Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 28%BUY T1$165.8K@ 78.95¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$565.6K·Priority 88·Direction NO 94.5¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Last evaluated: YES -5.1pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$12.1M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 26 observed fills
🧠Smart money
9 wallets (1🐋)·YES $467.5K· 24h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$1.3Msoon
89%priority88
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$70.9K
93%priority77
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$511.1Ksoon
86%priority75
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$188.0Ksoon
77%priority74
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$115.3Ksoon
74%priority71
YES 74.5¢NO 25.5¢$134.2K
72%priority71
YES 39.5¢NO 60.5¢$341.7Ksoon
75%priority69
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$30.9K
66%priority67
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$170.7Ksoon
74%priority64
YES 70.5¢NO 29.5¢$56.3K
81%priority63
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$132.4Ksoon
83%priority63
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$391.3K
76%priority63
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$103.5K
76%priority56
YES 70.5¢NO 29.5¢$584.8Ksoon
86%priority55
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$488.1K
77%priority54
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$68.5K
79%priority54
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$107.2Ksoon
71%priority48
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$77.2K
77%priority48
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$400.3K
73%priority45
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$42.3K
77%priority44
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$40.2K
96%priority42
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$33.8Ksoon
85%priority42
YES 96.45¢NO 3.55¢$206.3K
73%priority40
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$7.5Msoon
57%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$6.0Msoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$4.8Msoon
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$2.6Msoon
61%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$2.3Msoon
84%priority0
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$1.2Msoon
75%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$1.0M
84%priority0
YES 1.5¢NO 98.5¢$1.0Msoon
84%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$1.0M
60%priority0
YES 92.5¢NO 7.5¢$750.6K
84%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$690.9K
50%priority0
YES 9.15¢NO 90.85¢$609.1K
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$552.7Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$513.3K
81%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$507.4K
75%priority0
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$504.4Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$480.1Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$464.8Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$428.7K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$417.7K
75%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$411.0K
58%priority0
YES 61.5¢NO 38.5¢$408.1Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$405.1Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$370.9K
56%priority0
YES 96.4¢NO 3.6¢$365.5K
67%priority0
YES 78.5¢NO 21.5¢$358.7K
73%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$348.4K
51%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$344.9K
66%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 5.0¢$314.5K
60%priority0
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$308.7Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$294.5Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 1.9¢NO 99.9¢$284.2Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$276.0K
56%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$273.9Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$268.9Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$267.7K
61%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.65¢NO 99.35¢$248.4K
83%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$246.1Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 2.45¢NO 97.55¢$215.7K
52%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$206.2K
58%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$204.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$204.0K
50%priority0
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$201.3Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 45.0¢NO 55.0¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$198.8Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$194.1Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 54.5¢NO 45.5¢$188.3Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$185.5Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$183.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 3.65¢NO 96.35¢$179.1K
84%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$179.0Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$178.5Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 2.45¢NO 97.55¢$176.8K
70%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$175.4Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$172.0K
75%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$169.9K
65%priority0
YES 22.0¢NO 78.0¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.95¢NO 99.05¢$163.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$161.8K
60%priority0
YES 90.85¢NO 9.15¢$160.1K
63%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$158.9K
53%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 4.4¢$158.0K
63%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $1.3M | $565.6K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 89% | 88 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $70.9K | $20.3K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 100 | 93% | 77 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $511.1K | +$95.9K | 3.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 86% | 75 | |
Wizards vs. Cavaliersresolving | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $188.0K | $29.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 74 |
Flames vs. Oilersresolving | 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $115.3K | +$7.4K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 71 |
| 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $134.2K | +$9.5K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 72% | 71 | |
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesresolving | 39.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $341.7K | $15.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 69 |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $30.9K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 67 | 66% | 67 | |
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)resolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $170.7K | +$1.9K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 64 |
| 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $56.3K | $2.1K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 81% | 63 | |
Spurs vs. Jazzresolving | 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $132.4K | +$7.4K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 63 |
| 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $391.3K | +$56.1K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 76% | 63 | |
| 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $103.5K | $1.2K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 83 | 76% | 56 | |
76ers vs. Pacersresolving | 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $584.8K | +$5.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 65 | 86% | 55 |
| 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $488.1K | +$10.1K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 28 | 77% | 54 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $68.5K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 79% | 54 | |
| 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $107.2K | $6.2K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 48 | |
| 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $77.2K | $7.5K | 5.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 77% | 48 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $400.3K | +$1.2K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 16 | 73% | 45 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $42.3K | +$2.3K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 77% | 44 | |
| 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $40.2K | +$1.9K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 82 | 96% | 42 | |
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $33.8K | +$2.4K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 42 |
| 96.45¢ | 3.55¢ | $206.3K | +$7.9K | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 56 | 73% | 40 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $7.5M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.0M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $4.8M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $2.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $2.3M | +$29.6K | 0.1¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
Lakers vs. Clippersresolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $1.2M | $111.5K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 0 |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $1.0M | +$126 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 6 | 84% | 0 | |
| 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ | $1.0M | $102.7K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $1.0M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $750.6K | $526 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 2 | 84% | 0 | |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $690.9K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 9.15¢ | 90.85¢ | $609.1K | +$42 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $552.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $513.3K | $261.6K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 81% | 0 | |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $507.4K | +$785 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 42 | 75% | 0 | |
Heat vs. Hawksresolving | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $504.4K | $966 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 0 |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $480.1K | +$5.4K | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
Thunder vs. Mavericksresolving | 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $464.8K | +$2 | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 0 | 60% | 0 |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $428.7K | +$2.5K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 69 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $417.7K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 15 | 75% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $411.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
Nuggets vs. Pelicansresolving | 61.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $408.1K | $10 | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $405.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $370.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 96.4¢ | 3.6¢ | $365.5K | +$9.5K | 0.4¢ | 3 days | 100 | 67% | 0 | |
| 78.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $358.7K | +$1.8K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $348.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $344.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 3 | 66% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 5.0¢ | $314.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)resolving | 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $308.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $294.5K | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 40 | 61% | 0 |
| 1.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $284.2K | +$7.7K | 0.1¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $276.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Rockets vs. Bucksresolving | 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $273.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 0 | 65% | 0 |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $268.9K | +$1.2K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $267.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.65¢ | 99.35¢ | $248.4K | $66.2K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $246.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.45¢ | 97.55¢ | $215.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $206.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $204.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $204.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
Hornets vs. Pistonsresolving | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $201.3K | +$6 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 75% | 0 |
| 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 4.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Knicks vs. Bullsresolving | 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $198.8K | $2.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 0 |
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)resolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $194.1K | $29.4K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 61% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenresolving | 54.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $188.3K | +$20 | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 1 | 76% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)resolving | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $185.5K | $3 | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 0 | 60% | 0 |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.65¢ | 96.35¢ | $179.1K | $6 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 1 | 84% | 0 | |
Magic vs. Raptorsresolving | 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $179.0K | $588 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 32 | 59% | 0 |
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)resolving | 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $178.5K | +$935 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 39 | 76% | 0 |
| 2.45¢ | 97.55¢ | $176.8K | $5.1K | 0.5¢ | 3 days | 54 | 70% | 0 | |
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $175.4K | $37 | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 0 |
| 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $172.0K | +$25.9K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $169.9K | $7 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 26 | 65% | 0 | |
| 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.95¢ | 99.05¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $161.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 90.85¢ | 9.15¢ | $160.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $158.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 4.4¢ | $158.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 0 | 63% | 0 |