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Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 26%BUY YES$142.3K@ 95.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$9.8K·Priority 92·Direction NO 96.45¢
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Last evaluated: YES -22.9pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$12.1M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 27 observed fills
🧠Smart money
20 wallets (3🐋)·NO $355.3K· 24h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$82.7K
69%priority92
YES 22.5¢NO 77.5¢$289.5K
71%priority70
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$872.2K
81%priority68
YES 30.5¢NO 69.5¢$782.9Ksoon
86%priority67
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$19.8Ksoon
70%priority64
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$64.5K
69%priority62
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$96.0Ksoon
76%priority62
YES 10.85¢NO 89.15¢$691.2K
69%priority61
YES 18.85¢NO 81.15¢$177.1K
83%priority61
YES 12.5¢NO 87.5¢$826.9K
68%priority58
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$28.7K
92%priority58
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$98.5K
93%priority56
YES 86.5¢NO 13.5¢$21.9Ksoon
86%priority55
YES 38.5¢NO 61.5¢$26.5Ksoon
78%priority53
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$65.4K
85%priority53
YES 13.0¢NO 87.0¢$90.4K
72%priority53
YES 59.5¢NO 40.5¢$93.0Ksoon
72%priority51
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$41.5Ksoon
75%priority48
YES 96.9¢NO 3.1¢$192.1Ksoon
80%priority46
YES 3.7¢NO 96.3¢$154.5Ksoon
81%priority46
YES 71.5¢NO 28.5¢$25.5Ksoon
94%priority39
YES 70.5¢NO 29.5¢$389.2K
79%priority33
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$1.4M
85%priority0
YES 70.5¢NO 29.5¢$1.3M
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.0M
58%priority0
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$837.8K
76%priority0
YES 77.0¢NO 23.0¢$761.1K
80%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$690.5K
50%priority0
YES 4.0¢NO 99.9¢$677.3K
60%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$660.8K
60%priority0
YES 5.0¢NO 95.0¢$613.4K
83%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$482.8K
59%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$472.3K
56%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$417.3K
75%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$393.3K
58%priority0
YES 73.0¢NO 27.0¢$365.9K
78%priority0
YES 4.45¢NO 95.55¢$362.5K
51%priority0
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$329.1Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$312.9K
74%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$312.1K
78%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$308.7K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$286.1K
73%priority0
YES 3.95¢NO 96.05¢$281.8Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$275.7K
62%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$267.8K
52%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$266.2K
50%priority0
YES 69.5¢NO 30.5¢$255.3K
62%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$253.1K
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.6¢$240.6Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$235.0K
58%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 3.0¢$232.8K
60%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 66.0¢NO 34.0¢$211.7Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$204.8K
50%priority0
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$204.5K
78%priority0
YES 45.0¢NO 55.0¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 2.15¢NO 97.85¢$191.2K
71%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$189.0K
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 71.5¢NO 28.5¢$175.6K
59%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$169.9K
65%priority0
YES 21.0¢NO 79.0¢$168.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$159.2Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$158.5Ksoon
54%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$157.4K
75%priority0
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$156.6Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$152.1K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.3¢$152.0K
64%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$150.7K
59%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$147.4K
65%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$147.2K
0%priority0
YES 1.2¢NO 98.8¢$144.3K
50%priority0
YES 8.3¢NO 91.7¢$143.4Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$142.6Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$141.2K
56%priority0
YES 48.0¢NO 52.0¢$136.5K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 97.95¢NO 2.05¢$133.8K
67%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$130.2K
50%priority0
YES 1.65¢NO 98.35¢$129.3K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$129.2K
64%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$129.1Ksoon
63%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$123.5Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$119.5K
50%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $82.7K | $9.8K | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 100 | 69% | 92 | |
| 22.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $289.5K | +$10.5K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 71% | 70 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $872.2K | +$142.2K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 81% | 68 | |
| 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $782.9K | $27.1K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 86% | 67 | |
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?resolving | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $19.8K | $3.6K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 70% | 64 |
| 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $64.5K | +$1.3K | 3.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 69% | 62 | |
| 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $96.0K | +$16.6K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 62 | |
| 10.85¢ | 89.15¢ | $691.2K | $10.9K | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 100 | 69% | 61 | |
| 18.85¢ | 81.15¢ | $177.1K | $1.9K | 0.3¢ | 6 months | 64 | 83% | 61 | |
| 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $826.9K | +$4.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 68% | 58 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $28.7K | +$1.6K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 16 | 92% | 58 | |
| 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $98.5K | +$11.0K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 93% | 56 | |
| 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $21.9K | +$5.9K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 86% | 55 | |
| 38.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $26.5K | $4.4K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 53 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $65.4K | $1.7K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 10 | 85% | 53 | |
| 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ | $90.4K | +$4.8K | 2.0¢ | 3 days | 100 | 72% | 53 | |
| 59.5¢ | 40.5¢ | $93.0K | +$1.3K | 1.0¢ | about 20 hourssoon | 100 | 72% | 51 | |
| 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $41.5K | $2.8K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 48 | |
| 96.9¢ | 3.1¢ | $192.1K | +$3.0K | 0.2¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 10 | 80% | 46 | |
| 3.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $154.5K | +$3.4K | 0.4¢ | about 19 hourssoon | 28 | 81% | 46 | |
| 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $25.5K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | about 9 hourssoon | 100 | 94% | 39 | |
| 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $389.2K | $3.6K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 18 | 79% | 33 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $1.4M | +$90 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 85% | 0 | |
| 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $1.3M | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 3 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.0M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $837.8K | $11.1K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 41 | 76% | 0 | |
| 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ | $761.1K | $27.6K | 2.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $690.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $677.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $660.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ | $613.4K | +$3.6K | 2.0¢ | 4 days | 8 | 83% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $482.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $472.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $417.3K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 20 | 75% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $393.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ | $365.9K | +$96.4K | 2.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 4.45¢ | 95.55¢ | $362.5K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 6 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?resolving | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $329.1K | $9 | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 1 | 60% | 0 |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $312.9K | +$215 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 1 | 74% | 0 | |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $312.1K | +$86.9K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $308.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $286.1K | +$1.2K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 10 | 73% | 0 | |
| 3.95¢ | 96.05¢ | $281.8K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | about 19 hourssoon | 0 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $275.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $267.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $266.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $255.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $253.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $240.6K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 19 hourssoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $235.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 3.0¢ | $232.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ | $211.7K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $204.8K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $204.5K | $44.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.15¢ | 97.85¢ | $191.2K | +$51 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 1 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $189.0K | +$2.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 9 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $175.6K | $1 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $169.9K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 5 | 65% | 0 | |
| 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $159.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 19 hourssoon | 0 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $158.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 19 hourssoon | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $157.4K | $0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 75% | 0 | |
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $156.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 8 hourssoon | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $152.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $152.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $150.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $147.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $147.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.2¢ | 98.8¢ | $144.3K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 8.3¢ | 91.7¢ | $143.4K | $5 | 1.2¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 2 | 51% | 0 | |
| 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $142.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $141.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ | $136.5K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 97.95¢ | 2.05¢ | $133.8K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 4 days | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $130.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.65¢ | 98.35¢ | $129.3K | $935 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 100 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $129.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)resolving | 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $129.1K | $1 | 0.2¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 0 | 63% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $123.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 9 hourssoon | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 |