Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner100.0¢P0

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

6 markets · summed official 24h volume $729.3K · official metadata 6/6
Σp 49.6%
-50.4 pp · informational
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?40.9¢P0Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?3.8¢P0Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1.6¢P0Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1.3¢P0Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1.1¢P0Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1.0¢P0

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $716.5K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 0.1%
-99.9 pp · informational
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier0.1¢P0Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 Winner0.1¢P0

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

4 markets · summed official 24h volume $662.8K · official metadata 4/4
Σp 281.1%
+181.1 pp · informational
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 Winner100.0¢P0Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier92.0¢P0Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winner58.1¢P0Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)31.0¢P0

Presidential Election Winner 2028

4 markets · summed official 24h volume $586.6K · official metadata 4/4
Σp 1.3%
-98.8 pp · informational
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.7¢P0Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.3¢P0Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.2¢P0Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢P0

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

5 markets · summed official 24h volume $586.5K · official metadata 5/5
Σp 59.5%
-40.5 pp · informational
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?40.5¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?14.5¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?3.6¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?0.7¢P0Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?0.1¢P0

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $568.0K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 199.9%
+99.9 pp · informational
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner100.0¢P0Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha100.0¢P0

LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $539.9K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 62.5%
-37.5 pp · informational
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season62.5¢P46LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner0.1¢P0

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $450.8K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 119.0%
+19.0 pp · informational
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?67.5¢P0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?51.5¢P0

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $374.2K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 0.1%
-99.9 pp · informational
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner0.1¢P0Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A0.1¢P0

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $364.8K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 110.5%
+10.5 pp · informational
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?69.3¢P0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?41.3¢P0

Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $211.8K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 8.2%
-91.8 pp · informational
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?7.5¢P0Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0.7¢P0

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $208.2K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 20.1%
-80.0 pp · informational
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?16.5¢P0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?3.5¢P0

Israel closes its airspace by...?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $200.1K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 41.5%
-58.5 pp · informational
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?34.0¢P0Israel closes its airspace by July 24?7.5¢P0

Iran full airspace closure by...?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $191.7K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 54.5%
-45.5 pp · informational
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?40.0¢P0Iran full airspace closure by July 24?14.5¢P0

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

2 markets · summed official 24h volume $180.9K · official metadata 2/2
Σp 77.0%
-23.0 pp · informational
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?46.5¢P0Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?30.5¢P0