Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 26%SELL NO$204.9K@ 99.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$44.7K·Priority 86·Direction NO 91.5¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
Last evaluated: NO +3.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 32 observed fills
🧠Smart money
3 wallets (1🐋)·NO $120.1K· 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$80.6Ksoon
92%priority86
YES 92.5¢NO 7.5¢$95.3Ksoon
94%priority85
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$54.0K
94%priority72
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$218.5Ksoon
76%priority71
YES 39.65¢NO 60.35¢$72.1K
80%priority70
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$300.2Ksoon
76%priority66
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$187.1K
72%priority63
YES 80.5¢NO 19.5¢$274.9Ksoon
78%priority58
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$212.5Ksoon
88%priority48
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$307.1K
77%priority47
YES 73.5¢NO 26.5¢$741.3K
86%priority46
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$22.7Ksoon
80%priority45
YES 7.6¢NO 92.4¢$161.4K
80%priority43
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$478.6K
92%priority34
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$729.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$667.3K
0%priority0
YES 99.75¢NO 0.25¢$645.6K
79%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$596.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$577.7K
50%priority0
YES 99.75¢NO 0.25¢$509.8K
76%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$493.4K
60%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$490.2K
77%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$480.8K
0%priority0
YES 94.65¢NO 5.35¢$459.1Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$437.9K
60%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$424.2K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$374.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$362.2K
50%priority0
YES 97.05¢NO 2.95¢$333.1Ksoon
89%priority0
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$328.6K
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.0¢NO 99.9¢$292.9K
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$288.3K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$270.0K
59%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$267.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$264.5K
50%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$256.8K
60%priority0
YES 1.75¢NO 98.25¢$250.7K
79%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$248.1Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$244.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$236.0K
0%priority0
YES 23.9¢NO 76.1¢$233.7K
81%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$211.8K
50%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$211.4K
55%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$211.1K
86%priority0
YES 1.2¢NO 98.8¢$207.4K
66%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$204.8K
65%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$202.8K
50%priority0
YES 4.05¢NO 95.95¢$202.8K
80%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$201.3K
0%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 22.5¢NO 77.5¢$197.9K
54%priority0
YES 94.35¢NO 5.65¢$194.7K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$187.3K
65%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.9¢$187.0K
58%priority0
YES 4.05¢NO 95.95¢$185.8Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 1.0¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
64%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 94.4¢NO 5.6¢$180.7Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$178.4K
50%priority0
YES 41.15¢NO 58.85¢$177.4K
59%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$175.7K
50%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 16.1¢$174.1K
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$172.8K
55%priority0
YES 21.0¢NO 79.0¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.45¢NO 98.55¢$165.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$163.1K
53%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 14.2¢$160.6K
58%priority0
YES 97.45¢NO 2.55¢$159.1Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 92.75¢NO 7.25¢$158.8K
51%priority0
YES 93.95¢NO 6.05¢$158.7Ksoon
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 32.05¢NO 67.95¢$149.8K
53%priority0
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$148.4K
72%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$146.9Ksoon
56%priority0
YES 1.15¢NO 98.85¢$144.3K
50%priority0
YES 4.75¢NO 95.25¢$143.5K
51%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$139.6K
51%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$139.0Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 2.95¢NO 97.05¢$136.2K
86%priority0
YES 13.25¢NO 86.75¢$135.2K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$133.9K
53%priority0
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$132.6Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 50.0¢NO 50.0¢$131.7K
60%priority0
YES 13.55¢NO 86.45¢$131.3K
57%priority0
YES 3.1¢NO 96.9¢$130.7K
66%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$130.2K
65%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $80.6K | $44.7K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 92% | 86 | |
| 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $95.3K | +$56.5K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 94% | 85 | |
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harrisdiscovery | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $54.0K | +$30.2K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 94% | 72 |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $218.5K | $28.9K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 71 | |
| 39.65¢ | 60.35¢ | $72.1K | +$4.7K | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 96 | 80% | 70 | |
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $300.2K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 66 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $187.1K | $11.1K | 0.6¢ | 7 days | 100 | 72% | 63 | |
| 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $274.9K | +$40.5K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 58 | |
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?resolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $212.5K | +$6.6K | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 100 | 88% | 48 |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $307.1K | $4.4K | 1.0¢ | 12 days | 100 | 77% | 47 | |
