Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 38%SELL Chiefs$4.8M@ 99.9¢
Broncos vs. Chiefs
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$19.5K·Priority 76·Direction NO 50.5¢
Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka
Last evaluated: NO +7.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$7.9M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 169 observed fills
🧠Smart money
19 wallets (4🐋)·NO $151.1K· 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$1.1K
90%priority76
YES 82.5¢NO 17.5¢$93.2K
82%priority56
YES 51.6¢NO 48.4¢$102.9K
78%priority53
YES 36.0¢NO 64.0¢$116.1K
80%priority39
YES 12.5¢NO 87.5¢$5.2Msoon
82%priority36
YES 4.0¢NO 96.0¢$58.5K
82%priority34
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$3.1Msoon
78%priority33
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$1.2M
85%priority32
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$5.6Msoon
82%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$4.0Msoon
70%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.7M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.0M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$793.8Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$680.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$582.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$580.7K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$496.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$428.5K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 95.4¢NO 4.6¢$402.9K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$395.8K
50%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$392.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
50%priority0
YES 81.5¢NO 18.5¢$358.2Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
50%priority0
YES 2.6¢NO 97.4¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$329.9K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$326.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 93.5¢NO 6.5¢$232.6K
93%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
50%priority0
YES 76.5¢NO 23.5¢$226.9K
60%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$217.6K
77%priority0
YES 93.5¢NO 6.5¢$216.8K
66%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$206.9Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$206.0K
50%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.0¢$202.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$196.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$185.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$176.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$176.1Ksoon
53%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
50%priority0
YES 23.8¢NO 76.2¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$171.2K
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$170.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$169.1Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 99.8¢NO 0.3¢$167.0Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
65%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$158.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.4¢NO 97.7¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 2.3¢NO 97.7¢$145.6K
51%priority0
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$143.8Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$143.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$141.0K
0%priority0
YES 13.3¢NO 86.8¢$138.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$138.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$138.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$134.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$133.9K
0%priority0
YES 21.8¢NO 78.3¢$131.0K
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$128.2K
0%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$127.8K
86%priority0
YES 54.1¢NO 45.9¢$126.2K
66%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$126.0K
65%priority0
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$125.8Ksoon
79%priority0
YES 3.3¢NO 96.8¢$125.5K
65%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $1.1K | $19.5K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 90% | 76 | |
| 82.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $93.2K | +$10.8K | 3.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 82% | 56 | |
| 51.6¢ | 48.4¢ | $102.9K | $1.5K | 0.1¢ | 19 days | 13 | 78% | 53 | |
| 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ | $116.1K | +$4.5K | 4.0¢ | 4 months | 100 | 80% | 39 | |
| 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $5.2M | +$12.5K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 10 | 82% | 36 | |
| 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ | $58.5K | +$1.2K | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 25 | 82% | 34 | |
| 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $3.1M | $1.9K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 3 | 78% | 33 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $1.2M | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 6 | 85% | 32 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $5.6M | +$10.1K | 0.1¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 14 | 82% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $4.0M | $127 | 0.1¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 2 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.7M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.0M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $793.8K | +$3 | 0.1¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $680.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $582.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $580.7K | +$4 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 5 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $496.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $428.5K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 12 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 95.4¢ | 4.6¢ | $402.9K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 10 days | 0 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $395.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $358.2K | +$4 | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $329.9K | +$62 | 0.1¢ | 19 days | 4 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $326.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Fed rate hike in 2026?climax | 93.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $232.6K | $7 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 93% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $226.9K | $5.8K | 1.0¢ | 15 days | 43 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $217.6K | $100.0K | 0.8¢ | 10 months | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 93.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $216.8K | $20 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $206.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $206.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.0¢ | $202.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $185.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $176.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $176.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 23.8¢ | 76.2¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.8¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $171.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 19 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $170.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $169.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 20 hourssoon | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $167.0K | +$100 | 0.3¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 3 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | $111 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 18 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $158.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.3¢ | 97.7¢ | $145.6K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 16 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $143.8K | +$95 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 8 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 13.3¢ | 86.8¢ | $138.8K | $3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $138.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $138.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $134.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 21.8¢ | 78.3¢ | $131.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $128.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $127.8K | +$69 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 1 | 86% | 0 | |
| 54.1¢ | 45.9¢ | $126.2K | $2 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $126.0K | $105 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 100 | 65% | 0 | |
| 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $125.8K | $25.9K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 79% | 0 | |
| 3.3¢ | 96.8¢ | $125.5K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 3 | 65% | 0 |