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↕Latest large trade
data 30%SELL Andrea Lazaro Garcia$329.4K@ 99.9¢
Sopo: Katrina Scott vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$15.7K·Priority 88·Direction YES 96.05¢
Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal
Last evaluated: NO -6.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 41 observed fills
🧠Smart money
52 wallets (3🐋)·NO $265.3K· 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 96.05¢NO 3.95¢$8.1K
100%priority88
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$575.4K
88%priority82
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$10.3K
79%priority77
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$144.1K
72%priority67
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$156.2K
83%priority65
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$346.6Ksoon
84%priority64
YES 6.3¢NO 93.7¢$31.5K
88%priority62
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$218.1Ksoon
84%priority61
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$94.0K
82%priority60
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$528.9K
83%priority59
YES 76.5¢NO 23.5¢$34.9K
85%priority59
YES 63.5¢NO 36.5¢$28.7K
90%priority57
YES 77.5¢NO 22.5¢$438.5Ksoon
85%priority50
YES 37.25¢NO 62.75¢$171.2K
78%priority40
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$288.1K
72%priority39
YES 10.75¢NO 89.25¢$1.9M
71%priority39
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$2.3M
73%priority0
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$1.6M
79%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$837.2K
53%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$756.9K
50%priority0
YES 3.45¢NO 96.55¢$655.4Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$575.0Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$574.9K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$480.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$423.3K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$362.0K
72%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$340.1K
71%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$321.7K
50%priority0
YES 81.5¢NO 18.5¢$318.3Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 35.15¢NO 64.85¢$273.4K
58%priority0
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$270.9K
83%priority0
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$264.0Ksoon
86%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$258.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 95.4¢NO 4.6¢$242.7K
56%priority0
YES 96.5¢NO 3.5¢$241.3K
72%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$240.6Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 3.75¢NO 96.25¢$225.6K
72%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$224.6K
65%priority0
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$224.5K
51%priority0
YES 61.5¢NO 38.5¢$218.9Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$206.9Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$204.8Ksoon
86%priority0
YES 28.0¢NO 72.0¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 30.5¢NO 69.5¢$200.2K
0%priority0
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$195.1Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$188.9Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 13.15¢NO 86.85¢$187.6K
54%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$174.8Ksoon
78%priority0
YES 19.5¢NO 80.5¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 84.0¢NO 16.0¢$164.5Ksoon
56%priority0
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$154.2K
61%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$147.4Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 2.75¢NO 97.25¢$143.5K
65%priority0
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$142.9K
73%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$142.1K
77%priority0
YES 2.75¢NO 97.25¢$134.8K
54%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$126.3Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$124.7K
55%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$119.6Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$119.5K
50%priority0
YES 62.5¢NO 37.5¢$118.7K
71%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$116.0K
51%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$114.8K
0%priority0
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$113.1Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$112.2K
0%priority0
YES 69.5¢NO 30.5¢$111.5K
74%priority0
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$111.2K
59%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$107.4K
81%priority0
YES 23.0¢NO 77.0¢$106.6K
79%priority0
YES 0.95¢NO 99.05¢$106.3K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$102.5K
50%priority0
YES 27.4¢NO 72.6¢$102.5Ksoon
79%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$102.0K
50%priority0
YES 97.65¢NO 2.35¢$101.5K
58%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$100.2K
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$100.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$100.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$100.0K
50%priority0
YES 1.45¢NO 98.55¢$96.6K
66%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$96.5K
63%priority0
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$92.8K
74%priority0
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$92.2Ksoon
57%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$91.7K
50%priority0
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$90.6Ksoon
72%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$90.6K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.05¢ | 3.95¢ | $8.1K | +$15.7K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 100% | 88 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $575.4K | +$146.8K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 88% | 82 | |
| 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $10.3K | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 79% | 77 | |
| 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $144.1K | +$4.1K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 72% | 67 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $156.2K | $4.8K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 83% | 65 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $346.6K | +$6.9K | 1.0¢ | about 22 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 64 | |
| 6.3¢ | 93.7¢ | $31.5K | +$8.6K | 0.4¢ | 6 days | 100 | 88% | 62 | |
Celtics vs. 76ersresolving | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $218.1K | $6.9K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 61 |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $94.0K | +$2.8K | 1.0¢ | 6 days | 100 | 82% | 60 | |
| 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $528.9K | $28.1K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 83% | 59 | |
| 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $34.9K | +$4.1K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 85% | 59 | |
| 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $28.7K | +$6.8K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 90% | 57 | |
Heat vs. Jazzresolving | 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $438.5K | $4.7K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 85% | 50 |
| 37.25¢ | 62.75¢ | $171.2K | $1.0K | 0.3¢ | about 2 months | 13 | 78% | 40 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $288.1K | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | 20 days | 29 | 72% | 39 | |
