Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 37%SELL Spirit$286.0K@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$16.0K·Priority 80·Direction YES 27.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Last evaluated: NO -1.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$5.2M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 176 observed fills
🧠Smart money
4 wallets (1🐋)·YES $175.0K· 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$58.7K
75%priority80
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$147.3K
72%priority68
YES 16.0¢NO 84.0¢$322.4K
85%priority55
YES 83.5¢NO 16.5¢$109.0K
77%priority55
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$72.5K
75%priority54
YES 74.5¢NO 25.5¢$607.2K
87%priority47
YES 36.5¢NO 63.5¢$120.2K
84%priority45
YES 58.5¢NO 41.5¢$91.6K
88%priority43
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$948.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$691.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$681.8K
50%priority0
YES 3.1¢NO 96.9¢$626.8K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$620.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$606.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$428.1K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$392.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$384.1K
66%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$377.0K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$358.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$357.5K
65%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
50%priority0
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$343.7K
59%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.3¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$315.0K
0%priority0
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$309.9K
79%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.0¢NO 97.0¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$269.1Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$266.2K
70%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.4¢$266.0K
84%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$258.3Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$242.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$236.5Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 6.8¢NO 93.2¢$235.0K
50%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$234.1K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 4.3¢NO 95.8¢$229.6K
53%priority0
YES 2.2¢NO 97.8¢$227.6K
50%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$224.4K
74%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 95.7¢NO 4.3¢$216.8K
66%priority0
YES 17.1¢NO 83.0¢$215.8K
65%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$206.0K
50%priority0
YES 47.0¢NO 53.0¢$201.2K
62%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$196.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.4K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 20.1¢NO 80.0¢$181.8K
66%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$179.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
50%priority0
YES 8.6¢NO 91.5¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$173.5K
0%priority0
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$172.5K
50%priority0
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$172.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.2¢$169.1K
68%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$166.7K
50%priority0
YES 5.7¢NO 94.3¢$165.6K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$165.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$160.5K
0%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.2¢$159.3K
66%priority0
YES 41.5¢NO 58.5¢$154.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.3¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$150.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$148.7K
0%priority0
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$148.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$147.5K
50%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $58.7K | +$16.0K | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 100 | 75% | 80 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $147.3K | $2.9K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 72% | 68 | |
| 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ | $322.4K | +$5.3K | 2.0¢ | 3 months | 27 | 85% | 55 | |
| 83.5¢ | 16.5¢ | $109.0K | +$3.3K | 1.0¢ | 21 days | 14 | 77% | 55 | |
| 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $72.5K | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 10 | 75% | 54 | |
| 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $607.2K | $30.3K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 87% | 47 | |
| 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $120.2K | $1.3K | 1.0¢ | 20 days | 15 | 84% | 45 | |
| 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ | $91.6K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 88% | 43 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $948.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $691.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $681.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $626.8K | +$1 | 0.2¢ | 3 months | 0 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $620.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $606.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $428.1K | +$11 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 21 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $384.1K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 21 days | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $377.0K | +$254 | 0.1¢ | 21 days | 15 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $358.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $357.5K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 65% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $343.7K | $6.2K | 1.0¢ | 8 days | 36 | 59% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $315.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $309.9K | +$124 | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 2 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $269.1K | $9.9K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?disputed | 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $266.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 0 | 70% | 0 |
| 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $266.0K | $18.9K | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $258.3K | +$14.2K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $242.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $236.5K | $2.4K | 0.1¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 6.8¢ | 93.2¢ | $235.0K | +$0 | 1.2¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $234.1K | +$7 | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 0 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Plague pandemic in 2026?climax | 4.3¢ | 95.8¢ | $229.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 53% | 0 |
| 2.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $227.6K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $224.4K | +$1 | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 8 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 95.7¢ | 4.3¢ | $216.8K | $14 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 17.1¢ | 83.0¢ | $215.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $206.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ | $201.2K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.4K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 67 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 20.1¢ | 80.0¢ | $181.8K | $173 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 5 | 66% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $179.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 24 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 8.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $173.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $172.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $172.0K | +$0 | 3.8¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $169.1K | +$20 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 23 | 68% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $166.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 5.7¢ | 94.3¢ | $165.6K | +$336 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 63 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $165.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 23 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 23 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 0.5¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | $17 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $160.5K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $159.3K | $116 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 50 | 66% | 0 | |
| 41.5¢ | 58.5¢ | $154.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 3 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $150.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $148.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $148.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $147.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 |