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↕Latest large trade
data 26%SELL NO$499.0K@ 99.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$6.2K·Priority 82·Direction YES 88.65¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Last evaluated: NO +3.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 32 observed fills
🧠Smart money
34 wallets (6🐋)·NO $668.0K· 24h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 88.65¢NO 11.35¢$14.4K
88%priority82
YES 31.5¢NO 68.5¢$258.6Ksoon
77%priority77
YES 9.45¢NO 90.55¢$80.8K
66%priority75
YES 32.15¢NO 67.85¢$22.1K
78%priority65
YES 93.5¢NO 6.5¢$657.7Ksoon
81%priority62
YES 96.5¢NO 3.5¢$786.2Ksoon
71%priority62
YES 90.65¢NO 9.35¢$578.9Ksoon
80%priority58
YES 86.5¢NO 13.5¢$327.8Ksoon
84%priority58
YES 42.0¢NO 58.0¢$37.6K
70%priority57
YES 40.5¢NO 59.5¢$63.8Ksoon
75%priority52
YES 86.65¢NO 13.35¢$10.1K
87%priority52
YES 79.5¢NO 20.5¢$52.8Ksoon
87%priority52
YES 3.0¢NO 97.0¢$485.7Ksoon
69%priority51
YES 92.5¢NO 7.5¢$569.3Ksoon
72%priority51
YES 81.5¢NO 18.5¢$178.5Ksoon
78%priority51
YES 7.0¢NO 93.0¢$460.4Ksoon
70%priority48
YES 95.5¢NO 4.5¢$420.4Ksoon
73%priority45
YES 90.5¢NO 9.5¢$61.7Ksoon
68%priority44
YES 90.5¢NO 9.5¢$162.7Ksoon
83%priority42
YES 8.55¢NO 91.45¢$503.0Ksoon
68%priority41
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$177.5K
69%priority34
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$10.1Msoon
87%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$7.2Msoon
82%priority0
YES 99.55¢NO 0.45¢$6.9Msoon
88%priority0
YES 99.65¢NO 0.35¢$4.4Msoon
86%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$4.4Msoon
85%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$4.1Msoon
82%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$3.5Msoon
83%priority0
YES 99.5¢NO 0.5¢$3.2Msoon
86%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$3.0Msoon
74%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$2.9Msoon
76%priority0
YES 1.25¢NO 98.75¢$2.8Msoon
80%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$2.7Msoon
76%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$2.6Msoon
79%priority0
YES 98.45¢NO 1.55¢$2.4Msoon
85%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$1.8Msoon
56%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$1.7Msoon
79%priority0
YES 98.6¢NO 1.4¢$1.5Msoon
70%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$1.2Msoon
78%priority0
YES 1.45¢NO 98.55¢$1.1Msoon
79%priority0
YES 99.5¢NO 0.5¢$1.1M
82%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$773.1Ksoon
56%priority0
YES 99.55¢NO 0.45¢$755.3K
72%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$729.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$690.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$667.3K
0%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$614.7Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$590.4Ksoon
85%priority0
YES 99.3¢NO 0.7¢$575.5Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$557.1Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 98.2¢NO 1.8¢$529.6Ksoon
84%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$529.1K
58%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$493.4K
60%priority0
YES 93.95¢NO 6.05¢$449.3Ksoon
51%priority0
YES 99.1¢NO 0.9¢$440.1Ksoon
83%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$437.9K
60%priority0
YES 98.05¢NO 1.95¢$427.7K
74%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$422.1K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 97.1¢NO 2.9¢$399.6Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$398.4Ksoon
88%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$398.2K
50%priority0
YES 7.1¢NO 92.9¢$387.6Ksoon
68%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$379.3Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$353.0K
50%priority0
YES 99.55¢NO 0.45¢$343.6Ksoon
63%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$342.5Ksoon
50%priority0
YES 1.7¢NO 98.3¢$336.3Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$329.0K
50%priority0
YES 8.5¢NO 91.5¢$322.3K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$307.6K
0%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$303.4Ksoon
63%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$302.7K
80%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$299.0Ksoon
69%priority0
YES 1.0¢NO 99.9¢$292.9K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$267.9K
0%priority0
YES 28.5¢NO 71.5¢$264.2Ksoon
61%priority0
YES 99.85¢NO 0.15¢$263.8Ksoon
55%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$251.1K
79%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.6¢NO 99.4¢$243.5K
0%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$236.9K
73%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$235.9K
0%priority0
YES 1.0¢NO 99.9¢$235.2K
50%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$225.4K
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$223.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$222.3Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 4.5¢NO 95.5¢$213.7K
86%priority0
YES 0.3¢NO 99.7¢$204.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.7¢NO 99.3¢$204.3Ksoon
52%priority0
YES 99.75¢NO 0.25¢$202.8K
84%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$198.7K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$196.2Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 24.1¢NO 75.9¢$188.5K
70%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.65¢ | 11.35¢ | $14.4K | +$6.2K | 1.7¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 88% | 82 | |
| 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ | $258.6K | +$53.0K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 77 | |
| 9.45¢ | 90.55¢ | $80.8K | +$1.4K | 0.9¢ | 25 days | 75 | 66% | 75 | |
| 32.15¢ | 67.85¢ | $22.1K | $2.8K | 0.3¢ | about 2 years | 100 | 78% | 65 | |
| 93.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $657.7K | +$23.3K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 81% | 62 | |
| 96.5¢ | 3.5¢ | $786.2K | +$29.6K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 71% | 62 | |
| 90.65¢ | 9.35¢ | $578.9K | +$21.1K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 80% | 58 | |
| 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $327.8K | +$7.4K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 84% | 58 | |
| 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ | $37.6K | +$1.4K | 2.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 70% | 57 | |
| 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ | $63.8K | $7.3K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 52 | |
| 86.65¢ | 13.35¢ | $10.1K | $2.1K | 1.1¢ | about 2 months | 75 | 87% | 52 | |
| 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $52.8K | +$6.4K | 1.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 87% | 52 | |
| 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ | $485.7K | +$4.1K | 2.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 69% | 51 | |
| 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $569.3K | +$29.4K | 0.6¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 72% | 51 | |
| 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $178.5K | +$3.5K | 1.0¢ | about 14 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 51 | |
| 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ | $460.4K | $3.4K | 2.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 70% | 48 | |
| 95.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $420.4K | $1.8K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 45 | |
