Find actionable changes on Polymarket
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Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 38%SELL NO$16.6K@ 83.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$1.5K·Priority 94·Direction NO 95.3¢
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Last evaluated: NO -24.1pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$7.9M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 166 observed fills
🧠Smart money
13 wallets (1🐋)·NO $113.5K· 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 4.8¢NO 95.3¢$53.3K
76%priority94
YES 11.1¢NO 88.9¢$153.3K
79%priority69
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$825.8K
72%priority63
YES 19.5¢NO 80.5¢$2.2Msoon
82%priority47
YES 79.5¢NO 20.5¢$1.6Msoon
76%priority29
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$2.0Msoon
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.7M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$1.0M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$680.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$660.4Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$582.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$580.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.4¢$535.1Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$496.0K
0%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$443.4K
54%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$425.6K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$395.8K
0%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$392.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
50%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
0%priority0
YES 2.6¢NO 97.4¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$329.9K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$326.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.6¢NO 96.4¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$286.3K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$272.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$268.6Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$255.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$230.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 4.3¢NO 95.8¢$217.6K
0%priority0
YES 93.5¢NO 6.6¢$216.8K
66%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$206.0K
65%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.0¢$202.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.2¢NO 99.8¢$196.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$188.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$185.3K
50%priority0
YES 18.0¢NO 82.0¢$185.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$176.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
50%priority0
YES 21.1¢NO 78.8¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$171.2K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$170.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$169.2K
65%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$169.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
68%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$160.0K
68%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$158.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.4¢NO 97.7¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$149.4K
67%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.4¢NO 96.6¢$145.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$143.5K
0%priority0
YES 77.5¢NO 22.5¢$143.2Ksoon
80%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$141.0K
0%priority0
YES 13.3¢NO 86.8¢$138.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$138.0K
65%priority0
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$136.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$135.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$134.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$133.9K
50%priority0
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$131.0K
50%priority0
YES 1.8¢NO 98.2¢$129.6Ksoon
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$128.2K
0%priority0
YES 7.8¢NO 92.2¢$128.1K
57%priority0
YES 60.2¢NO 39.9¢$126.2K
67%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$126.0K
50%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ | $53.3K | $1.5K | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 100 | 76% | 94 | |
| 11.1¢ | 88.9¢ | $153.3K | $1.6K | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 79% | 69 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $825.8K | +$49.1K | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 100 | 72% | 63 | |
| 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $2.2M | $20.5K | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 22 | 82% | 47 | |
| 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $1.6M | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 9 | 76% | 29 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $2.0M | +$236 | 0.1¢ | 2 dayssoon | 1 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.7M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $1.0M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $680.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $660.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 dayssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $582.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $580.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $535.1K | +$25 | 0.1¢ | 2 dayssoon | 1 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $496.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $443.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $425.6K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 14 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $395.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $329.9K | $0 | 0.1¢ | 20 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $326.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $286.3K | $38 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 1 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $272.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $268.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 0 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $255.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $230.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4.3¢ | 95.8¢ | $217.6K | +$0 | 1.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 93.5¢ | 6.6¢ | $216.8K | $236 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 9 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $206.0K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 74 | 65% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.0¢ | $202.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $185.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ | $185.1K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $176.7K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 14 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 21.1¢ | 78.8¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $171.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 20 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $170.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $169.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $169.1K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 2 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | $8 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 68% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $160.0K | $2 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $158.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $149.4K | +$5 | 0.3¢ | 4 months | 1 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.4¢ | 96.6¢ | $145.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 17 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $143.2K | +$16 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 1 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 13.3¢ | 86.8¢ | $138.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $138.0K | $2 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 3 | 65% | 0 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $136.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $135.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $134.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $131.0K | +$0 | 2.9¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $129.6K | +$1.1K | 0.9¢ | about 21 hourssoon | 37 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $128.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 7.8¢ | 92.2¢ | $128.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 17 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 60.2¢ | 39.9¢ | $126.2K | $5 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $126.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 17 days | 0 | 50% | 0 |