| 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $741.3K | $14.5K | 1.0¢ | 5 days | 100 | 86% | 46 | |
| 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $22.7K | $4.3K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 80% | 45 | |
| 7.6¢ | 92.4¢ | $161.4K | $1.9K | 0.6¢ | 6 months | 92 | 80% | 43 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $478.6K | $2.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 10 | 92% | 34 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $729.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $667.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.75¢ | 0.25¢ | $645.6K | $3.0K | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 8 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $596.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $577.7K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.75¢ | 0.25¢ | $509.8K | $120 | 0.1¢ | 1 day | 1 | 76% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $493.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $490.2K | +$45.1K | 0.1¢ | — | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $480.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 94.65¢ | 5.35¢ | $459.1K | $52 | 2.1¢ | 1 daysoon | 12 | 51% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $437.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $424.2K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 21 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $374.0K | +$8 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 11 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $362.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 97.05¢ | 2.95¢ | $333.1K | +$6.2K | 0.1¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 89% | 0 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $328.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $292.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $288.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $270.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $267.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $264.5K | $2 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 17 | 50% | 0 | |
Blue wave in 2026?climax | 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $256.8K | +$2.8K | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 51 | 60% | 0 |
| 1.75¢ | 98.25¢ | $250.7K | +$614 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 7 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $248.1K | $14.0K | 0.1¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $244.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $236.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 23.9¢ | 76.1¢ | $233.7K | $348 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 34 | 81% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $211.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $211.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $211.1K | $135 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 86% | 0 | |
| 1.2¢ | 98.8¢ | $207.4K | +$1.8K | 0.4¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $204.8K | $11 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 18 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $202.8K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.05¢ | 95.95¢ | $202.8K | +$13 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 20 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $201.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 22.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $197.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 94.35¢ | 5.65¢ | $194.7K | $5 | 1.3¢ | 2 days | 1 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $187.3K | +$374 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $187.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 4.05¢ | 95.95¢ | $185.8K | $1 | 1.9¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | — | 5 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 94.4¢ | 5.6¢ | $180.7K | +$0 | 2.4¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $178.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 41.15¢ | 58.85¢ | $177.4K | +$616 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 8 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $175.7K | +$64 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 4 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 16.1¢ | $174.1K | +$0 | — | 5 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $172.8K | +$0 | — | 5 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.45¢ | 98.55¢ | $165.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $163.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | — | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 14.2¢ | $160.6K | +$0 | — | 5 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 97.45¢ | 2.55¢ | $159.1K | +$9.3K | 0.7¢ | 2 dayssoon | 100 | 60% | 0 | |
| 92.75¢ | 7.25¢ | $158.8K | +$0 | 5.5¢ | 3 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 93.95¢ | 6.05¢ | $158.7K | +$0 | 1.9¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 32.05¢ | 67.95¢ | $149.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 25 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $148.4K | +$2.3K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $146.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 9 hourssoon | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 1.15¢ | 98.85¢ | $144.3K | +$20 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 28 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.75¢ | 95.25¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $139.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | — | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $139.0K | $7 | — | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 2.95¢ | 97.05¢ | $136.2K | $6.3K | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 88 | 86% | 0 | |
| 13.25¢ | 86.75¢ | $135.2K | +$686 | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 7 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $133.9K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 7 months | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $132.6K | +$35 | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 2 | 76% | 0 |
| 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | $131.7K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 13.55¢ | 86.45¢ | $131.3K | +$0 | 1.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $130.7K | +$62 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 16 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $130.2K | $2 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 3 | 65% | 0 |