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↕Latest large trade
data 27%BUY NO$167.0K@ 93.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$37.4K·Priority 89·Direction YES 58.5¢
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova
Last evaluated: YES +71.7pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.2M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 26 observed fills
🧠Smart money
18 wallets (4🐋)·NO $262.5K· 24h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 58.5¢NO 41.5¢$106.4K
87%priority89
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$416.3Ksoon
72%priority80
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$9.8K
74%priority69
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$167.3K
85%priority59
YES 40.5¢NO 59.5¢$189.3Ksoon
82%priority58
YES 53.0¢NO 47.0¢$12.2K
72%priority55
YES 60.5¢NO 39.5¢$34.8Ksoon
80%priority55
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$979.5K
96%priority52
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$53.5Ksoon
78%priority52
YES 10.2¢NO 89.8¢$671.0Ksoon
85%priority52
YES 74.5¢NO 25.5¢$70.1Ksoon
72%priority51
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$231.3Ksoon
70%priority51
YES 42.5¢NO 57.5¢$92.9Ksoon
78%priority50
YES 88.5¢NO 11.5¢$145.7Ksoon
74%priority50
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$17.8Ksoon
69%priority48
YES 67.95¢NO 32.05¢$672.2Ksoon
87%priority47
YES 21.0¢NO 79.0¢$914.8Ksoon
73%priority46
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$298.5K
79%priority45
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$108.9K
72%priority45
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$437.5Ksoon
72%priority42
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$1.8M
73%priority35
YES 84.5¢NO 15.5¢$713.8K
71%priority32
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$1.2M
84%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$1.0M
70%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$886.1K
0%priority0
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$709.6Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$709.1Ksoon
67%priority0
YES 0.95¢NO 99.05¢$604.8Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$559.4K
79%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$504.1K
85%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$498.2Ksoon
67%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$422.5K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$380.9Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 4.25¢NO 95.75¢$339.9K
63%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$337.4K
67%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$295.5K
55%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$294.9Ksoon
68%priority0
YES 93.5¢NO 6.5¢$293.2K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$261.4K
83%priority0
YES 7.0¢NO 99.9¢$260.1K
57%priority0
YES 99.55¢NO 0.45¢$258.4K
87%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$251.8K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 24.5¢NO 75.5¢$248.6K
68%priority0
YES 98.55¢NO 1.45¢$227.8K
69%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.95¢NO 98.05¢$218.4K
72%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$214.3K
65%priority0
YES 39.8¢NO 60.2¢$207.3K
61%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$204.8K
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$204.1K
61%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$201.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 3.0¢NO 99.9¢$189.6K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$183.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$183.4K
65%priority0
YES 10.35¢NO 89.65¢$182.1K
52%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$172.5K
59%priority0
YES 83.5¢NO 16.5¢$172.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$169.9K
50%priority0
YES 22.0¢NO 78.0¢$168.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$157.4K
68%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$155.5K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$146.8K
81%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$144.5Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 1.95¢NO 98.05¢$135.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$133.9K
55%priority0
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$131.7K
74%priority0
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$130.6Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 89.5¢NO 10.5¢$129.8K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$124.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$124.6K
0%priority0
YES 11.5¢NO 88.5¢$123.8K
58%priority0
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$122.9Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$121.3K
0%priority0
YES 2.55¢NO 97.45¢$119.5K
0%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$119.1K
0%priority0
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$117.6K
80%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.8¢$117.5K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$117.1K
53%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$114.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$114.2K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ | $106.4K | +$37.4K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 87% | 89 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $416.3K | +$91.1K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 72% | 80 | |
| 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $9.8K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 8 days | 100 | 74% | 69 | |
| 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $167.3K | +$6.2K | 1.0¢ | 8 days | 100 | 85% | 59 | |
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersresolving | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ | $189.3K | $21.6K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 82% | 58 |
| 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ | $12.2K | $1.7K | 4.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 72% | 55 | |
Pacers vs. Bucksresolving | 60.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $34.8K | $3.0K | 1.0¢ | about 17 hourssoon | 100 | 80% | 55 |
| 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $979.5K | $19.4K | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 74 | 96% | 52 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $53.5K | +$2.2K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 52 | |
| 10.2¢ | 89.8¢ | $671.0K | $2.2K | 0.6¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 12 | 85% | 52 | |
| 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $70.1K | +$1.6K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 72% | 51 | |
| 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $231.3K | +$1.7K | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 45 | 70% | 51 | |
| 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $92.9K | $14.6K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 50 | |
| 88.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $145.7K | $1.3K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 50 | |
| 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $17.8K | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 69% | 48 | |
| 67.95¢ | 32.05¢ | $672.2K | +$7.8K | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 37 | 87% | 47 | |
| 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $914.8K | $1.1K | 0.2¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 15 | 73% | 46 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $298.5K | $14.2K | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 42 | 79% | 45 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $108.9K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 7 | 72% | 45 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $437.5K | +$3.9K | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 62 | 72% | 42 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $1.8M | +$1.3K | 1.0¢ | 3 days | 3 | 73% | 35 | |
| 84.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $713.8K | +$5.8K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 23 | 71% | 32 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $1.2M | $119 | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 16 | 84% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $1.0M | $258 | 1.0¢ | 3 days | 2 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $886.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $709.6K | $768 | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 6 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $709.1K | $702 | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 47 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.95¢ | 99.05¢ | $604.8K | $7.2K | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 32 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $559.4K | $45.4K | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 100 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $504.1K | $45.5K | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 100 | 85% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $498.2K | $1.1K | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 50 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $422.5K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?resolving | 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $380.9K | $19 | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 0 | 70% | 0 |
| 4.25¢ | 95.75¢ | $339.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $337.4K | $14.8K | 0.2¢ | 9 days | 100 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $295.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $294.9K | $2.5K | 0.2¢ | 2 dayssoon | 100 | 68% | 0 | |
| 93.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $293.2K | +$9.2K | 1.0¢ | 3 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $261.4K | $123.0K | 0.1¢ | 8 days | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
| 7.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $260.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 99.55¢ | 0.45¢ | $258.4K | +$18 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 87% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $251.8K | $210 | 1.0¢ | 7 months | 11 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $248.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 0 | 68% | 0 | |
| 98.55¢ | 1.45¢ | $227.8K | $3 | 0.5¢ | 6 days | 0 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.95¢ | 98.05¢ | $218.4K | +$1.3K | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 14 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $214.3K | +$1 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 3 | 65% | 0 | |
| 39.8¢ | 60.2¢ | $207.3K | +$0 | 0.8¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $204.8K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 20 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $204.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $189.6K | +$2.6K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $183.4K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 9 | 65% | 0 | |
| 10.35¢ | 89.65¢ | $182.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $172.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 83.5¢ | 16.5¢ | $172.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $169.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 1.3¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $157.4K | $558 | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 2 | 68% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $155.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $146.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 81% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $144.5K | +$2 | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 1.95¢ | 98.05¢ | $135.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $131.7K | $2.0K | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 25 | 74% | 0 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $130.6K | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | about 17 hourssoon | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ | $129.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $124.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $124.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $123.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $122.9K | +$5 | 1.0¢ | about 13 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $121.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.55¢ | 97.45¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 4.3¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $119.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $117.6K | $377 | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 6 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.8¢ | $117.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 10 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $117.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $114.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 |