| 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $61.7K | +$2.6K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 68% | 44 | |
| 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $162.7K | +$5.8K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 83% | 42 | |
| 8.55¢ | 91.45¢ | $503.0K | $7.5K | 0.7¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 68% | 41 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $177.5K | $1.7K | 1.0¢ | 27 days | 20 | 69% | 34 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $10.1M | $15.2K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 87% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $7.2M | $164.4K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 82% | 0 | |
| 99.55¢ | 0.45¢ | $6.9M | $20.0K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 88% | 0 | |
| 99.65¢ | 0.35¢ | $4.4M | +$156.4K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 86% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $4.4M | $22.7K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 85% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $4.1M | +$35.3K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 41 | 82% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $3.5M | $99.6K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
| 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $3.2M | +$87.3K | 0.2¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 86% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $3.0M | +$17.8K | 0.1¢ | 34 minutessoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.9M | $35.6K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 79 | 76% | 0 | |
| 1.25¢ | 98.75¢ | $2.8M | $51.3K | 0.7¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $2.7M | $68.1K | 0.1¢ | 34 minutessoon | 100 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $2.6M | +$11.9K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 44 | 79% | 0 | |
| 98.45¢ | 1.55¢ | $2.4M | +$30.7K | 0.3¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 85% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $1.8M | +$4.0K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 23 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $1.7M | $51.9K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 79% | 0 | |
| 98.6¢ | 1.4¢ | $1.5M | +$15.4K | 0.6¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.2M | $93.1K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 1.45¢ | 98.55¢ | $1.1M | $12.6K | 0.3¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 53 | 79% | 0 | |
| 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $1.1M | $5.4K | 0.2¢ | 3 days | 15 | 82% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $773.1K | $5.1K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 56% | 0 | |
| 99.55¢ | 0.45¢ | $755.3K | $5.6K | 0.1¢ | about 23 hours | 39 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $729.5K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $690.5K | $3 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 3 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $667.3K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $614.7K | $50 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 75% | 0 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $590.4K | +$79.0K | 0.1¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 0 | |
| 99.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $575.5K | $15.3K | 0.6¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $557.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 98.2¢ | 1.8¢ | $529.6K | $14.5K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $529.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $493.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 93.95¢ | 6.05¢ | $449.3K | $18 | 1.9¢ | 1 daysoon | 5 | 51% | 0 | |
| 99.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $440.1K | $7.9K | 0.6¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $437.9K | $58.4K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 60% | 0 | |
| 98.05¢ | 1.95¢ | $427.7K | +$77 | 1.1¢ | — | 1 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $422.1K | +$7 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 17 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 97.1¢ | 2.9¢ | $399.6K | +$5.4K | 0.6¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $398.4K | +$143.9K | 0.1¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 88% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $398.2K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 7.1¢ | 92.9¢ | $387.6K | $237 | 1.6¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 3 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $379.3K | $38.2K | 0.4¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $353.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 99.55¢ | 0.45¢ | $343.6K | $563 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 23 | 63% | 0 | |
2026 Balance of Power: Otherresolving | 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $342.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 50% | 0 |
| 1.7¢ | 98.3¢ | $336.3K | +$11.0K | 1.2¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $329.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $322.3K | $65 | 1.0¢ | 12 days | 2 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $307.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $303.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $302.7K | $887 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 4 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $299.0K | $70 | 0.7¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 1 | 69% | 0 | |
| 1.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $292.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $267.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $264.2K | +$3.2K | 1.0¢ | about 12 hourssoon | 100 | 61% | 0 | |
| 99.85¢ | 0.15¢ | $263.8K | +$4.0K | 0.3¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 55% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $251.1K | +$40 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 8 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $243.5K | +$0 | 0.6¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $236.9K | $23.9K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $235.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $235.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $225.4K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 month | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $223.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $222.3K | $14.2K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
| 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $213.7K | +$21 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 86% | 0 | |
| 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $204.8K | +$17 | 0.2¢ | about 2 years | 27 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $204.3K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
Blue wave in 2026?climax | 99.75¢ | 0.25¢ | $202.8K | +$12.3K | 0.1¢ | 2 months | 100 | 84% | 0 |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $198.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $196.2K | +$33.8K | 0.1¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 24.1¢ | 75.9¢ | $188.5K | +$579 | 1.2¢ | about 2 years | 69 | 70% | 0 |