Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

● quote just now

Sports→Closes: 9 monthsLiquidity: $278.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $55.1KEvent: EPL: 2027 Champion

55.5¢

YES

44.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%

24h sample:9 trades$13.7K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$9.9K@ 50¢·Do-Not-Redeem

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: $5.0K net directional flow in 1h.

−$5.0K

tracked

$13.7K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 49 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2027-05-30 23:59 UTC

Event constraint

Mutually exclusive

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Outcome meaning

•If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

•If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

Do-Not-Redeem2 linked markets · $15.7K gross

0x93a0…74de2 linked markets · $94 gross

0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $92 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CROSS MARKET42d ago

Outcome checks pending

CROSS MARKET42d ago

Outcome checks pending

CROSS MARKET42d ago

Outcome checks pending

CROSS MARKET43d ago

Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hNO · $5.0K

6hNO · $5.0K

24hNO · $9.1K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current55.5¢

VWAP 24h55.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp

VWAP 7d56.4¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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55¢