Find actionable changes on Polymarket
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Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 36%SELL YES$1.8M@ 99.9¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$18.0K·Priority 78·Direction YES 92.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Last evaluated: YES +1.8pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$6.6M official all-time PnL
0x2c33…0563 · 142 observed fills
🧠Smart money
26 wallets (5🐋)·YES $314.4K· 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 92.5¢NO 7.5¢$48.0K
100%priority78
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$191.2K
100%priority76
YES 42.5¢NO 57.5¢$898.8K
86%priority69
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$175.0K
87%priority69
YES 82.5¢NO 17.5¢$1.0M
90%priority68
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$83.4K
96%priority64
YES 79.5¢NO 20.5¢$71.2K
81%priority58
YES 91.5¢NO 8.5¢$65.1Ksoon
88%priority41
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.6M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$1.3M
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$948.4K
50%priority0
YES 57.0¢NO 43.0¢$763.1K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$738.9K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$681.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$620.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$574.1K
51%priority0
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$520.1K
85%priority0
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$501.6Ksoon
63%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$466.2K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$429.1K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$392.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$371.9K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$357.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$352.9K
61%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$344.6K
0%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.3¢$339.4K
0%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$316.7K
68%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$315.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$305.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$301.5K
50%priority0
YES 3.1¢NO 96.9¢$301.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$296.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$248.3K
71%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$242.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$241.6K
0%priority0
YES 6.3¢NO 93.8¢$235.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$231.0K
50%priority0
YES 1.9¢NO 98.0¢$227.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 96.3¢NO 3.8¢$216.8K
66%priority0
YES 16.3¢NO 83.8¢$215.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$208.0K
65%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.4¢$207.3K
58%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$206.0K
50%priority0
YES 50.1¢NO 49.9¢$205.2K
73%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.2¢$200.2K
67%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$200.0K
0%priority0
YES 67.5¢NO 32.5¢$197.1K
55%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$196.7K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$194.6K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$191.1Ksoon
60%priority0
YES 100.0¢NO 0.1¢$191.0K
60%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$190.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 99.7¢NO 0.3¢$190.0K
61%priority0
YES 0.9¢NO 99.1¢$188.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$183.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$183.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$180.4K
50%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$179.3K
55%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$175.5K
0%priority0
YES 74.5¢NO 25.5¢$174.5K
79%priority0
YES 12.7¢NO 87.4¢$173.9K
50%priority0
YES 55.5¢NO 44.5¢$172.0K
52%priority0
YES 0.8¢NO 99.3¢$171.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$170.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$166.8K
50%priority0
YES 2.8¢NO 97.3¢$166.4K
53%priority0
YES 4.8¢NO 95.2¢$164.7Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$164.3K
0%priority0
YES 8.0¢NO 92.0¢$164.3K
51%priority0
YES 0.6¢NO 99.4¢$163.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$162.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$160.5K
0%priority0
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$157.3Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$155.2K
67%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$153.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.8¢$153.4K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 2.6¢NO 97.4¢$151.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$151.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$150.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.4¢NO 99.6¢$148.7K
0%priority0
YES 24.5¢NO 75.5¢$148.0K
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$147.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 100.0¢$146.5K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $48.0K | +$18.0K | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 100 | 100% | 78 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $191.2K | +$49.8K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 100% | 76 | |
| 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $898.8K | +$41.4K | 1.0¢ | 2 days | 100 | 86% | 69 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $175.0K | $8.0K | 1.0¢ | 29 days | 100 | 87% | 69 | |
| 82.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $1.0M | +$115.9K | 1.0¢ | 26 days | 100 | 90% | 68 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $83.4K | $30.0K | 1.0¢ | 13 days | 100 | 96% | 64 | |
| 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $71.2K | $3.3K | 1.0¢ | 29 days | 100 | 81% | 58 | |
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?resolving | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $65.1K | +$1.0K | 1.0¢ | about 22 hourssoon | 34 | 88% | 41 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.6M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.3M | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 2 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $948.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ | $763.1K | $228 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 79 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $738.9K | +$1.8K | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 30 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $681.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $620.8K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $574.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 26 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $520.1K | +$76 | 1.0¢ | 26 days | 0 | 85% | 0 | |
Spread: Virginia Tech (-2.5)resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $501.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 63% | 0 |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $466.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 26 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $429.1K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 18 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $392.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $357.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $352.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 26 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.6K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $339.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $316.7K | +$11 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 1 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $315.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $305.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $301.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $301.2K | $7 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 3 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $296.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $248.3K | $4.9K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $242.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $241.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 6.3¢ | 93.8¢ | $235.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $231.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.9¢ | 98.0¢ | $227.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 96.3¢ | 3.8¢ | $216.8K | +$5 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 66% | 0 | |
| 16.3¢ | 83.8¢ | $215.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $208.0K | +$1 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 7 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $207.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $206.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 50.1¢ | 49.9¢ | $205.2K | $1.6K | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 33 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $200.2K | $3 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $200.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 67.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $197.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 29 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $196.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $194.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $191.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 2 dayssoon | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $191.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $190.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $190.0K | $15.1K | 0.6¢ | 7 days | 100 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $188.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $183.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $183.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $180.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $179.3K | +$5 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $175.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $174.5K | +$1.8K | 1.0¢ | 2 days | 42 | 79% | 0 | |
| 12.7¢ | 87.4¢ | $173.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $172.0K | +$0 | 1.5¢ | 3 months | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $170.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $166.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $166.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
Spread: Burkina Faso (-5.5)resolving | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ | $164.7K | +$0 | 8.8¢ | about 23 hourssoon | 0 | 50% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 28 days | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ | $164.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $163.2K | +$0 | 0.6¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $162.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $160.5K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | 3 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Bruins vs. Jetsresolving | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $157.3K | $1.0K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 47 | 61% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $155.2K | $12 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 2 | 67% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $153.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $153.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 9 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $151.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $151.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $150.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $148.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $148.0K | +$44 | 1.0¢ | 2 days | 43 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $147.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $146.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 |