Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 28%BUY NO$446.1K@ 94.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$134.0K·Priority 85·Direction NO 94.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Last evaluated: NO +8.5pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 32 observed fills
🧠Smart money
17 wallets (2🐋)·YES $232.4K· 24h
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$852.3Ksoon
71%priority85
YES 36.5¢NO 63.5¢$253.8K
85%priority76
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$1.7Msoon
76%priority68
YES 73.5¢NO 26.5¢$1.3Msoon
91%priority68
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$40.2Ksoon
83%priority66
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$4.4Msoon
71%priority65
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$34.9Ksoon
83%priority65
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$48.5Ksoon
83%priority60
YES 42.5¢NO 57.5¢$34.0K
69%priority57
YES 78.5¢NO 21.5¢$548.2Ksoon
78%priority57
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$126.3Ksoon
86%priority57
YES 24.5¢NO 75.5¢$1.2Msoon
86%priority56
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$27.7Ksoon
81%priority54
YES 81.5¢NO 18.5¢$419.9K
84%priority53
YES 54.5¢NO 45.5¢$183.2Ksoon
93%priority52
YES 15.65¢NO 84.35¢$239.4K
91%priority51
YES 95.5¢NO 4.5¢$2.4Msoon
87%priority50
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$94.1K
78%priority49
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$26.3Ksoon
82%priority49
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$100.5Ksoon
85%priority48
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$105.7Ksoon
74%priority47
YES 87.0¢NO 13.0¢$30.6Ksoon
75%priority47
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$476.9Ksoon
76%priority46
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$100.2Ksoon
77%priority45
YES 43.7¢NO 56.3¢$216.2K
77%priority44
YES 49.85¢NO 50.15¢$1.6M
81%priority44
YES 73.5¢NO 26.5¢$892.5Ksoon
79%priority34
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$500.0K
78%priority30
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$1.6M
50%priority0
YES 31.5¢NO 68.5¢$1.5Msoon
73%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 16.0¢$1.2M
60%priority0
YES 78.5¢NO 21.5¢$882.8Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$842.1K
59%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$729.5K
50%priority0
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$696.4Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$690.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$667.3K
0%priority0
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$656.5K
59%priority0
YES 38.5¢NO 61.5¢$614.3Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$614.1K
52%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$529.8Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$524.2Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$509.1Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 10.75¢NO 89.25¢$497.1Ksoon
54%priority0
YES 0.65¢NO 99.35¢$465.6Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 5.1¢$454.6K
54%priority0
YES 0.6¢NO 99.9¢$426.3K
58%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$423.3K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$418.6K
50%priority0
YES 1.3¢NO 99.9¢$409.0K
62%priority0
YES 61.1¢NO 38.9¢$405.4Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 5.0¢$390.0K
62%priority0
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$362.0K
68%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$318.4K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$304.7Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$303.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$272.8Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 2.25¢NO 97.75¢$268.9Ksoon
57%priority0
YES 4.85¢NO 95.15¢$260.6K
67%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$245.3Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 1.95¢NO 98.05¢$245.1K
63%priority0
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$243.3K
75%priority0
YES 73.5¢NO 26.5¢$228.2K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$213.4Ksoon
53%priority0
YES 7.0¢NO 99.9¢$212.2K
57%priority0
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$205.8Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$204.8K
50%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$201.1K
50%priority0
YES 68.5¢NO 31.5¢$198.8Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 98.1¢NO 1.9¢$195.2Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 62.5¢NO 37.5¢$192.6Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 2.05¢NO 97.95¢$191.9Ksoon
52%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 2.6¢NO 97.4¢$189.0Ksoon
57%priority0
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$186.4Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$185.5K
71%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$184.9K
57%priority0
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$184.4Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 1.3¢NO 98.7¢$181.4Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 1.45¢NO 98.55¢$180.3Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$180.1Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$175.5Ksoon
53%priority0
YES 77.5¢NO 22.5¢$174.3K
77%priority0
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$174.1Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 2.2¢NO 97.8¢$173.4K
65%priority0
YES 39.5¢NO 60.5¢$172.4Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$171.6Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$169.8Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$169.3Ksoon
53%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $852.3K | $134.0K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 71% | 85 | |
| 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $253.8K | $59.0K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 85% | 76 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $1.7M | $42.3K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 76% | 68 | |
| 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $1.3M | +$48.2K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 91% | 68 | |
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesresolving | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $40.2K | +$12.5K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 66 |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $4.4M | $337.7K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 71% | 65 | |
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5resolving | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $34.9K | $4.7K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 65 |
Celtics vs. Rocketsresolving | 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $48.5K | $18.0K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 60 |
| 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $34.0K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 69% | 57 | |
Hawks vs. Pacersresolving | 78.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $548.2K | +$76.6K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 57 |
| 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $126.3K | $9.8K | 1.0¢ | about 13 hourssoon | 100 | 86% | 57 | |
| 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $1.2M | $12.7K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 86 | 86% | 56 | |
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $27.7K | $3.3K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 81% | 54 |
| 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $419.9K | $5.4K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 84% | 53 | |
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)resolving | 54.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $183.2K | +$42.2K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 93% | 52 |
| 15.65¢ | 84.35¢ | $239.4K | +$1.2K | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 16 | 91% | 51 | |
