davisb12
0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1
+$7.5K
Real PnL
+6.2%
ROI
$231.9K
Volume
$121.1K
Invested
9.9%
YES Bias
71
Trades (DB)
14/21
Markets Won
whale1Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:45 markets·current value $468.8K·6 closed
PnL by Market (51)45 open6 closed
+$21.4K
● open No · $66.6Kin $19.9Kout $39.8Kunreal +$1.5K
● open No · $69.2Kin $21.5Kunreal +$3.8K
● open No · $103.8Kin $23.0Kunreal +$5.7K
● open No · $12.7Kin $13.1Kout $2.3Kunreal +$580
● open No · $101.5Kin $9.9Kout $14.0Kunreal +$1.9K
● open No · $29.7Kout $2.9Kunreal +$2.6K
● open No · $4.5Kin $4.7Kunreal $-175
● open No · $13.6Kin $8out $3.4Kunreal +$247
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
● open No · $5.6Kin $3.8Kunreal +$213
● open No · $2.9Kin $2.9Kout $224unreal +$241
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $1.7Kin $1.8Kunreal $-70
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
● open No · $5.2Kin $1.9Kunreal +$133
● open No · $1.8Kout $1.7Kunreal +$4
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?
● open Yes · $1.8Kin $1.7Kout $11unreal +$79
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
● open No · $1.6Kin $1.6Kunreal +$10
● open No · $9.8Kin $2.4Kunreal +$859
● open Yes · $1.3Kin $2.0Kout $808unreal $-374
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $699out $1.3Kunreal +$43
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● open Yes · $488out $5unreal $-1249
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● open Yes · $12.7Kin $710out $364unreal +$1.5K
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
● open No · $1.0Kin $1.0Kunreal $-0
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● open Yes · $304in $3.2Kout $4.1Kunreal +$6
● open No · $6.3Kout $350unreal +$565
● open No · $2.8Kin $1.1Kunreal +$279
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● open Yes · $737in $739unreal $-5
● open No · $1.8Kout $463unreal +$235
● open No · $0in $463out $74unreal $-206
● open No · $485in $488unreal $-3
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
● open Yes · $423in $445unreal $-23
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
● open Yes · $457in $457unreal +$0
● open Yes · $135in $220unreal $-85
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?
● open Yes · $395in $117unreal $-186
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026?
● open Yes · $380in $339unreal +$41
● open Yes · $238in $262unreal $-27
● open Yes · $235in $255unreal $-20
● open No · $788out $440unreal $-213
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
● open Yes · $179in $178unreal +$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
● open No · $109in $122unreal $-13
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
● open No · $302in $138unreal +$10
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
● open Nothing · $1.8Kin $83unreal +$178
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
● open No · $67in $66unreal +$2
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
● open Yes · $159in $2unreal +$41
Trump out as President by April 30?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
● open No · $1.7Kin $290unreal +$298
Iran leadership change by April 30?
● open No · $585in $69unreal +$63
● closedout $24.2K
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
● closedout $9.1K
● closedout $4.5K
● closedin $20
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
● closedin $2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
● closedin $26out $26
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $66.6K | $19.9K | $39.8K | +$1.5K | 30 | +$21.4K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $69.2K | $21.5K | $0 | +$3.8K | 53 | $-17705 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $103.8K | $23.0K | $0 | +$5.7K | 5 | $-17333 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ●open No· $12.7K | $13.1K | $2.3K | +$580 | 85 | $-10219 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $101.5K | $9.9K | $14.0K | +$1.9K | 53 | +$6.0K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ●open No· $29.7K | $0 | $2.9K | +$2.6K | 16 | +$5.5K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ●open No· $4.5K | $4.7K | $0 | $-175 | 2 | $-4865 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? ●open No· $13.6K | $8 | $3.4K | +$247 | 2 | +$3.6K |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? ●open No· $5.6K | $3.8K | $0 | +$213 | 4 | $-3587 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? ●open No· $2.9K | $2.9K | $224 | +$241 | 21 | $-2418 |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $1.7K | $1.8K | $0 | $-70 | 6 | $-1880 |
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? ●open No· $5.2K | $1.9K | $0 | +$133 | 7 | $-1777 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? ●open No· $1.8K | $0 | $1.7K | +$4 | 2 | +$1.7K |
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026? ●open Yes· $1.8K | $1.7K | $11 | +$79 | 28 | $-1620 |
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? ●open No· $1.6K | $1.6K | $0 | +$10 | 9 | $-1570 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open No· $9.8K | $2.4K | $0 | +$859 | 1 | $-1566 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open Yes· $1.3K | $2.0K | $808 | $-374 | 10 | $-1542 |
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $699 | $0 | $1.3K | +$43 | 1 | +$1.3K |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ●open Yes· $488 | $0 | $5 | $-1249 | 1 | $-1244 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ●open Yes· $12.7K | $710 | $364 | +$1.5K | 17 | +$1.2K |
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? ●open No· $1.0K | $1.0K | $0 | $-0 | 3 | $-1037 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ●open Yes· $304 | $3.2K | $4.1K | +$6 | 15 | +$969 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ●open No· $6.3K | $0 | $350 | +$565 | 3 | +$915 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? ●open No· $2.8K | $1.1K | $0 | +$279 | 2 | $-865 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ●open Yes· $737 | $739 | $0 | $-5 | 2 | $-745 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $1.8K | $0 | $463 | +$235 | 2 | +$698 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $463 | $74 | $-206 | 24 | $-596 |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? ●open No· $485 | $488 | $0 | $-3 | 2 | $-491 |
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $423 | $445 | $0 | $-23 | 1 | $-468 |
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? ●open Yes· $457 | $457 | $0 | +$0 | 19 | $-457 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ●open Yes· $135 | $220 | $0 | $-85 | 1 | $-305 |
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? ●open Yes· $395 | $117 | $0 | $-186 | 3 | $-303 |
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026? ●open Yes· $380 | $339 | $0 | +$41 | 7 | $-299 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ●open Yes· $238 | $262 | $0 | $-27 | 1 | $-290 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ●open Yes· $235 | $255 | $0 | $-20 | 2 | $-275 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open No· $788 | $0 | $440 | $-213 | 2 | +$228 |
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? ●open Yes· $179 | $178 | $0 | +$1 | 3 | $-177 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? ●open No· $109 | $122 | $0 | $-13 | 2 | $-135 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? ●open No· $302 | $138 | $0 | +$10 | 3 | $-128 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar ●open Nothing· $1.8K | $83 | $0 | +$178 | 1 | +$95 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? ●open No· $67 | $66 | $0 | +$2 | 2 | $-64 |
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? ●open Yes· $159 | $2 | $0 | +$41 | 3 | +$39 |
Trump out as President by April 30? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-20 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? ●open No· $1.7K | $290 | $0 | +$298 | 7 | +$8 |
Iran leadership change by April 30? ●open No· $585 | $69 | $0 | +$63 | 2 | $-6 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $24.2K | — | 4 | +$24.2K |
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? ● closed | $0 | $9.1K | — | 0 | +$9.1K |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $4.5K | — | 1 | +$4.5K |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29) ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 6 | $-20 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 2 | $-2 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? ● closed | $26 | $26 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
11 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
38 betsunresolved0/0
+18
>7d
23 betsunresolved0/0
+3
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