Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 27%BUY Oregon$127.9K@ 99.9¢
Michigan vs. Oregon
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$63.2K·Priority 91·Direction NO 70.5¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings - Game 2 Winner
Last evaluated: YES +11.1pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 44 observed fills
🧠Smart money
7 wallets (3🐋)·YES $453.4K· 24h
Games Total: O/U 4.5
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$170.2Ksoon
86%priority91
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$318.0K
85%priority86
YES 83.5¢NO 16.5¢$235.8Ksoon
81%priority78
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$45.8Ksoon
74%priority70
YES 79.1¢NO 20.9¢$235.9K
71%priority70
YES 62.5¢NO 37.5¢$100.0Ksoon
83%priority69
YES 74.5¢NO 25.5¢$795.3Ksoon
87%priority68
YES 21.9¢NO 78.1¢$202.9K
95%priority67
YES 5.6¢NO 94.4¢$14.5K
69%priority67
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$1.3Msoon
87%priority63
YES 40.5¢NO 59.5¢$99.4Ksoon
85%priority62
YES 20.0¢NO 80.0¢$51.3Ksoon
85%priority61
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$30.3K
80%priority60
YES 41.5¢NO 58.5¢$219.8K
88%priority60
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$209.7Ksoon
77%priority59
YES 69.5¢NO 30.5¢$314.3K
76%priority56
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$2.8Msoon
88%priority56
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$873.1Ksoon
76%priority55
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$529.4Ksoon
87%priority53
YES 62.5¢NO 37.5¢$54.6Ksoon
84%priority52
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$86.8Ksoon
77%priority51
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$19.1Ksoon
75%priority50
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$413.2Ksoon
84%priority50
YES 54.9¢NO 45.1¢$187.6Ksoon
69%priority50
YES 79.5¢NO 20.5¢$7.0Msoon
84%priority48
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$41.0K
89%priority48
YES 3.35¢NO 96.65¢$423.3K
68%priority46
YES 11.5¢NO 88.5¢$78.3Ksoon
70%priority39
YES 20.5¢NO 79.5¢$677.1K
88%priority31
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$8.2Msoon
87%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$4.2Msoon
87%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$844.7Ksoon
64%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$629.7K
75%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$584.7Ksoon
83%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$577.2Ksoon
64%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$480.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$423.7K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$400.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$370.9K
50%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$338.4Ksoon
69%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$331.0K
60%priority0
YES 1.05¢NO 98.95¢$304.5K
74%priority0
YES 37.35¢NO 62.65¢$291.1K
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$277.7K
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 98.35¢NO 1.65¢$270.5Ksoon
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$241.3K
62%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$235.9Ksoon
57%priority0
YES 0.75¢NO 99.25¢$231.0K
50%priority0
YES 13.15¢NO 86.85¢$230.3K
54%priority0
YES 58.5¢NO 41.5¢$211.2Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$210.5K
0%priority0
YES 8.55¢NO 91.45¢$210.1K
56%priority0
YES 9.15¢NO 90.85¢$201.9K
70%priority0
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$201.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$200.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$193.6Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 23.95¢NO 76.05¢$189.3K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$170.5K
59%priority0
YES 15.35¢NO 84.65¢$170.1K
70%priority0
YES 60.5¢NO 39.5¢$169.9Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$168.8K
73%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$168.2Ksoon
63%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$161.1Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 61.0¢NO 39.0¢$156.8Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$153.9Ksoon
64%priority0
YES 59.5¢NO 40.5¢$153.6Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 11.1¢NO 88.9¢$147.2K
82%priority0
YES 1.05¢NO 98.95¢$135.5K
0%priority0
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$135.3Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$133.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$131.1K
56%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$130.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$127.1K
70%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$123.8Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$122.3K
65%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$122.2K
52%priority0
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$121.4Ksoon
63%priority0
YES 21.35¢NO 78.65¢$120.4K
57%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$119.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$119.0Ksoon
84%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$117.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$117.3K
62%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$114.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$112.2K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $170.2K | $63.2K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 86% | 91 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $318.0K | $159.2K | 1.0¢ | 25 days | 100 | 85% | 86 | |
Nuggets vs. Pelicansresolving | 83.5¢ | 16.5¢ | $235.8K | +$102.1K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 81% | 78 |
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $45.8K | $15.0K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 74% | 70 |
| 79.1¢ | 20.9¢ | $235.9K | $8.7K | 1.6¢ | 14 days | 100 | 71% | 70 | |
| 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $100.0K | $5.7K | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 69 | |
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersresolving | 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $795.3K | +$32.5K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 87% | 68 |
| 21.9¢ | 78.1¢ | $202.9K | +$1.4K | 2.0¢ | about 2 months | 87 | 95% | 67 | |
| 5.6¢ | 94.4¢ | $14.5K | +$1.2K | 0.2¢ | almost 2 years | 100 | 69% | 67 | |
Games Total: O/U 4.5resolving | 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $1.3M | +$41.6K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 87% | 63 |
| 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ | $99.4K | $4.4K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 62 | |
| 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ | $51.3K | $5.7K | 2.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 61 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $30.3K | $5.3K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 80% | 60 | |
| 41.5¢ | 58.5¢ | $219.8K | +$20.9K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 88% | 60 | |
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $209.7K | $39.7K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 77% | 59 |
| 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $314.3K | +$14.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 76% | 56 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $2.8M | +$223.0K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 88% | 56 | |
