Official 24h vol
$11.5M
Official markets
132/178
Observed sample
$1.6M
Sample / official
13.5%
Signed flow
NO $335.9K
Known action
100%
Data confidence
37%
Categories use audited Gamma event metadata with legacy fallback. Multi-category markets can appear in more than one category, so category totals are not additive. Flow is a signed YES-equivalent sample of observed trades with known BUY/SELL action. Observed wallet-market pairs: 1393; observed trades: 2336.
Markets · official 24h volumeOpen screener →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.4¢ / 99.6¢
Activity 1Data 70%Priority 0FLAT
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16.5¢ / 83.5¢
Activity 21Data 73%Priority 39NO
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?94.5¢ / 5.5¢
Activity 0Data 62%Priority 0FLAT
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?20.5¢ / 79.5¢
Activity 1Data 76%Priority 0YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?3.6¢ / 96.4¢
Activity 10Data 73%Priority 0NO
Iran leadership change by September 30?0.4¢ / 99.6¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?0.8¢ / 99.3¢
Activity 0Data 74%Priority 0FLAT
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?0.4¢ / 99.7¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?6.5¢ / 93.5¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.6¢ / 96.4¢
Activity 7Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Iran leadership change by December 31?10.5¢ / 89.5¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?1.1¢ / 98.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?0.3¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?57.5¢ / 42.5¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?26.5¢ / 73.5¢
Activity 15Data 56%Priority 0NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?58.5¢ / 41.5¢
Activity 0Data 56%Priority 0FLAT
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.3¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?2.6¢ / 97.4¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?8.0¢ / 92.0¢
Activity 0Data 53%Priority 0FLAT
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?38.5¢ / 61.5¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?10.0¢ / 90.0¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?1.8¢ / 98.2¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?29.5¢ / 70.5¢
Activity 0Data 57%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?39.5¢ / 60.5¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?34.5¢ / 65.5¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?2.5¢ / 97.5¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 3113.0¢ / 87.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?6.5¢ / 93.5¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?12.0¢ / 88.0¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.3¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?9.5¢ / 90.5¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?76.6¢ / 23.4¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?7.9¢ / 92.1¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?60.4¢ / 39.6¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?97.0¢ / 3.0¢
Activity 100Data 72%Priority 0YES
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?0.1¢ / 100.0¢
Activity 0Data 63%Priority 0FLAT
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?4.2¢ / 95.9¢
Activity 13Data 78%Priority 0YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?18.5¢ / 81.5¢
Activity 0Data 54%Priority 0FLAT
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?22.5¢ / 77.5¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.1¢ / 99.8¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?1.5¢ / 98.6¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?6.2¢ / 93.8¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?2.8¢ / 97.3¢
Activity 100Data 52%Priority 0NO
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?3.1¢ / 96.9¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Large observed trades · $10k+Full tape →