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Signed flow · confirmed position building · verified wallets · executable liquidity
Every score shows freshness and coverage.
↕Latest large trade
data 26%BUY NO$10.3K@ 99.89¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 14?
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$43.0K·Priority 82·Direction YES 50.5¢
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
Last evaluated: NO -1.3pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 40 observed fills
🧠Smart money
34 wallets (1🐋)·NO $155.4K· 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$127.2Ksoon
93%priority82
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$160.7Ksoon
76%priority72
YES 60.5¢NO 39.5¢$242.6Ksoon
85%priority67
YES 20.5¢NO 79.5¢$34.3K
84%priority66
YES 68.5¢NO 31.5¢$143.4Ksoon
81%priority64
YES 21.0¢NO 79.0¢$124.1Ksoon
71%priority62
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$94.1Ksoon
74%priority61
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$121.1K
87%priority60
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$74.7Ksoon
94%priority60
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$398.9Ksoon
75%priority59
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$169.9Ksoon
90%priority57
YES 42.5¢NO 57.5¢$152.0Ksoon
88%priority57
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$142.4Ksoon
79%priority56
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$195.3Ksoon
84%priority55
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$66.4Ksoon
90%priority51
YES 70.5¢NO 29.5¢$141.6Ksoon
73%priority47
YES 45.5¢NO 54.5¢$133.6Ksoon
75%priority47
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$65.7Ksoon
75%priority46
YES 22.95¢NO 77.05¢$48.5K
78%priority44
YES 21.5¢NO 78.5¢$119.0Ksoon
90%priority43
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$63.0K
74%priority43
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$1.9Msoon
62%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$973.3K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$891.2K
60%priority0
YES 7.55¢NO 92.45¢$866.8K
72%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$850.0K
75%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$743.1K
52%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$699.2K
62%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$649.6K
59%priority0
YES 2.55¢NO 97.45¢$615.8K
69%priority0
YES 88.5¢NO 11.5¢$546.5K
59%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$544.4K
62%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$530.8K
50%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$480.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$468.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$427.7K
65%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 86.5¢NO 13.5¢$407.9K
57%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$400.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$400.0K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$382.6K
60%priority0
YES 4.0¢NO 99.9¢$371.0K
56%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$368.9K
0%priority0
YES 97.25¢NO 2.75¢$315.0K
82%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$303.0K
67%priority0
YES 9.15¢NO 90.85¢$291.4K
70%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 23.0¢NO 99.9¢$271.4K
59%priority0
YES 57.0¢NO 43.0¢$260.7K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.4¢$247.6K
60%priority0
YES 0.75¢NO 99.25¢$231.0K
50%priority0
YES 1.65¢NO 98.35¢$220.1K
52%priority0
YES 3.0¢NO 99.9¢$208.2K
56%priority0
YES 33.5¢NO 66.5¢$201.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$200.2K
50%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.5¢$194.1K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 9.5¢NO 90.5¢$186.8Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 0.1¢$186.3K
54%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 1.0¢$179.6K
60%priority0
YES 19.5¢NO 80.5¢$177.7K
76%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$176.0K
60%priority0
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$171.7K
62%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 0.75¢NO 99.25¢$164.9K
50%priority0
YES 42.0¢NO 58.0¢$163.7K
56%priority0
YES 72.5¢NO 27.5¢$161.8K
61%priority0
YES 40.0¢NO 60.0¢$160.9K
61%priority0
YES 17.95¢NO 82.05¢$156.9K
73%priority0
YES 5.55¢NO 94.45¢$155.0K
52%priority0
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$154.5Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 46.5¢NO 53.5¢$153.2Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 1.8¢NO 98.2¢$153.0K
50%priority0
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$153.0K
72%priority0
YES 23.5¢NO 76.5¢$152.8K
74%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 3.45¢NO 96.55¢$151.3K
71%priority0
YES 11.5¢NO 88.5¢$149.6K
82%priority0
YES 99.9¢NO 3.4¢$141.4K
59%priority0
YES 0.5¢NO 99.9¢$135.2Ksoon
57%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 10.4¢NO 89.6¢$132.8K
76%priority0
YES 24.65¢NO 75.35¢$131.6K
55%priority0
YES 6.9¢NO 93.1¢$129.3K
70%priority0
YES 7.05¢NO 92.95¢$126.2K
52%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 7.5¢NO 92.5¢$125.0K
61%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$119.5K
50%priority0
YES 1.45¢NO 98.55¢$118.3K
76%priority0
YES 11.65¢NO 88.35¢$117.8K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$114.8K
0%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5resolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $127.2K | +$43.0K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 93% | 82 |
| 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $160.7K | +$13.8K | 1.0¢ | about 17 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 72 | |
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansresolving | 60.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $242.6K | +$80.8K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 85% | 67 |
| 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $34.3K | $22.2K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 84% | 66 | |
Hawks vs. Bullsresolving | 68.5¢ | 31.5¢ | $143.4K | $18.7K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 81% | 64 |
| 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $124.1K | $2.4K | 2.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 71% | 62 | |
Warriors vs. Spursresolving | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $94.1K | $4.2K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 61 |
| 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $121.1K | +$2.7K | 0.2¢ | 5 months | 47 | 87% | 60 | |
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5resolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $74.7K | $22.3K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 94% | 60 |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $398.9K | $28.0K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 88 | 75% | 59 | |
Knicks vs. Pacersresolving | 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $169.9K | +$25.3K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 90% | 57 |
Florida State vs. Pittsburghresolving | 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $152.0K | $15.2K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 88% | 57 |
