Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

GeopoliticsCloses: 6 monthsLiquidity: $356.0K24h Vol: $38.6M
14.0¢
YES
85.0¢
NO
73.0¢
Spread
conv1Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge1Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom1Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:94 trades52% YES48% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·2 wallets(1🐋)·$69.7K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$45.2K@ 87¢·Erasmus.

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$400
6h$1.9K
24h+$451

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current14.0¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d73.5¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.5K
85¢
$612.6K
80¢
$902.6K
75¢
$215.3K
70¢
$27.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$28.7K
20¢
$79.0K
15¢
$369.2K
10¢
← now
$136.4K
5¢
$4.2K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$17.6K@ 88.0¢0xe8ff…c93b🐋-2.3%3 days ago
NO$35.2K@ 88.0¢0xe8ff…c93b🐋-2.3%3 days ago
NO$13.0K@ 87.1¢0xdd1d…bbf0🐋-1.2%3 days ago
NO$13.1K@ 87.0¢
Vilgefortz0x3c91…9af7
🐋-1.1%5 days ago
YES$16.7K@ 14.5¢0xc851…cd2a🐋-3.2%7 days ago
NO$17.2K@ 87.5¢0xdd1d…bbf0🐋-1.7%8 days ago
NO$45.2K@ 87.0¢
Erasmus.0xc658…b784
🐋-1.1%11 days ago
NO$17.6K@ 88.0¢0x8b4b…541b🐋-2.3%13 days ago
NO$23.3K@ 87.2¢0xc639…c5a2🐋-1.4%13 days ago
NO$25.5K@ 89.0¢0x2c39…56dc🐋-3.4%14 days ago
NO$19.4K@ 87.0¢
MisTKy0x35bb…009b
🐋-1.1%14 days ago
NO$21.7K@ 86.8¢
MisTKy0x35bb…009b
🐋-0.9%14 days ago
NO$28.2K@ 85.0¢0x2c39…56dc🐋+1.2%14 days ago
NO$24.1K@ 84.0¢
pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489
🐋+2.4%14 days ago
NO$16.2K@ 81.0¢
pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489
🐋+6.2%16 days ago
NO$31.2K@ 80.5¢
mr.ozi0x614d…1546
🐋+6.8%16 days ago
NO$15.6K@ 84.0¢
Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42
🐋+2.4%17 days ago
NO$20.0K@ 75.0¢0xc639…c5a2🐋+14.7%17 days ago
NO$45.0K@ 75.0¢
Istaroth0x9efd…ad00
🐋+14.7%17 days ago
YES$17.7K@ 22.0¢
Arbguy0x53e5…6177
🐋-36.4%17 days ago
YES$11.3K@ 21.0¢0x1cc1…b8df🐋-33.3%17 days ago
YES$10.6K@ 19.0¢
tetrose0x7447…a16d
🐋-26.3%17 days ago
YES$10.4K@ 19.0¢
tetrose0x7447…a16d
🐋-26.3%18 days ago
NO$13.1K@ 82.0¢0xc2e0…129b🐋+4.9%18 days ago
NO$15.4K@ 83.2¢
pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489
🐋+3.4%20 days ago
YES$15.5K@ 16.6¢0xf901…d917🐋-15.5%21 days ago
NO$10.8K@ 83.0¢
cripes30x8454…331a
🐋+3.6%21 days ago
NO$19.6K@ 84.0¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋+2.4%22 days ago
NO$12.6K@ 84.0¢
0xdamocles0xf5c4…0926
🐋+2.4%25 days ago
NO$20.8K@ 83.0¢0xe665…7d42🐋+3.6%25 days ago
NO$29.1K@ 83.0¢
pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489
🐋+3.6%26 days ago