Nets vs. Grizzliesresolving | 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $873.1K | $126.6K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 76% | 55 |
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)resolving | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $529.4K | +$32.4K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 87% | 53 |
| 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $54.6K | $9.3K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 52 | |
Islanders vs. Ducksresolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $86.8K | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 51 |
Oilers vs. Maple Leafsresolving | 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $19.1K | +$1.8K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 75% | 50 |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $413.2K | $12.7K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 92 | 84% | 50 | |
| 54.9¢ | 45.1¢ | $187.6K | +$5.8K | 1.2¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 69% | 50 | |
| 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $7.0M | +$112.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 48 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $41.0K | $7.0K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 33 | 89% | 48 | |
| 3.35¢ | 96.65¢ | $423.3K | +$11.9K | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 33 | 68% | 46 | |
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesresolving | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $78.3K | $2.4K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 70% | 39 |
| 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $677.1K | +$1.6K | 3.0¢ | 14 days | 18 | 88% | 31 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $8.2M | $144.3K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 87% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $4.2M | $421.2K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 87% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $844.7K | +$226.9K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $629.7K | $23.0K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $584.7K | $48.6K | 0.1¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
Games Total: O/U 3.5resolving | 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $577.2K | $7.8K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 83 | 64% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $480.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $423.7K | +$8 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 14 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $400.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $370.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $338.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 69% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $331.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 1.05¢ | 98.95¢ | $304.5K | +$36 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 74% | 0 | |
| 37.35¢ | 62.65¢ | $291.1K | +$31 | 0.3¢ | almost 2 years | 1 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $277.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 98.35¢ | 1.65¢ | $270.5K | +$768 | 0.3¢ | 1 daysoon | 7 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $241.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $235.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.75¢ | 99.25¢ | $231.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 13.15¢ | 86.85¢ | $230.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)resolving | 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ | $211.2K | +$28.9K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 76% | 0 |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $210.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 8.55¢ | 91.45¢ | $210.1K | +$23 | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 9.15¢ | 90.85¢ | $201.9K | +$16 | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 5 | 70% | 0 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $200.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)resolving | 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $193.6K | +$15.0K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 77% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 23.95¢ | 76.05¢ | $189.3K | $3 | 0.5¢ | 16 days | 0 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $170.5K | $10.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 59% | 0 | |
| 15.35¢ | 84.65¢ | $170.1K | $0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 1 | 70% | 0 | |
| 60.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $169.9K | $3.2K | 1.0¢ | about 14 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $168.8K | +$78 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 3 | 73% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)resolving | 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $168.2K | +$17.1K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 63% | 0 |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $161.1K | +$5.0K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 58% | 0 | |
| 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ | $156.8K | +$6.3K | 2.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $153.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)resolving | 59.5¢ | 40.5¢ | $153.6K | $473 | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 25 | 61% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 11.1¢ | 88.9¢ | $147.2K | +$620 | 0.2¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 82% | 0 | |
| 1.05¢ | 98.95¢ | $135.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)resolving | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $135.3K | $542 | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 75% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $133.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $131.1K | $2.0K | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 28 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $130.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $127.1K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 0 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $123.8K | +$24 | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 2 | 76% | 0 |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $122.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $122.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 5 months | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
Spread: Lions (-2.5)resolving | 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $121.4K | $15.0K | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 100 | 63% | 0 |
| 21.35¢ | 78.65¢ | $120.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $119.0K | +$3.6K | 0.1¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $117.8K | +$88 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 100 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $117.3K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 16 days | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $112.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 |