Indicative prices · 23s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: $7.5K net directional flow in 1h.
57 verified profitable wallets: NO · $269.7K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 71% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
YES price VWAP
Largest holders
YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.