Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 38%BUY NO$260.5K@ 99.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$18.7K·Priority 75·Direction YES 78.0¢
Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Enzo Aguiard
Last evaluated: NO +1.5pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$7.9M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 166 observed fills
🧠Smart money
10 wallets (3🐋)·YES $166.4K· 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 78.0¢NO 22.0¢$141.9K
76%priority75
YES 7.7¢NO 92.3¢$63.7K
67%priority72
YES 92.5¢NO 7.5¢$92.2Ksoon
73%priority54
YES 8.8¢NO 91.3¢$59.5K
69%priority54
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$156.9Ksoon
77%priority49
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$522.2K
76%priority42
YES 5.1¢NO 95.0¢$3.4M
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.7M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$680.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$582.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$580.7K
75%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$530.5K
67%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$496.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$431.3K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$395.8K
0%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$392.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
65%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$360.8K
73%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
0%priority0
YES 3.6¢NO 96.4¢$339.4K
50%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$337.6K
51%priority0
YES 16.6¢NO 83.5¢$336.7K
70%priority0
YES 95.5¢NO 4.5¢$308.3K
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$283.8K
82%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$269.9K
50%priority0
YES 75.3¢NO 24.6¢$245.4K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 93.0¢NO 7.0¢$216.8K
51%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$206.0K
65%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.2¢$202.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$197.5K
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$196.7K
65%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$195.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
50%priority0
YES 14.5¢NO 85.5¢$189.6K
72%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$185.3K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$176.7K
65%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
50%priority0
YES 23.8¢NO 76.1¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$171.2K
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$170.0K
0%priority0
YES 20.6¢NO 79.3¢$168.0K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 3.8¢NO 96.3¢$166.1K
88%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
65%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$158.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$158.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.4¢NO 97.7¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$148.9K
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 1.9¢NO 98.1¢$145.6K
50%priority0
YES 86.5¢NO 13.5¢$145.0K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$143.5K
0%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$143.4K
67%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$141.0K
0%priority0
YES 13.3¢NO 86.8¢$138.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$138.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$135.6Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 3.9¢NO 96.1¢$135.2K
54%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$134.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$133.9K
50%priority0
YES 62.5¢NO 37.5¢$132.7K
61%priority0
YES 3.9¢NO 96.2¢$131.6K
68%priority0
YES 21.8¢NO 78.3¢$131.0K
51%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$130.9K
57%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$128.4K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$128.2K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ | $141.9K | +$18.7K | 2.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 76% | 75 | |
| 7.7¢ | 92.3¢ | $63.7K | $3.0K | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 100 | 67% | 72 | |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?resolving | 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $92.2K | +$5.0K | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 54 |
| 8.8¢ | 91.3¢ | $59.5K | $1.4K | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 100 | 69% | 54 | |
| 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $156.9K | +$4.4K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 49 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $522.2K | +$1.0K | 1.0¢ | 14 days | 7 | 76% | 42 | |
| 5.1¢ | 95.0¢ | $3.4M | +$128 | 0.3¢ | 4 months | 2 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.7M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $680.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $582.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $580.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 4 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $530.5K | $48 | 0.2¢ | 15 days | 1 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $496.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $431.3K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 12 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $395.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | $7 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 3 | 65% | 0 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $360.8K | $33 | 1.0¢ | 5 days | 1 | 73% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $337.6K | +$24 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 1 | 51% | 0 | |
| 16.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $336.7K | $223 | 0.9¢ | about 2 years | 8 | 70% | 0 | |
Fed rate hike in 2026?climax | 95.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $308.3K | $453 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 3 | 77% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $283.8K | +$5.6K | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 24 | 82% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $269.9K | $0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 75.3¢ | 24.6¢ | $245.4K | +$5 | 0.7¢ | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ | $216.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $206.0K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 65% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $202.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $197.5K | +$569 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 22 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $196.7K | $121 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $195.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 3 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $189.6K | $1.1K | 1.0¢ | 5 months | 65 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $185.3K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 11 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $176.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 12 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 23.8¢ | 76.1¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $171.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 18 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $170.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 20.6¢ | 79.3¢ | $168.0K | $1 | 0.7¢ | 14 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ | $166.1K | +$89 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 100 | 88% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 3 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $158.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $158.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $148.9K | +$3 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ | $145.6K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 15 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $145.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 15 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $143.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 11 days | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 13.3¢ | 86.8¢ | $138.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $138.0K | +$1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $135.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 3.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $135.2K | +$0 | 1.2¢ | 10 months | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $134.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $132.7K | +$4.7K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 61% | 0 | |
| 3.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $131.6K | $4 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 1 | 68% | 0 | |
| 21.8¢ | 78.3¢ | $131.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $130.9K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 14 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $128.4K | $2 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 15 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $128.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 |