Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 27%BUY NO$102.0K@ 99.23¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$19.5K·Priority 82·Direction NO 96.15¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Last evaluated: YES +12.5pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$12.1M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 26 observed fills
🧠Smart money
30 wallets (1🐋)·NO $365.7K· 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 3.85¢NO 96.15¢$12.8K
100%priority82
YES 59.5¢NO 40.5¢$70.8Ksoon
77%priority74
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$313.9Ksoon
89%priority64
YES 31.0¢NO 69.0¢$24.7K
84%priority64
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$68.1Ksoon
85%priority62
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$55.5Ksoon
74%priority61
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$236.8K
76%priority59
YES 82.35¢NO 17.65¢$322.1K
85%priority56
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$292.4K
85%priority55
YES 4.25¢NO 95.75¢$75.8K
76%priority54
YES 34.5¢NO 65.5¢$47.7K
80%priority53
YES 24.5¢NO 75.5¢$17.5K
86%priority52
YES 4.35¢NO 95.65¢$2.7Msoon
73%priority51
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$31.2K
95%priority48
YES 66.3¢NO 33.7¢$97.7K
89%priority44
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$16.2Ksoon
79%priority43
YES 95.3¢NO 4.7¢$3.9Msoon
74%priority40
YES 3.9¢NO 96.1¢$50.9K
86%priority38
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$2.3Msoon
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.4M
60%priority0
YES 9.3¢NO 90.7¢$1.1M
64%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$723.2Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$691.8K
50%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$602.8K
53%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$587.1K
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$524.9K
59%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$510.9K
57%priority0
YES 90.8¢NO 9.2¢$481.5K
57%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$455.6K
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$445.4K
57%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$436.0K
84%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$421.8K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$408.9K
57%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$366.0K
72%priority0
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$338.0K
70%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$320.4K
58%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$309.2K
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$275.3K
58%priority0
YES 0.95¢NO 99.05¢$272.2K
60%priority0
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$272.1K
57%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.5¢$250.5K
60%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 56.0¢$232.4K
58%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$214.3Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.9¢$211.6K
59%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$210.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$206.3K
58%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$204.8K
65%priority0
YES 45.0¢NO 55.0¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$183.8K
0%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$183.2Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$169.9K
75%priority0
YES 22.0¢NO 78.0¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.05¢NO 98.95¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 1.0¢NO 99.9¢$160.2K
63%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 98.15¢NO 1.85¢$142.7Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$141.2K
55%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$140.9K
58%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.5¢$137.9K
63%priority0
YES 32.5¢NO 67.5¢$136.2K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 40.5¢NO 59.5¢$133.2Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$130.1K
50%priority0
YES 16.35¢NO 83.65¢$128.8K
81%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$126.6K
58%priority0
YES 4.85¢NO 95.15¢$126.0K
67%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$125.8K
56%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$125.2K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 2.15¢NO 97.85¢$124.8K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$124.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$124.6K
0%priority0
YES 35.05¢NO 64.95¢$124.1K
64%priority0
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$123.9K
56%priority0
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$123.6K
56%priority0
YES 69.5¢NO 30.5¢$121.0Ksoon
80%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$119.5K
0%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$119.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$114.8K
0%priority0
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$114.4Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$114.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$114.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$113.8K
60%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.85¢ | 96.15¢ | $12.8K | $19.5K | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 100 | 100% | 82 | |
| 59.5¢ | 40.5¢ | $70.8K | +$28.4K | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 100 | 77% | 74 | |
| 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $313.9K | +$39.7K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 89% | 64 | |
| 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ | $24.7K | +$1.7K | 2.0¢ | 7 days | 89 | 84% | 64 | |
| 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $68.1K | +$5.7K | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 62 | |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?resolving | 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $55.5K | +$11.9K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 61 |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $236.8K | +$9.8K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 38 | 76% | 59 | |
| 82.35¢ | 17.65¢ | $322.1K | +$25.8K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 85% | 56 | |
| 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $292.4K | $37.6K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 98 | 85% | 55 | |
| 4.25¢ | 95.75¢ | $75.8K | $2.0K | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 17 | 76% | 54 | |
| 34.5¢ | 65.5¢ | $47.7K | $1.1K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 63 | 80% | 53 | |
| 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $17.5K | $4.0K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 86% | 52 | |
| 4.35¢ | 95.65¢ | $2.7M | $12.8K | 0.5¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 25 | 73% | 51 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $31.2K | $4.6K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 43 | 95% | 48 | |
| 66.3¢ | 33.7¢ | $97.7K | $5.4K | 0.4¢ | 2 months | 100 | 89% | 44 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $16.2K | $2.3K | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 100 | 79% | 43 | |
| 95.3¢ | 4.7¢ | $3.9M | +$23.7K | 0.2¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 30 | 74% | 40 | |
| 3.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $50.9K | +$2.2K | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 20 | 86% | 38 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $2.3M | $8.7K | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 36 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.4M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 9.3¢ | 90.7¢ | $1.1M | +$15.6K | 0.2¢ | 4 days | 83 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $723.2K | +$3 | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $691.8K | $0 | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $602.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $587.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $524.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $510.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 90.8¢ | 9.2¢ | $481.5K | +$185 | 0.2¢ | 4 days | 2 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $455.6K | +$1 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $445.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $436.0K | +$137 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 2 | 84% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $421.8K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 13 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $408.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $366.0K | +$5.1K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $338.0K | +$1.2K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 2 | 70% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $320.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $309.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $275.3K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 7 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.95¢ | 99.05¢ | $272.2K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $272.1K | +$93 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 1 | 57% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.5¢ | $250.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 56.0¢ | $232.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $214.3K | +$44.7K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $211.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $210.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $206.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $204.8K | +$1 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 4.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $183.2K | $11 | 1.0¢ | about 22 hourssoon | 0 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $169.9K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.05¢ | 98.95¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $160.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 98.15¢ | 1.85¢ | $142.7K | +$3.3K | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 31 | 76% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $141.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $140.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $137.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ | $136.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesresolving | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ | $133.2K | +$37 | 1.0¢ | about 17 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 0 |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $130.1K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 44 | 50% | 0 | |
| 16.35¢ | 83.65¢ | $128.8K | $421 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 13 | 81% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $126.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 4.85¢ | 95.15¢ | $126.0K | $2 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $125.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $125.2K | $9 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.15¢ | 97.85¢ | $124.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $124.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $124.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 35.05¢ | 64.95¢ | $124.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $123.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $123.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $121.0K | +$69.6K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $119.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
76ers vs. Pacersresolving | 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $114.4K | $278 | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 72% | 0 |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $114.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $114.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $113.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 |