| 95.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $2.4M | $66.4K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 46 | 87% | 50 | |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $94.1K | $3.9K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 28 | 78% | 49 | |
Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5resolving | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $26.3K | +$6.3K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 82% | 49 |
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)resolving | 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $100.5K | +$4.4K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 48 |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $105.7K | $2.7K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 69 | 74% | 47 | |
| 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ | $30.6K | +$1.5K | 2.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 75% | 47 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $476.9K | +$8.5K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 76 | 76% | 46 | |
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)resolving | 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $100.2K | +$2.6K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 45 |
| 43.7¢ | 56.3¢ | $216.2K | $2.0K | 0.4¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 77% | 44 | |
| 49.85¢ | 50.15¢ | $1.6M | $7.2K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hour | 66 | 81% | 44 | |
| 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $892.5K | +$14.6K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 40 | 79% | 34 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $500.0K | +$1.0K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 5 | 78% | 30 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $1.6M | $9 | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 19 | 50% | 0 | |
| 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ | $1.5M | $131 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 17 | 73% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 16.0¢ | $1.2M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 78.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $882.8K | +$9.6K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 26 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $842.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $729.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $696.4K | +$8.0K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $690.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $667.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $656.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 hours | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
Bears vs. Seahawksresolving | 38.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $614.3K | +$88.5K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 0 |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $614.1K | $3.0K | 0.1¢ | 1 day | 7 | 52% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $529.8K | $3.8K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 32 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $524.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $509.1K | +$16.4K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 60 | 72% | 0 | |
| 10.75¢ | 89.25¢ | $497.1K | $3.6K | 0.7¢ | 1 daysoon | 42 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.65¢ | 99.35¢ | $465.6K | +$62 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 5.1¢ | $454.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 28 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.6¢ | 99.9¢ | $426.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $423.3K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 19 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $418.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $409.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 61.1¢ | 38.9¢ | $405.4K | $1.5K | 0.2¢ | 1 daysoon | 16 | 74% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 5.0¢ | $390.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $362.0K | +$1.9K | 1.0¢ | 28 days | 100 | 68% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $318.4K | $6.2K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $304.7K | $4.0K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $303.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $272.8K | +$192 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 1 | 77% | 0 | |
| 2.25¢ | 97.75¢ | $268.9K | $3.9K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 57% | 0 | |
| 4.85¢ | 95.15¢ | $260.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 28 days | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)resolving | 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $245.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 |
| 1.95¢ | 98.05¢ | $245.1K | +$3.2K | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 40 | 63% | 0 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $243.3K | $2.6K | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 19 | 75% | 0 | |
| 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $228.2K | +$91.7K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $213.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 7.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $212.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
Suns vs. Warriorsresolving | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $205.8K | $150 | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 6 | 75% | 0 |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $204.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 68.5¢ | 31.5¢ | $198.8K | $7.8K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 98.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $195.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $192.6K | +$12 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
| 2.05¢ | 97.95¢ | $191.9K | +$9 | 0.9¢ | about 22 hourssoon | 2 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $189.0K | $3.9K | 0.2¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 57% | 0 | |
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsresolving | 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $186.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $185.5K | +$1.2K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 55 | 71% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $184.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
Heat vs. Lakersresolving | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $184.4K | +$1.6K | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 84 | 74% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.3¢ | 98.7¢ | $181.4K | $4.0K | 0.4¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 58% | 0 | |
| 1.45¢ | 98.55¢ | $180.3K | $2.6K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 25 | 72% | 0 | |
| 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $180.1K | +$19 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 2 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $175.5K | $4.0K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 53% | 0 | |
| 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $174.3K | $923 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 12 | 77% | 0 | |
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesresolving | 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $174.1K | +$27 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 1 | 61% | 0 |
| 2.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $173.4K | $375 | 0.2¢ | about 1 month | 12 | 65% | 0 | |
Thunder vs. Cavaliersresolving | 39.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $172.4K | $9 | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $171.6K | $4.0K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 58% | 0 | |
Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $169.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $169.3K | $4.0K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 53% | 0 |