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data 25%BUY NO$228.8K@ 73.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$59.0K·Priority 82·Direction YES 97.5¢
Charlottesville: Justin Boulais vs J.J. Wolf
Last evaluated: YES -2.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 31 observed fills
🧠Smart money
11 wallets (1🐋)·YES $129.7K· 24h
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 97.5¢NO 2.5¢$32.4K
100%priority82
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$1.6Msoon
71%priority73
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$26.3Ksoon
100%priority71
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$306.0Ksoon
71%priority70
YES 34.5¢NO 65.5¢$325.7K
88%priority67
YES 76.5¢NO 23.5¢$429.6Ksoon
74%priority66
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$44.3Ksoon
67%priority63
YES 89.5¢NO 10.5¢$136.1Ksoon
74%priority61
YES 32.5¢NO 67.5¢$2.4Msoon
77%priority61
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$32.4Ksoon
86%priority60
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$679.9Ksoon
81%priority59
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$1.6Msoon
79%priority58
YES 30.5¢NO 69.5¢$95.7Ksoon
78%priority58
YES 78.5¢NO 21.5¢$865.3Ksoon
70%priority55
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$2.6Msoon
82%priority54
YES 37.0¢NO 63.0¢$10.5Ksoon
69%priority54
YES 11.5¢NO 88.5¢$225.5K
69%priority53
YES 19.5¢NO 80.5¢$462.3Ksoon
67%priority53
YES 75.5¢NO 24.5¢$14.9Ksoon
70%priority53
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$521.7Ksoon
67%priority52
YES 32.5¢NO 67.5¢$39.0Ksoon
79%priority52
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$2.2Msoon
80%priority51
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$140.0Ksoon
79%priority50
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$286.6K
82%priority50
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$45.6Ksoon
67%priority49
YES 74.5¢NO 25.5¢$2.1Msoon
82%priority49
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$7.8Ksoon
72%priority48
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$5.5Msoon
79%priority47
YES 9.8¢NO 90.2¢$1.0Msoon
66%priority45
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$1.4Msoon
69%priority43
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$174.3Ksoon
73%priority41
YES 63.75¢NO 36.25¢$631.6Ksoon
67%priority39
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$15.9K
75%priority37
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$4.2Msoon
81%priority36
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$1.5M
53%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$1.4Msoon
50%priority0
YES 87.75¢NO 12.25¢$1.3M
67%priority0
YES 86.95¢NO 13.05¢$1.3M
66%priority0
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$812.9Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 0.85¢NO 99.15¢$798.0Ksoon
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$729.5K
50%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 3.0¢$720.7K
50%priority0
YES 22.5¢NO 77.5¢$692.3Ksoon
68%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$690.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$667.3K
0%priority0
YES —NO —$656.3K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$613.7K
0%priority0
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$608.1Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$606.7K
52%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$543.0Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$509.3Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$508.4Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$453.4Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 36.5¢NO 63.5¢$449.2Ksoon
52%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$447.5Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$445.9Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$443.1Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$424.0Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$421.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$421.7K
75%priority0
YES 94.35¢NO 5.65¢$409.5Ksoon
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$408.5Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$396.7K
78%priority0
YES 1.75¢NO 98.25¢$374.1Ksoon
65%priority0
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$371.4K
51%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$370.9Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 1.85¢NO 98.15¢$364.6Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.85¢NO 99.15¢$361.9Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.6¢NO 99.4¢$349.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$348.3Ksoon
66%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$336.8Ksoon
50%priority0
YES —NO —$334.8K
0%priority0
YES 69.5¢NO 30.5¢$331.5Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 3.3¢NO 96.7¢$330.3Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 1.15¢NO 98.85¢$326.3Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$319.6Ksoon
69%priority0
YES 30.5¢NO 69.5¢$319.1Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$316.9Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$309.5Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 1.4¢NO 98.6¢$308.9Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$307.6K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$293.9Ksoon
54%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$290.2Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$289.7Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$287.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.2¢$287.6Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$285.8K
75%priority0
YES 1.85¢NO 98.15¢$276.9Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.2¢NO 99.8¢$276.3Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$271.4Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$269.2Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$268.8K
88%priority0
YES 0.6¢NO 99.4¢$268.5Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$266.5Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 3.6¢NO 96.4¢$266.0Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$265.2K
71%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$264.4Ksoon
50%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.5¢ | 2.5¢ | $32.4K | +$59.0K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 40 | 100% | 82 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $1.6M | $245.0K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 73 | |
Blues vs. Rangersresolving | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $26.3K | +$16.2K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 100% | 71 |
| 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $306.0K | +$11.1K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 70 | |
| 34.5¢ | 65.5¢ | $325.7K | +$56.9K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 88% | 67 | |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?resolving | 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $429.6K | +$133.1K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 66 |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $44.3K | +$3.1K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 67% | 63 | |
| 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ | $136.1K | +$28.9K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 61 | |
| 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ | $2.4M | $14.8K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 65 | 77% | 61 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $32.4K | $11.7K | 1.0¢ | 12 minutessoon | 100 | 86% | 60 | |
| 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $679.9K | +$28.6K | 1.0¢ | 12 minutessoon | 100 | 81% | 59 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $1.6M | +$1.9K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 93 | 79% | 58 | |
