scottilicious
0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
$-281972
Real PnL
-22.3%
ROI
$174.4K
Volume
$1.3M
Invested
7.1%
YES Bias
14
Trades (DB)
18/21
Markets Won
whale36Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:29 markets·current value $1.1M·60 closed
PnL by Market (89)29 open60 closed
$-281307
● open No · $297.4Kin $289.3Kunreal +$8.0K
● open No · $234.7Kin $218.7Kunreal +$16.1K
● open No · $48.8Kin $45.8Kunreal +$3.0K
● open No · $168.9Kin $4.3Kout $10.9Kunreal +$33.7K
● open No · $77.5Kin $104.7Kout $65.1Kunreal +$1.4K
● open Yes · $2.4Kout $28.1Kunreal $-88
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $26.5Kin $24.8Kunreal +$1.7K
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
● open No · $15.7Kin $15.2Kunreal +$497
● open No · $140.7Kin $1.4Kout $3.0Kunreal +$12.6K
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?
● open No · $14.2Kin $14.0Kunreal +$263
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● open Yes · $9.2Kout $6.4Kunreal $-19178
● open No · $8.7Kin $8.7Kunreal +$63
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
● open No · $8.9Kin $8.6Kunreal +$209
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
● open No · $9.5Kin $8.7Kunreal +$734
● open No · $8.2Kin $8.0Kunreal +$213
● open No · $7.3Kin $16.6Kout $9.8Kunreal +$323
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
● open Yes · $0in $2.6Kunreal $-2620
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
● open No · $5.3Kin $5.1Kout $513unreal +$643
● open Yes · $9.6Kin $3.4Kunreal +$76
● open No · $3.2Kin $3.1Kunreal +$75
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
● open Yes · $2.1Kin $2.2Kunreal $-94
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $2.1Kin $2.1Kunreal +$37
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $2.5Kin $1.6Kunreal +$119
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
● open No · $1.2Kin $946unreal $-86
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
● open No · $2.5Kin $1.1Kunreal +$69
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
● open No · $138in $135unreal +$3
● open Yes · $212in $35unreal $-94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
● open Yes · $86in $91unreal $-5
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
● open Yes · $0in $43unreal $-43
● closedout $95.8K
● closedin $299.9Kout $372.8K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
● closedin $51.5Kout $113.5K
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
● closedout $51.1K
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
● closedout $23.9K
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?
● closedout $7.2K
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
● closedin $152out $4.2K
● closedin $46.8Kout $50.0K
● closedin $8.5Kout $10.4K
● closedin $48.5Kout $50.3K
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
● closedout $1.5K
● closedin $11.5Kout $13.0K
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● closedout $774
● closedin $4.0Kout $4.2K
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
● closed
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?
● closed
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
● closed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closed
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
● closed
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?
● closed
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?
● closed
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
● closed
US bank failure by October 31?
● closed
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
● closed
Ethereum all time high by September 30?
● closed
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?
● closed
Panick in the White House
● closed
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
● closed
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
● closed
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
● closed
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
● closed
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
● closed
Israel strikes Syria by July 31?
● closed
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?
● closed
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
● closed
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
● closed
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?
● closed
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
● closed
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?
● closed
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
● closed
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?
● closed
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
● closed
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
● closed
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
● closed
Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
● closed
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
● closed
North Korea missile test by September 15?
● closed
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
● closed
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?
● closed
Netanyahu out by 2025?
● closed
Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?
● closed
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
● closed
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
● closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
● closed
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
● closed
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
● closed
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
● closed
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
● closed
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
● closed
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $297.4K | $289.3K | $0 | +$8.0K | 96 | $-281307 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $234.7K | $218.7K | $0 | +$16.1K | 11 | $-202584 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $48.8K | $45.8K | $0 | +$3.0K | 37 | $-42829 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $168.9K | $4.3K | $10.9K | +$33.7K | 2 | +$40.3K |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $77.5K | $104.7K | $65.1K | +$1.4K | 14 | $-38192 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ●open Yes· $2.4K | $0 | $28.1K | $-88 | 1 | +$28.1K |
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $26.5K | $24.8K | $0 | +$1.7K | 3 | $-23173 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? ●open No· $15.7K | $15.2K | $0 | +$497 | 7 | $-14720 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $140.7K | $1.4K | $3.0K | +$12.6K | 2 | +$14.2K |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? ●open No· $14.2K | $14.0K | $0 | +$263 | 4 | $-13698 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ●open Yes· $9.2K | $0 | $6.4K | $-19178 | 1 | $-12808 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? ●open No· $8.7K | $8.7K | $0 | +$63 | 4 | $-8624 |
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? ●open No· $8.9K | $8.6K | $0 | +$209 | 1 | $-8434 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? ●open No· $9.5K | $8.7K | $0 | +$734 | 2 | $-7991 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? ●open No· $8.2K | $8.0K | $0 | +$213 | 4 | $-7786 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $7.3K | $16.6K | $9.8K | +$323 | 7 | $-6432 |
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? ●open Yes· $0 | $2.6K | $0 | $-2620 | 21 | $-5240 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $5.3K | $5.1K | $513 | +$643 | 11 | $-3984 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? ●open Yes· $9.6K | $3.4K | $0 | +$76 | 1 | $-3280 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ●open No· $3.2K | $3.1K | $0 | +$75 | 1 | $-3075 |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? ●open Yes· $2.1K | $2.2K | $0 | $-94 | 2 | $-2247 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $2.1K | $2.1K | $0 | +$37 | 1 | $-2050 |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $2.5K | $1.6K | $0 | +$119 | 3 | $-1530 |
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? ●open No· $1.2K | $946 | $0 | $-86 | 1 | $-1032 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31? ●open No· $2.5K | $1.1K | $0 | +$69 | 3 | $-988 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? ●open No· $138 | $135 | $0 | +$3 | 2 | $-131 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $212 | $35 | $0 | $-94 | 1 | $-129 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? ●open Yes· $86 | $91 | $0 | $-5 | 1 | $-96 |
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? ●open Yes· $0 | $43 | $0 | $-43 | 3 | $-86 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? ● closed | $0 | $95.8K | — | 71 | +$95.8K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $299.9K | $372.8K | — | 3 | +$72.9K |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $51.5K | $113.5K | — | 16 | +$62.0K |
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? ● closed | $0 | $51.1K | — | 1 | +$51.1K |
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $23.9K | — | 1 | +$23.9K |
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13? ● closed | $0 | $7.2K | — | 0 | +$7.2K |
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? ● closed | $152 | $4.2K | — | 1 | +$4.0K |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? ● closed | $46.8K | $50.0K | — | 61 | +$3.3K |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ● closed | $8.5K | $10.4K | — | 6 | +$1.9K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ● closed | $48.5K | $50.3K | — | 6 | +$1.8K |
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? ● closed | $0 | $1.5K | — | 0 | +$1.5K |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? ● closed | $11.5K | $13.0K | — | 7 | +$1.5K |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ● closed | $0 | $774 | — | 1 | +$774 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? ● closed | $4.0K | $4.2K | — | 2 | +$136 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
US bank failure by October 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Ethereum all time high by September 30? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Panick in the White House ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Israel strikes Syria by July 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
North Korea missile test by September 15? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Netanyahu out by 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (14)
Trading Activity · 90d
9 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
7 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
6 betsunresolved0/0
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