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↕Latest large trade
data 27%BUY Lakers$174.0K@ 87.0¢
Warriors vs. Lakers
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$14.7K·Priority 72·Direction NO 95.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Last evaluated: YES +1.5pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$7.0M official all-time PnL
joseph00677 · 55 observed fills
🧠Smart money
30 wallets (2🐋)·NO $106.3K· 24h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 4.2¢NO 95.9¢$230.2K
75%priority72
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$42.1K
74%priority69
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$138.8K
74%priority65
YES 8.0¢NO 92.0¢$249.3K
93%priority60
YES 39.5¢NO 60.5¢$22.2K
90%priority55
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$160.0K
70%priority52
YES 75.4¢NO 24.6¢$192.4K
79%priority51
YES 92.0¢NO 8.0¢$366.4K
89%priority50
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$167.8K
71%priority48
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$1.4M
79%priority46
YES 15.0¢NO 85.0¢$83.8K
84%priority46
YES 41.5¢NO 58.5¢$66.8Ksoon
71%priority46
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$925.7K
68%priority0
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$915.6Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$886.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$798.8K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$796.8K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$682.5K
64%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$650.4K
87%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$620.8K
50%priority0
YES 32.5¢NO 67.5¢$615.4K
59%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$585.5K
78%priority0
YES 11.5¢NO 88.5¢$570.1K
71%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$516.4K
77%priority0
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$496.8K
78%priority0
YES 73.5¢NO 26.5¢$442.0K
74%priority0
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$441.2K
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
50%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$390.5K
74%priority0
YES 54.5¢NO 45.5¢$374.1K
72%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$359.0K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$358.2K
50%priority0
YES 89.5¢NO 10.5¢$356.9K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 1.9¢NO 98.0¢$298.8K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 6.1¢NO 99.9¢$257.4K
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.2¢NO 99.8¢$222.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$215.1K
62%priority0
YES 82.5¢NO 17.5¢$213.5K
57%priority0
YES 18.4¢NO 81.5¢$206.2K
75%priority0
YES 46.0¢NO 54.0¢$201.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$199.1K
66%priority0
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$193.9K
54%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$187.4K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.4K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$172.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$171.0K
51%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$169.9K
50%priority0
YES 19.5¢NO 80.5¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$165.0K
77%priority0
YES 14.5¢NO 85.5¢$163.9K
56%priority0
YES 1.4¢NO 98.7¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.4¢$162.5K
51%priority0
YES 71.5¢NO 28.5¢$159.2K
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.2¢$157.6K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 6.3¢NO 93.8¢$150.6K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$149.0K
61%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$147.2K
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$146.3K
51%priority0
YES 20.5¢NO 79.5¢$140.8K
56%priority0
YES 2.0¢NO 98.0¢$140.1K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$136.3K
67%priority0
YES 2.0¢NO 98.0¢$135.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$134.2K
70%priority0
YES 81.5¢NO 18.5¢$133.9K
54%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$132.5K
56%priority0
YES 1.9¢NO 98.0¢$131.3K
55%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$130.0K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$125.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$122.5Ksoon
52%priority0
YES 87.0¢NO 13.0¢$122.3K
80%priority0
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$119.6K
59%priority0
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$119.1K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$117.9K
51%priority0
YES 2.1¢NO 98.0¢$117.8K
77%priority0
YES 71.0¢NO 29.0¢$116.4K
56%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$114.8K
0%priority0
YES 12.5¢NO 87.5¢$114.6K
67%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$114.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$113.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$113.2K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2¢ | 95.9¢ | $230.2K | $14.7K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 75% | 72 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $42.1K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 100 | 74% | 69 | |
| 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $138.8K | $23.4K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 74% | 65 | |
| 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ | $249.3K | +$3.2K | 2.0¢ | 13 days | 100 | 93% | 60 | |
| 39.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $22.2K | $14.7K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 90% | 55 | |
| 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $160.0K | $6.4K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 100 | 70% | 52 | |
| 75.4¢ | 24.6¢ | $192.4K | $3.9K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 62 | 79% | 51 | |
| 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ | $366.4K | +$13.8K | 2.0¢ | 13 days | 80 | 89% | 50 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $167.8K | +$3.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 71% | 48 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $1.4M | $2.7K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 100 | 79% | 46 | |
| 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ | $83.8K | +$20.6K | 4.0¢ | 2 months | 100 | 84% | 46 | |
Cavaliers vs. 76ersresolving | 41.5¢ | 58.5¢ | $66.8K | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 46 |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $925.7K | $1 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 13 | 68% | 0 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $915.6K | +$4.0K | 0.3¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 24 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $886.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $798.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $796.8K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $682.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $650.4K | +$1.3K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 87% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $620.8K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 8 | 50% | 0 | |
| 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ | $615.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $585.5K | $4.9K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 28 | 78% | 0 | |
| 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $570.1K | $6.1K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 25 | 71% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $516.4K | $49.6K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $496.8K | +$991 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 2 | 78% | 0 | |
| 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $442.0K | $42 | 1.0¢ | 10 days | 3 | 74% | 0 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $441.2K | $7.8K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 66 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $390.5K | +$23 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 0 | 74% | 0 | |
| 54.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $374.1K | $75 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 3 | 72% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $359.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $358.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ | $356.9K | +$128 | 1.0¢ | 3 days | 3 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.9¢ | 98.0¢ | $298.8K | +$231 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 9 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 6.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $257.4K | +$174 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 5 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $222.7K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $215.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 82.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $213.5K | +$4.5K | 1.0¢ | 10 days | 100 | 57% | 0 | |
| 18.4¢ | 81.5¢ | $206.2K | +$8.5K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 4.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $199.1K | $3.7K | 0.1¢ | 13 days | 100 | 66% | 0 | |
| 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $187.4K | $12.0K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.4K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 16 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $172.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $171.0K | $310 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 33 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $169.9K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $165.0K | $36.5K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $163.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 1.3¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $162.5K | $196 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 100 | 51% | 0 | |
| 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $159.2K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $157.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 6.3¢ | 93.8¢ | $150.6K | +$0 | 1.3¢ | 10 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $149.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $147.2K | $408 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $146.3K | $308 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 39 | 51% | 0 | |
| 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $140.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ | $140.1K | $193 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 100 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $136.3K | +$100 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 67% | 0 | |
| 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ | $135.9K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $134.2K | $12.0K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
| 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $132.5K | $2.5K | 1.0¢ | 10 days | 24 | 56% | 0 | |
| 1.9¢ | 98.0¢ | $131.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $130.0K | $52 | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 1 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $125.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $122.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ | $122.3K | $4.1K | 0.6¢ | 2 months | 100 | 80% | 0 | |
| 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $119.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $119.1K | +$21 | 1.0¢ | 8 months | 16 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $117.9K | $310 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 40 | 51% | 0 | |
| 2.1¢ | 98.0¢ | $117.8K | $900 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 8 | 77% | 0 | |
| 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ | $116.4K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 13 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $114.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $114.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $113.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $113.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 days | 0 | 0% | 0 |