Cavaliers vs. Heatresolving | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $142.4K | $16.2K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 79% | 56 |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $195.3K | $9.6K | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 100 | 84% | 55 | |
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $66.4K | +$15.9K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 90% | 51 |
Thunder vs. Clippersresolving | 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $141.6K | +$2.9K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 47 |
| 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $133.6K | $2.6K | 1.0¢ | about 14 hourssoon | 100 | 75% | 47 | |
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $65.7K | $1.9K | 1.0¢ | about 1 hoursoon | 100 | 75% | 46 |
| 22.95¢ | 77.05¢ | $48.5K | $1.7K | 0.5¢ | about 2 months | 15 | 78% | 44 | |
Bucks vs. Magicresolving | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $119.0K | $1.8K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 90% | 43 |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $63.0K | $4.0K | 1.0¢ | 17 days | 22 | 74% | 43 | |
| 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $1.9M | $93 | 1.0¢ | 1 daysoon | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $973.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 26 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $891.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 7.55¢ | 92.45¢ | $866.8K | +$452 | 0.1¢ | 26 days | 2 | 72% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $850.0K | +$24.5K | 0.1¢ | 4 days | 100 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $743.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 26 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $699.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $649.6K | $970 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 6 | 59% | 0 | |
| 2.55¢ | 97.45¢ | $615.8K | $5 | 0.3¢ | 26 days | 1 | 69% | 0 | |
| 88.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $546.5K | $213 | 1.0¢ | 26 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $544.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $530.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $480.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $468.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $427.7K | +$8 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 13 | 65% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $407.9K | +$12.6K | 1.0¢ | 17 days | 100 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $400.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $400.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $382.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 4.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $371.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $368.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 97.25¢ | 2.75¢ | $315.0K | +$10.0K | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 65 | 82% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $303.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 67% | 0 | |
| 9.15¢ | 90.85¢ | $291.4K | +$5 | 0.1¢ | about 2 years | 0 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 23.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $271.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ | $260.7K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 6 hours | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $247.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 0.75¢ | 99.25¢ | $231.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.65¢ | 98.35¢ | $220.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 3.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $208.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 56% | 0 | |
| 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $200.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $194.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 3 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Jazz vs. Rocketsresolving | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $186.8K | $5.5K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 0 |
| 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $186.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $179.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $177.7K | $461 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 6 | 76% | 0 | |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $176.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 3 days | 0 | 60% | 0 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $171.7K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 62% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.75¢ | 99.25¢ | $164.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ | $163.7K | $6.3K | 2.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 56% | 0 | |
| 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $161.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ | $160.9K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 17.95¢ | 82.05¢ | $156.9K | $257 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 3 | 73% | 0 | |
| 5.55¢ | 94.45¢ | $155.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
Rangers vs. Canucksresolving | 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $154.5K | +$53 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 3 | 59% | 0 |
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)resolving | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $153.2K | $23.6K | 1.0¢ | 17 minutessoon | 100 | 62% | 0 |
| 1.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $153.0K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 5 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $153.0K | $300 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 16 | 72% | 0 | |
| 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $152.8K | +$85 | 1.0¢ | about 2 years | 4 | 74% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.45¢ | 96.55¢ | $151.3K | +$174 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 3 | 71% | 0 | |
| 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $149.6K | +$10.5K | 0.4¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 82% | 0 | |
| 99.9¢ | 3.4¢ | $141.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $135.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 27 minutessoon | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 10.4¢ | 89.6¢ | $132.8K | +$9 | 0.4¢ | 17 days | 0 | 76% | 0 | |
| 24.65¢ | 75.35¢ | $131.6K | $33 | 0.9¢ | 2 days | 2 | 55% | 0 | |
| 6.9¢ | 93.1¢ | $129.3K | +$125 | 1.0¢ | 17 days | 17 | 70% | 0 | |
| 7.05¢ | 92.95¢ | $126.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 0 | 52% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $125.0K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.45¢ | 98.55¢ | $118.3K | $1.9K | 0.1¢ | 2 days | 11 | 76% | 0 | |
| 11.65¢ | 88.35¢ | $117.8K | +$3.1K | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 |