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↕Latest large trade
data 40%BUY NO$121.9K@ 85.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$19.4K·Priority 83·Direction YES 49.5¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14?
Last evaluated: YES +14.5pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$7.9M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 163 observed fills
🧠Smart money
11 wallets (4🐋)·NO $182.9K· 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$71.1Ksoon
73%priority83
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$50.4K
97%priority74
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$192.0K
95%priority72
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$66.3K
72%priority71
YES 5.3¢NO 94.7¢$53.1K
76%priority70
YES 40.5¢NO 59.5¢$173.6Ksoon
85%priority65
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$730.5Ksoon
82%priority63
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$46.8Ksoon
90%priority61
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$126.0K
79%priority61
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$871.1K
84%priority61
YES 52.6¢NO 47.4¢$115.2K
78%priority61
YES 79.5¢NO 20.5¢$189.0Ksoon
76%priority59
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$49.6K
70%priority58
YES 92.5¢NO 7.5¢$74.5K
84%priority53
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$341.6Ksoon
67%priority49
YES 14.5¢NO 85.5¢$3.7Msoon
83%priority44
YES 84.5¢NO 15.5¢$2.2Msoon
78%priority31
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$3.3Msoon
81%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.7M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
0%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$1.5Msoon
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.0M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$821.0Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$680.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$582.5K
65%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$580.7K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$496.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$426.0K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$418.3Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$395.8K
0%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$392.8K
50%priority0
YES 95.5¢NO 4.5¢$390.9K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
50%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
50%priority0
YES 2.6¢NO 97.4¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 31.5¢NO 68.5¢$335.6Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$329.9K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$326.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$272.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$255.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$252.3Ksoon
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 4.0¢NO 96.0¢$217.6K
0%priority0
YES 93.5¢NO 6.6¢$216.8K
66%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$206.0K
65%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.2¢$202.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.2¢NO 99.8¢$196.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$193.8K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$185.3K
50%priority0
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$185.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$176.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
50%priority0
YES 23.3¢NO 76.7¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$171.2K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$170.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$169.1Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
68%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$158.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$155.0Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.4¢NO 97.7¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$150.6K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 2.4¢NO 97.6¢$145.6K
51%priority0
YES 67.8¢NO 32.2¢$144.7K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$143.5K
0%priority0
YES 80.5¢NO 19.5¢$141.3K
58%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$141.0K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $71.1K | +$19.4K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 73% | 83 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $50.4K | $19.5K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 97% | 74 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $192.0K | +$22.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 100 | 95% | 72 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $66.3K | $3.8K | 1.0¢ | 19 days | 100 | 72% | 71 | |
| 5.3¢ | 94.7¢ | $53.1K | $2.3K | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 76% | 70 | |
| 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ | $173.6K | $8.2K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 85% | 65 | |
Broncos vs. Chiefsresolving | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $730.5K | +$4.3K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 72 | 82% | 63 |
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $46.8K | +$17.9K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 90% | 61 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?climax | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $126.0K | $2.4K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 79% | 61 |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $871.1K | +$7.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 83 | 84% | 61 | |
| 52.6¢ | 47.4¢ | $115.2K | +$7.7K | 0.2¢ | 19 days | 63 | 78% | 61 | |
| 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $189.0K | +$5.2K | 1.0¢ | 40 minutessoon | 100 | 76% | 59 | |
| 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $49.6K | +$1.9K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 16 | 70% | 58 | |
| 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $74.5K | $4.9K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 84% | 53 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $341.6K | $3.3K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 67% | 49 | |
| 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $3.7M | +$14.6K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 44 | 83% | 44 | |
| 84.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $2.2M | +$13.3K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 16 | 78% | 31 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $3.3M | $10.0K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 22 | 81% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.7M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $1.5M | +$1.5K | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 9 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 28 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.0M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $821.0K | +$12 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $680.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $582.5K | +$1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $580.7K | $2 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $496.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $426.0K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 11 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5resolving | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $418.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $395.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 95.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $390.9K | $12.3K | 0.7¢ | 10 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ | $335.6K | +$2.0K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 27 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $329.9K | $2.3K | 0.1¢ | 19 days | 100 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $326.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $272.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $255.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $252.3K | +$10.5K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ | $217.6K | +$0 | 1.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 93.5¢ | 6.6¢ | $216.8K | $5.4K | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 100 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $206.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 4 | 65% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $202.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 9 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $193.8K | +$1.9K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 88 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $185.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $185.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $176.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 23.3¢ | 76.7¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $171.2K | $2.2K | 0.2¢ | 19 days | 48 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $170.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $169.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 6 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $158.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $155.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $151.5K | $3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $150.6K | +$1.3K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $145.6K | $2.0K | 0.6¢ | 16 days | 100 | 51% | 0 | |
| 67.8¢ | 32.2¢ | $144.7K | +$44 | 6.0¢ | 16 days | 1 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $141.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 |