Find actionable changes on Polymarket
Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 27%SELL YES$2.3M@ 99.9¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$2.1K·Priority 75·Direction YES 71.5¢
Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B
Last evaluated: YES +0.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$5.4M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 182 observed fills
🧠Smart money
32 wallets (4🐋)·YES $228.6K· 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 71.5¢NO 28.5¢$14.8Ksoon
70%priority75
YES 39.5¢NO 60.5¢$71.2K
89%priority75
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$146.1Ksoon
76%priority72
YES 95.0¢NO 5.0¢$158.9K
73%priority70
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$84.2Ksoon
77%priority70
YES 71.5¢NO 28.5¢$25.0K
70%priority70
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$33.4Ksoon
69%priority61
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$23.3Ksoon
76%priority59
YES 44.5¢NO 55.5¢$119.3Ksoon
87%priority52
YES 32.5¢NO 67.5¢$1.3Msoon
85%priority52
YES 20.5¢NO 79.5¢$92.5K
73%priority49
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$14.0Ksoon
88%priority49
YES 69.5¢NO 30.5¢$1.2Msoon
85%priority48
YES 56.5¢NO 43.5¢$206.5Ksoon
78%priority48
YES 26.0¢NO 74.0¢$66.6K
76%priority45
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$407.7K
74%priority37
YES 62.5¢NO 37.5¢$76.2K
76%priority32
YES 12.5¢NO 87.5¢$2.1M
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$2.0Msoon
76%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$1.3Msoon
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
0%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$1.3Msoon
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 71.5¢NO 28.5¢$1.1M
79%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$695.5K
72%priority0
YES 90.5¢NO 9.5¢$666.3K
82%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$620.8K
50%priority0
YES 27.5¢NO 72.5¢$520.7K
76%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$420.5K
75%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$417.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$410.6K
80%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$382.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$367.1Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$358.2K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 3.0¢$350.2Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.2¢$339.4K
50%priority0
YES 57.6¢NO 42.4¢$315.2K
73%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$315.1K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$301.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$297.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$291.5K
0%priority0
YES 99.5¢NO 0.5¢$281.5K
64%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$260.2K
64%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$249.8K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 3.0¢NO 97.0¢$227.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$220.2K
76%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$220.2K
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$218.3K
66%priority0
YES 47.3¢NO 52.6¢$207.9K
61%priority0
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$201.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.4K
50%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$200.2K
64%priority0
YES 94.0¢NO 5.9¢$199.2K
63%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$196.9Ksoon
69%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$196.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$185.2K
66%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.4K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$183.1Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
50%priority0
YES 2.9¢NO 97.0¢$181.4K
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$173.4Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 99.7¢NO 0.4¢$173.3Ksoon
84%priority0
YES 59.0¢NO 41.0¢$172.5K
50%priority0
YES 46.7¢NO 53.3¢$172.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$168.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$166.7K
50%priority0
YES 1.9¢NO 98.0¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.7¢$160.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.2¢NO 99.8¢$154.6K
75%priority0
YES 78.5¢NO 21.5¢$152.6K
56%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 58.5¢NO 41.5¢$150.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$150.0K
50%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$149.7Ksoon
79%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$147.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$147.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$141.0K
50%priority0
YES 5.5¢NO 94.5¢$139.5K
76%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$138.3K
50%priority0
YES 36.6¢NO 63.3¢$138.1K
75%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $14.8K | +$2.1K | 11.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 70% | 75 | |
| 39.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $71.2K | $16.6K | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 100 | 89% | 75 | |
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)resolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $146.1K | +$49.4K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 72 |
| 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ | $158.9K | +$14.8K | 2.0¢ | 3 days | 100 | 73% | 70 | |
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsresolving | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $84.2K | $13.0K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 70 |
| 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $25.0K | $3.4K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 70% | 70 | |
| 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $33.4K | $3.6K | 3.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 40 | 69% | 61 | |
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5resolving | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $23.3K | +$2.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 59 |
| 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $119.3K | +$28.9K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 87% | 52 | |
| 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ | $1.3M | $62.9K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 52 | |
| 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $92.5K | +$10.1K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 73% | 49 | |
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $14.0K | +$1.0K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 88% | 49 |
| 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $1.2M | +$61.3K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 48 | |
Seahawks vs. Broncosresolving | 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $206.5K | +$6.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 73 | 78% | 48 |
| 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ | $66.6K | $7.2K | 2.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 76% | 45 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $407.7K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | 12 days | 13 | 74% | 37 | |
| 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $76.2K | +$2.0K | 1.0¢ | 19 days | 30 | 76% | 32 | |
| 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $2.1M | $21 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $2.0M | +$71.7K | 0.1¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.3M | $1.5K | 0.1¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 8 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.3M | $180.6K | 0.1¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | $0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 50% | 0 | |
| 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $1.1M | $4.7K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 24 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $695.5K | +$54.6K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $666.3K | +$56.1K | 1.0¢ | 19 days | 100 | 82% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $620.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $520.7K | +$4.5K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 16 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $420.5K | +$8 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 16 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $417.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $410.6K | $2 | 0.1¢ | 13 days | 0 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $382.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 19 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $367.1K | +$11.7K | 0.1¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $358.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 3.0¢ | $350.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 57.6¢ | 42.4¢ | $315.2K | $54 | 2.7¢ | 6 days | 5 | 73% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $315.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $297.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $291.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $281.5K | +$36.4K | 0.7¢ | 5 days | 100 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $260.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 16 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $249.8K | $504 | 0.1¢ | 13 days | 22 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ | $227.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $220.2K | +$93 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 3 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $220.2K | $198 | 0.1¢ | 13 days | 3 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $218.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 47.3¢ | 52.6¢ | $207.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $200.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 64% | 0 | |
| 94.0¢ | 5.9¢ | $199.2K | $1.0K | 0.9¢ | 19 days | 30 | 63% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $196.9K | $24.8K | 0.1¢ | about 19 hourssoon | 100 | 69% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $185.2K | $16 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 1 | 66% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.4K | $1 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 1 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $183.1K | +$59.6K | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.9¢ | 97.0¢ | $181.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 19 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $173.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 99.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $173.3K | $52.0K | 0.5¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
| 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ | $172.5K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 46.7¢ | 53.3¢ | $172.0K | +$0 | 11.7¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $166.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.9¢ | 98.0¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 3.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $160.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $154.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 75% | 0 | |
| 78.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $152.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ | $150.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | — | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $150.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $149.7K | +$46.6K | 0.1¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $147.6K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $147.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $141.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $139.5K | +$963 | 1.0¢ | 16 days | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $138.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 36.6¢ | 63.3¢ | $138.1K | +$6.6K | 0.7¢ | 3 months | 100 | 75% | 0 |