| 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $95.7K | +$2.2K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 58 | |
| 78.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $865.3K | +$3.6K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 30 | 70% | 55 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $2.6M | +$25.5K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 61 | 82% | 54 | |
| 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ | $10.5K | $1.6K | 2.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 40 | 69% | 54 | |
| 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $225.5K | $1.3K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 23 | 69% | 53 | |
| 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $462.3K | +$3.9K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 16 | 67% | 53 | |
| 75.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $14.9K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 12 minutessoon | 100 | 70% | 53 | |
| 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $521.7K | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 67% | 52 | |
| 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ | $39.0K | $3.7K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 79% | 52 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $2.2M | +$5.8K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 11 | 80% | 51 | |
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?resolving | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $140.0K | $11.9K | 1.0¢ | 12 minutessoon | 100 | 79% | 50 |
| 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $286.6K | +$5.9K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 82% | 50 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $45.6K | +$2.1K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 67% | 49 | |
| 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $2.1M | +$3.5K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 82% | 49 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $7.8K | $1.0K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 72% | 48 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $5.5M | +$3.2K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 13 | 79% | 47 | |
| 9.8¢ | 90.2¢ | $1.0M | +$1.0K | 0.2¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 10 | 66% | 45 | |
| 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $1.4M | +$6.1K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 69% | 43 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $174.3K | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 27 | 73% | 41 | |
| 63.75¢ | 36.25¢ | $631.6K | +$2.0K | 0.1¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 17 | 67% | 39 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $15.9K | $1.2K | 1.0¢ | 2 months | 41 | 75% | 37 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $4.2M | +$29.5K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 18 | 81% | 36 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.5M | $12.3K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $1.4M | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 87.75¢ | 12.25¢ | $1.3M | $354 | 1.1¢ | 3 days | 11 | 67% | 0 | |
| 86.95¢ | 13.05¢ | $1.3M | +$98 | 0.1¢ | about 13 hours | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $812.9K | $7.1K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 75 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.85¢ | 99.15¢ | $798.0K | $6.8K | 0.3¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 81 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $729.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 3.0¢ | $720.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 22.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $692.3K | +$50 | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 0 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $690.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $667.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| — | — | $656.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $613.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $608.1K | +$17.8K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $606.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $543.0K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $509.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $508.4K | +$1 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $453.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $449.2K | +$3.1K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 66 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $447.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $445.9K | $175 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 10 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $443.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $424.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $421.7K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 16 | 75% | 0 | |
| 94.35¢ | 5.65¢ | $409.5K | +$0 | 5.2¢ | 2 dayssoon | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $408.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $396.7K | +$10.9K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 1.75¢ | 98.25¢ | $374.1K | +$9 | 0.3¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $371.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | — | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $370.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.85¢ | 98.15¢ | $364.6K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.85¢ | 99.15¢ | $361.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $349.0K | +$0 | 0.6¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $348.3K | +$5 | 0.3¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $336.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| — | — | $334.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $331.5K | $10.7K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)resolving | 3.3¢ | 96.7¢ | $330.3K | $2.7K | 0.2¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 91 | 73% | 0 |
| 1.15¢ | 98.85¢ | $326.3K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $319.6K | +$39.0K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 69% | 0 | |
| 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $319.1K | +$9.5K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $316.9K | +$0 | 0.5¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $309.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.4¢ | 98.6¢ | $308.9K | +$0 | 0.8¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 12 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $293.9K | $19.0K | 1.0¢ | about 11 hourssoon | 100 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $290.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $289.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $287.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | — | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $287.6K | +$0 | 0.6¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $285.8K | $3 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 4 | 75% | 0 | |
| 1.85¢ | 98.15¢ | $276.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $276.3K | $0 | 0.2¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $271.4K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $269.2K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $268.8K | $432 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 9 | 88% | 0 | |
| 0.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $268.5K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $266.5K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $266.0K | +$0 | 0.8¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $265.2K | $5.8K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $264.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 |