Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 37%BUY NO$113.7K@ 53.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow −$41.4K·Priority 77·Direction NO 50.5¢
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)
Last evaluated: YES -36.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$7.0M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 167 observed fills
🧠Smart money
2 wallets (1🐋)·NO $82.6K· 24h
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$90.2Ksoon
88%priority77
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$229.2K
77%priority71
YES 94.5¢NO 5.5¢$232.5Ksoon
84%priority69
YES 88.5¢NO 11.5¢$86.8Ksoon
68%priority66
YES 88.5¢NO 11.5¢$160.0K
78%priority63
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$8.0Ksoon
100%priority62
YES 53.0¢NO 47.0¢$466.5Ksoon
86%priority58
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$91.3Ksoon
89%priority53
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$948.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$885.4K
70%priority0
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$817.8K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$681.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$680.8K
50%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$650.8Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$620.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$582.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$568.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$496.0K
0%priority0
YES 89.5¢NO 10.5¢$445.9K
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$424.5K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$407.0K
50%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$392.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
0%priority0
YES 84.5¢NO 15.5¢$368.1Ksoon
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$357.5K
50%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
50%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.2¢$339.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$326.8Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$315.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 3.4¢NO 96.6¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 20.5¢NO 79.5¢$297.0K
86%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
50%priority0
YES 3.6¢NO 96.4¢$284.9K
73%priority0
YES 3.5¢NO 96.5¢$278.2K
68%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$277.5K
70%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
50%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$250.4Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$242.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$242.7Ksoon
83%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$241.3K
52%priority0
YES 6.4¢NO 93.6¢$235.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$231.6K
89%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.3¢NO 97.8¢$227.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 96.5¢NO 3.5¢$216.8K
76%priority0
YES 15.3¢NO 84.8¢$215.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$206.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$202.4K
50%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.2¢$202.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$196.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$193.1K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$188.2K
0%priority0
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$187.7K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
51%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$181.2K
50%priority0
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$178.3Ksoon
66%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
0%priority0
YES 17.0¢NO 83.0¢$173.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$163.6K
52%priority0
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$162.5Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$158.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.2¢$151.5K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$150.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$148.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$147.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$147.2K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$143.6Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$143.5Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$143.5K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $90.2K | $41.4K | 1.0¢ | 8 minutessoon | 100 | 88% | 77 |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $229.2K | +$16.6K | 1.0¢ | 8 months | 100 | 77% | 71 | |
| 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $232.5K | +$45.6K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 69 | |
South Florida vs. Bowling Greenresolving | 88.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $86.8K | $8.5K | 1.0¢ | 8 minutessoon | 100 | 68% | 66 |
| 88.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $160.0K | +$31.6K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 78% | 63 | |
Spread: LSU (-8.5)resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $8.0K | $10.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 100% | 62 |
| 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ | $466.5K | $14.7K | 2.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 86% | 58 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $91.3K | +$1.1K | 1.0¢ | 8 minutessoon | 100 | 89% | 53 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 40 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $948.4K | +$65 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $885.4K | +$9.8K | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 52 | 70% | 0 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $817.8K | $33.4K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 92 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $681.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | over 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $680.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $650.8K | $74.2K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $620.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $582.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $568.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | over 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $496.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ | $445.9K | $647 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 9 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $424.5K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 2 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $407.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Chiefs vs. Dolphinsresolving | 84.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $368.1K | +$5 | 1.0¢ | about 20 hourssoon | 0 | 69% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $357.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $326.8K | +$292 | 0.1¢ | 8 minutessoon | 7 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $315.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.4¢ | 96.6¢ | $301.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $297.0K | +$10 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 86% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $284.9K | $2.5K | 0.3¢ | 4 days | 21 | 73% | 0 | |
| 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $278.2K | +$638 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 10 | 68% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $277.5K | $12.3K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $250.4K | $8.8K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $242.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $242.7K | +$5.4K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $241.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 4 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 6.4¢ | 93.6¢ | $235.0K | +$0 | 0.8¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $231.6K | +$1.5K | 0.4¢ | 4 days | 18 | 89% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.3¢ | 97.8¢ | $227.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 96.5¢ | 3.5¢ | $216.8K | +$18 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 1 | 76% | 0 | |
| 15.3¢ | 84.8¢ | $215.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $206.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $202.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $202.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $187.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $181.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)resolving | 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $178.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 24 hourssoon | 0 | 66% | 0 |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $163.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $162.5K | $5 | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 0 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $158.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $151.5K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 7 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $150.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $148.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $147.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | over 1 year | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $147.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 4 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Texas A&M vs. LSUresolving | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $143.6K | $22.0K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 70% | 0 |
Spread: Colts (-3.5)resolving | 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 20 hourssoon | 0 | 59% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $143.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 |