Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5.0¢
YES
95.0¢
NO
90.7¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:35 trades5% YES95% NO
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax
Net Order Flow
Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.1h+$0
6h+$0
24h$1.3K
VWAP vs Price
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.Current5.0¢
VWAP 24h89.0¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d87.5¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.
Top Holders · 30d
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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)
95¢
$273.5K
90¢
$115.9K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$115
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$2
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$21.1K
0¢
← now
$18.3KVPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Accumulation
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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
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