Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 42%BUY YES$11.2K@ 50.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$14.4K·Priority 68·Direction YES 52.5¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Last evaluated: NO +0.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$23.6M official all-time PnL
swisstony · 92 observed fills
🧠Smart money
2 wallets (1🐋)·YES $203.0K· 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$12.4Ksoon
100%priority68
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$492.1K
78%priority66
YES 93.5¢NO 6.5¢$628.8Ksoon
85%priority64
YES 57.0¢NO 43.0¢$102.6Ksoon
98%priority61
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$92.0Ksoon
76%priority59
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$326.2Ksoon
75%priority58
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$19.2Ksoon
100%priority58
YES 76.5¢NO 23.5¢$556.4Ksoon
77%priority54
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$731.4Ksoon
75%priority49
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$312.5K
77%priority47
YES 53.0¢NO 47.0¢$52.1K
86%priority46
YES 70.5¢NO 29.5¢$938.9Ksoon
85%priority43
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.7M
65%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$1.5Msoon
74%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$1.4M
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.2Msoon
76%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$1.1Msoon
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.0M
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$887.7K
51%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$835.7Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$834.5K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$680.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$575.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$506.1K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$396.3K
75%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$392.8K
0%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
50%priority0
YES 3.6¢NO 96.4¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.1¢NO 96.9¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 1.6¢NO 98.5¢$299.0K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$295.6K
71%priority0
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$287.4K
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$272.6K
0%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.3¢$269.4K
61%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$264.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$255.6K
50%priority0
YES 3.1¢NO 96.9¢$246.3K
64%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$232.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$230.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$230.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$217.7K
65%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$217.6K
0%priority0
YES 93.0¢NO 7.0¢$216.8K
76%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$206.0K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 14.5¢NO 85.5¢$185.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.8K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$182.6Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$181.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 36.5¢NO 63.5¢$178.3K
58%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$178.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$176.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
50%priority0
YES 12.8¢NO 87.3¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$171.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$167.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
50%priority0
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$162.7K
51%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$158.2K
50%priority0
YES 99.5¢NO 0.5¢$158.1K
79%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
50%priority0
YES 2.5¢NO 97.5¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$150.9K
65%priority0
YES 13.5¢NO 86.5¢$149.4K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$143.0Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$141.0K
50%priority0
YES 13.3¢NO 86.8¢$138.8K
65%priority0
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$134.7K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$133.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$133.4K
54%priority0
YES 24.6¢NO 75.3¢$133.2K
53%priority0
YES 24.9¢NO 75.1¢$132.8K
50%priority0
YES 24.3¢NO 75.6¢$131.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$130.4K
50%priority0
YES 1.1¢NO 99.0¢$130.4K
62%priority0
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$128.6K
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$126.4K
50%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerresolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $12.4K | +$14.4K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 100% | 68 |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $492.1K | +$127.9K | 8.9¢ | 7 days | 100 | 78% | 66 | |
| 93.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $628.8K | +$57.1K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 64 | |
| 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ | $102.6K | +$15.2K | 2.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 98% | 61 | |
| 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $92.0K | $1.7K | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 59 | |
| 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $326.2K | +$35.7K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 58 | |
| 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $19.2K | +$89.7K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 40 | 100% | 58 | |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?resolving | 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $556.4K | +$34.9K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 54 |
| 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $731.4K | +$2.2K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 27 | 75% | 49 | |
| 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $312.5K | $3.0K | 1.0¢ | 10 days | 4 | 77% | 47 | |
| 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ | $52.1K | $5.3K | 2.0¢ | 25 days | 100 | 86% | 46 | |
| 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $938.9K | +$5.5K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 43 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.7M | +$6 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.5M | $143.5K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $1.4M | $53 | 0.1¢ | 10 days | 0 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.2M | +$40.1K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerresolving | 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.1M | +$45.0K | 0.1¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.0M | +$16 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 5 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $887.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $835.7K | $8.1K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 73 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $834.5K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 44 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $680.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $575.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $506.1K | +$15 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 15 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $396.3K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 8 | 75% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.6¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.6¢ | 98.5¢ | $299.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 28 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $295.6K | $445 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 20 | 71% | 0 | |
| 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $287.4K | +$527 | 1.0¢ | 25 days | 6 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $272.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $269.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $264.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $255.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $246.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 9 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $232.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $230.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $230.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $217.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 65% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $217.6K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ | $216.8K | $7 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $206.0K | $33 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 27 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $185.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.8K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?resolving | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $182.6K | +$1.3K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 57 | 75% | 0 |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $181.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $178.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | — | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $178.3K | +$3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 4 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $176.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 12.8¢ | 87.3¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $167.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $162.7K | +$310 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 50 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $158.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $158.1K | +$90.0K | 0.6¢ | 7 days | 40 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $150.9K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $149.4K | +$3.8K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $143.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 13.3¢ | 86.8¢ | $138.8K | +$91 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 12 | 65% | 0 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $134.7K | $1.0K | 1.0¢ | 10 days | 1 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $133.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 24.6¢ | 75.3¢ | $133.2K | +$2 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 24.9¢ | 75.1¢ | $132.8K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | 24 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 24.3¢ | 75.6¢ | $131.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $130.4K | +$14 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 12 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.1¢ | 99.0¢ | $130.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $128.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $126.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 |