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Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 45%BUY NO$156.8K@ 95.4¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$2.1K·Priority 70·Direction NO 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Last evaluated: NO +5.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$23.6M official all-time PnL
swisstony · 101 observed fills
🧠Smart money
29 wallets (5🐋)·NO $123.6K· 24h
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 18.0¢NO 82.0¢$63.0K
66%priority70
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$67.8Ksoon
88%priority65
YES 13.5¢NO 86.5¢$92.8K
69%priority54
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$797.6K
76%priority41
YES 87.5¢NO 12.5¢$295.3Ksoon
81%priority33
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$1.2M
99%priority0
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$649.6K
57%priority0
YES 68.5¢NO 31.5¢$648.9K
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$605.5Ksoon
55%priority0
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$578.5K
87%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$506.1K
65%priority0
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$499.5Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$494.9K
76%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$487.7K
67%priority0
YES 94.6¢NO 5.4¢$471.9K
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$469.7K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$469.0K
87%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$462.0K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 6.0¢NO 94.0¢$392.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$388.2K
75%priority0
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$360.6K
61%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
50%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$341.1Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.3¢$338.2K
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$310.7Ksoon
79%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$309.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
50%priority0
YES 2.7¢NO 97.3¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.2¢NO 99.8¢$277.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$272.6K
0%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$264.7K
50%priority0
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$262.3K
74%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$257.2Ksoon
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$255.6K
51%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$253.0K
65%priority0
YES 98.0¢NO 1.9¢$252.4Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.8¢NO 98.2¢$238.4K
68%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$230.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 1.5¢NO 98.6¢$222.3K
50%priority0
YES 3.4¢NO 96.7¢$217.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.4¢$205.5K
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
0%priority0
YES 12.5¢NO 87.5¢$185.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$181.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$178.3K
65%priority0
YES 11.0¢NO 89.0¢$177.5Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$176.7K
66%priority0
YES 14.5¢NO 85.5¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 3.3¢NO 96.8¢$173.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$172.9K
50%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$171.4Ksoon
55%priority0
YES 86.5¢NO 13.5¢$166.8K
56%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$163.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$163.0K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$163.0K
50%priority0
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$162.7K
66%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$161.7Ksoon
81%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$158.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$155.2Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
0%priority0
YES 2.5¢NO 97.5¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$150.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$148.7K
50%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$148.3K
66%priority0
YES 11.7¢NO 88.3¢$146.8Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$141.3K
60%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$141.0K
0%priority0
YES 10.7¢NO 89.3¢$138.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$136.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.6K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$133.8K
50%priority0
YES 21.1¢NO 78.8¢$131.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$127.1Ksoon
56%priority0
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$127.0K
76%priority0
YES 64.5¢NO 35.5¢$126.2K
51%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$126.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.6K
50%priority0
YES 3.0¢NO 97.0¢$125.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$125.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$125.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$124.7K
51%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$123.4K
50%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.2¢$121.7Ksoon
52%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$121.4K
75%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$121.2K
50%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$120.8K
60%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ | $63.0K | $2.1K | 2.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 66% | 70 | |
| 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $67.8K | +$8.5K | 1.0¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 100 | 88% | 65 | |
| 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $92.8K | $1.3K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 69% | 54 | |
| 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $797.6K | $4.5K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 45 | 76% | 41 | |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?resolving | 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $295.3K | +$2.1K | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 36 | 81% | 33 |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.2M | +$56.9K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 99% | 0 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $649.6K | +$263 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 1 | 57% | 0 | |
| 68.5¢ | 31.5¢ | $648.9K | $2 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 0 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $605.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $578.5K | $864 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 4 | 87% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $506.1K | $2 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 17 | 65% | 0 | |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?resolving | 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $499.5K | +$424 | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 7 | 74% | 0 |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $494.9K | +$20.0K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $487.7K | +$995 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 4 | 67% | 0 | |
| 94.6¢ | 5.4¢ | $471.9K | +$3.4K | 0.2¢ | 6 days | 53 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $469.7K | +$28 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 4 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $469.0K | $263.2K | 0.1¢ | 13 days | 100 | 87% | 0 | |
| 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $462.0K | $451 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 2 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $388.2K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 9 | 75% | 0 | |
| 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $360.6K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 24 | 61% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $341.1K | +$744 | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 19 | 76% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $338.2K | +$65 | 0.1¢ | 30 days | 4 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $310.7K | $3 | 0.1¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $309.9K | $0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 6 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.7¢ | 97.3¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $277.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $272.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $264.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $262.3K | +$5 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 0 | 74% | 0 | |
Trump out as President by August 31?resolving | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $257.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 55% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $255.6K | +$6 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $253.0K | +$26 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 14 | 65% | 0 | |
| 98.0¢ | 1.9¢ | $252.4K | +$9 | 1.1¢ | about 16 hourssoon | 0 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $238.4K | $50 | 0.4¢ | about 1 month | 1 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $230.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.5¢ | 98.6¢ | $222.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.4¢ | 96.7¢ | $217.6K | +$0 | 0.5¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $205.5K | +$30 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 1 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.8K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $185.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $181.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $178.3K | $3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 12 | 65% | 0 | |
| 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ | $177.5K | +$9 | 2.0¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $176.7K | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 4 | 66% | 0 | |
| 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.3¢ | 96.8¢ | $173.7K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $172.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $171.4K | +$2 | 0.8¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $166.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $163.6K | +$5 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $163.0K | $1 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 0 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $163.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $162.7K | +$2 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 66% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $161.7K | +$50 | 0.1¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 2 | 81% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $158.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $155.2K | +$6 | 0.1¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $150.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $148.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $148.3K | $6 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 11.7¢ | 88.3¢ | $146.8K | +$17 | 1.9¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $141.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 10.7¢ | 89.3¢ | $138.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $136.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 4 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.6K | +$54 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 8 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $133.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 21.1¢ | 78.8¢ | $131.0K | +$39 | 0.1¢ | 4 months | 9 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $127.1K | +$1.1K | 0.2¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 6 | 56% | 0 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $127.0K | $2 | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 1 | 76% | 0 | |
| 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $126.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $126.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ | $125.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $125.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $125.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $124.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $123.4K | +$9 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 7 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $121.7K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $121.4K | $6 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 75% | 0 | |
| 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $121.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $120.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 months | 0 | 60% | 0 |