Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 26%BUY NO$612.1K@ 98.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$7.8K·Priority 75·Direction NO 56.5¢
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
Last evaluated: NO +3.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 32 observed fills
🧠Smart money
5 wallets (2🐋)·NO $178.0K· 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$27.7Ksoon
84%priority75
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$214.4K
100%priority75
YES 31.5¢NO 68.5¢$30.5K
89%priority70
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$416.8K
85%priority63
YES 20.5¢NO 79.5¢$930.5K
84%priority62
YES 61.5¢NO 38.5¢$96.8Ksoon
79%priority60
YES 36.5¢NO 63.5¢$997.1Ksoon
85%priority59
YES 17.6¢NO 82.4¢$150.8K
70%priority52
YES 77.0¢NO 23.0¢$97.3K
87%priority47
YES 31.5¢NO 68.5¢$999.5Ksoon
84%priority44
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$391.3Ksoon
85%priority43
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$39.8K
71%priority43
YES 13.5¢NO 86.5¢$639.7K
84%priority41
YES 2.05¢NO 97.95¢$1.2M
99%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$769.9K
81%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$729.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$667.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$597.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$576.2K
50%priority0
YES 80.5¢NO 19.5¢$519.0Ksoon
79%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$509.0K
50%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$493.2K
62%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$480.8K
0%priority0
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$474.7K
62%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$437.9K
60%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$424.5K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$408.5Ksoon
87%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.4¢$387.2Ksoon
64%priority0
YES 77.5¢NO 22.5¢$382.9K
59%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$371.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$366.9K
50%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$354.4Ksoon
82%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$352.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$301.4K
57%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$300.6K
50%priority0
YES 1.0¢NO 99.9¢$292.9K
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$288.3K
65%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$284.9K
74%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$282.5K
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$268.3K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.6¢$256.8K
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 2.1¢$253.3Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$249.9K
65%priority0
YES 1.75¢NO 98.25¢$248.9K
69%priority0
YES 25.85¢NO 74.15¢$242.3K
71%priority0
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$239.7Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$238.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$236.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$228.3K
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 3.65¢NO 96.35¢$220.3K
71%priority0
YES 29.55¢NO 70.45¢$214.4K
55%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$211.7K
50%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 2.1¢$211.6K
63%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$207.3K
0%priority0
YES 1.3¢NO 98.7¢$206.0K
50%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$201.8K
54%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$197.7K
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$189.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$187.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.9¢$187.0K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 2.05¢NO 97.95¢$184.5K
66%priority0
YES 39.5¢NO 60.5¢$183.4K
75%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$182.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$180.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$178.3K
50%priority0
YES 7.65¢NO 92.35¢$174.6K
56%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 16.1¢$174.1K
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$172.8K
55%priority0
YES 21.0¢NO 79.0¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 95.0¢NO 5.0¢$166.5Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 2.65¢NO 97.35¢$159.1Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$159.0K
54%priority0
YES 86.5¢NO 13.5¢$155.0K
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$149.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.9¢$146.8Ksoon
56%priority0
YES 1.15¢NO 98.85¢$144.3K
50%priority0
YES 15.2¢NO 84.8¢$143.5K
72%priority0
YES 4.65¢NO 95.35¢$143.4K
66%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$141.7K
60%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$139.8Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$137.8Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$135.8K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.2K
51%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $27.7K | $7.8K | 1.0¢ | 36 minutessoon | 100 | 84% | 75 | |
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $214.4K | $58.2K | 0.9¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 100% | 75 | |
| 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ | $30.5K | $15.2K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 89% | 70 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $416.8K | $57.0K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 85% | 63 | |
| 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $930.5K | $82.3K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 84% | 62 | |
| 61.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $96.8K | $5.1K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 79% | 60 | |
| 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $997.1K | +$22.9K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 59 | |
| 17.6¢ | 82.4¢ | $150.8K | +$6.3K | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 70% | 52 | |
| 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ | $97.3K | +$4.3K | 2.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 87% | 47 | |
| 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ | $999.5K | $5.6K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 44 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $391.3K | +$29.3K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 43 | |
| 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $39.8K | $1.2K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 71% | 43 | |
| 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $639.7K | $17.1K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 52 | 84% | 41 | |
| 2.05¢ | 97.95¢ | $1.2M | $1.0M | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 99% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $769.9K | +$64.1K | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 100 | 81% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $729.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $667.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $597.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $576.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $519.0K | +$3.6K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 40 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $509.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $493.2K | $4.0K | 0.1¢ | — | 46 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $480.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $474.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 1 day | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $437.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $424.5K | +$8 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 19 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $408.5K | $3 | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 0 | 87% | 0 |
| 99.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $387.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $382.9K | +$13.2K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 64 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $371.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $366.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $354.4K | +$4.0K | 0.1¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 82% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $352.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $301.4K | +$4.8K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $300.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $292.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $288.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $284.9K | +$1 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 74% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $282.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 12 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $268.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Blue wave in 2026?climax | 99.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $256.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 60% | 0 |
| 99.9¢ | 2.1¢ | $253.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $249.9K | +$58 | 0.5¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 65% | 0 | |
| 1.75¢ | 98.25¢ | $248.9K | +$104 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 6 | 69% | 0 | |
| 25.85¢ | 74.15¢ | $242.3K | +$628 | 1.3¢ | about 2 years | 87 | 71% | 0 | |
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)resolving | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $239.7K | $90.4K | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 0 |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $238.8K | $3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $236.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $228.3K | +$8.8K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.65¢ | 96.35¢ | $220.3K | +$158 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 7 | 71% | 0 | |
| 29.55¢ | 70.45¢ | $214.4K | +$0 | 0.9¢ | 25 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $211.7K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 2.1¢ | $211.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $207.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.3¢ | 98.7¢ | $206.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $201.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $197.7K | +$271 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 5 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $189.7K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $187.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $187.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.05¢ | 97.95¢ | $184.5K | +$61 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 19 | 66% | 0 | |
| 39.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $183.4K | $212 | 0.4¢ | about 2 months | 5 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $182.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $180.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $178.3K | +$3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 7.65¢ | 92.35¢ | $174.6K | +$38 | 0.3¢ | 6 months | 1 | 56% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 16.1¢ | $174.1K | +$0 | — | 5 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $172.8K | +$0 | — | 5 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ | $166.5K | $263 | 0.4¢ | 1 daysoon | 9 | 74% | 0 | |
| 2.65¢ | 97.35¢ | $159.1K | $40 | 0.7¢ | 1 daysoon | 2 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $159.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | — | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $155.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $149.7K | $2 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.9¢ | $146.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 1.15¢ | 98.85¢ | $144.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 15.2¢ | 84.8¢ | $143.5K | +$53 | 1.0¢ | about 2 years | 7 | 72% | 0 | |
| 4.65¢ | 95.35¢ | $143.4K | $40 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 11 | 66% | 0 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $141.7K | $49.5K | — | 5 days | 100 | 60% | 0 | |
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?resolving | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $139.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 |
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $137.8K | +$15 | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 1 | 75% | 0 |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $135.8K | +$1 | 1.0¢ | 7 months | 0 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | — | 0 | 51% | 0 |