| 10.75¢ | 89.25¢ | $1.9M | +$6.4K | 0.1¢ | 29 days | 74 | 71% | 39 | |
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $2.3M | $139 | 0.1¢ | 29 days | 1 | 73% | 0 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $1.6M | +$2.2K | 1.0¢ | 29 days | 3 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $837.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 29 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $756.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 3.45¢ | 96.55¢ | $655.4K | $193 | 0.7¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 2 | 74% | 0 | |
Spread: Heat (-8.5)resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $575.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $574.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 29 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $480.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $423.3K | +$8 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 13 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $362.0K | +$3.8K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 64 | 72% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $340.1K | $7.4K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 47 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $321.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $318.3K | $295 | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 68 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 35.15¢ | 64.85¢ | $273.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 18 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $270.9K | +$195 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 83% | 0 | |
Bucks vs. Knicksresolving | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $264.0K | +$140 | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 4 | 86% | 0 |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $258.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 95.4¢ | 4.6¢ | $242.7K | +$0 | 0.8¢ | 29 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 96.5¢ | 3.5¢ | $241.3K | +$432 | 0.4¢ | 5 days | 3 | 72% | 0 | |
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsresolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $240.6K | $9.6K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 0 |
| 3.75¢ | 96.25¢ | $225.6K | $8.5K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 56 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $224.6K | $0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 16 | 65% | 0 | |
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $224.5K | +$0 | 0.3¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsresolving | 61.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $218.9K | +$33 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 1 | 77% | 0 |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $206.9K | +$13.4K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 0 | |
Capitals vs. Senatorsresolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $204.8K | $19 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 1 | 86% | 0 |
| 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $200.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | — | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $195.1K | +$19 | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 1 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $188.9K | +$2.6K | 0.1¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 71% | 0 | |
| 13.15¢ | 86.85¢ | $187.6K | +$203 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 3 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Spread: Magic (-6.5)resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $174.8K | $22.2K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 0 |
| 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ | $164.5K | $11 | 2.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 1 | 56% | 0 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $154.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $147.4K | +$17 | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 1 | 77% | 0 |
| 2.75¢ | 97.25¢ | $143.5K | +$2 | 0.3¢ | 5 months | 0 | 65% | 0 | |
| 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $142.9K | $22 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 1 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $142.1K | $38.5K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 77% | 0 | |
| 2.75¢ | 97.25¢ | $134.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 20 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Devils vs. Jetsresolving | 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $126.3K | $29 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 2 | 59% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $124.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 20 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
Magic vs. Kingsresolving | 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $119.6K | $15.9K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 0 |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $118.7K | $13 | 0.8¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 71% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $116.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5resolving | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $113.1K | $393 | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 26 | 76% | 0 |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $112.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $111.5K | +$24 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 74% | 0 | |
| 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $111.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 18 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $107.4K | $2 | 1.0¢ | 20 days | 0 | 81% | 0 | |
| 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ | $106.6K | $78 | 0.8¢ | about 1 year | 11 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.95¢ | 99.05¢ | $106.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $102.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 27.4¢ | 72.6¢ | $102.5K | +$172 | 7.7¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 79% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $102.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 97.65¢ | 2.35¢ | $101.5K | +$0 | 0.7¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $100.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $100.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $100.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $100.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.45¢ | 98.55¢ | $96.6K | $111 | 0.9¢ | 3 months | 100 | 66% | 0 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $96.5K | +$0 | 3.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 63% | 0 | |
| 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $92.8K | $3.2K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $92.2K | $10 | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 1 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $91.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersresolving | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $90.6K | +$38 | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 8 | 72% | 0 |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $90.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 |