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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $323.8K24h Vol: $13.7M
39.2¢
YES
60.7¢
NO
24.7¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:82 trades78% YES22% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 86%·4 wallets·$3.2K
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$34.1K@ 37¢·0x2225…24d1

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$1.3K
24h+$4.7K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current39.2¢
VWAP 24h43.2¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d39.7¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$837
65¢
$66.3K
60¢
$31.5K
55¢
$118
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
← now
$149.3K
30¢
$124.3K
25¢
$238
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$33.6K@ 37.4¢0xa8a9…bb81🐋+4.7%5 days ago
YES$34.1K@ 36.9¢0x2225…24d1🐋+6.2%6 days ago
YES$14.7K@ 37.7¢0xa8a9…bb81🐋+3.9%10 days ago
YES$18.5K@ 34.8¢0xa8a9…bb81🐋+12.5%10 days ago

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Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.6¢$45.0M0
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
alwayslatetothepartyYES$2.4K
koalicjant777NO$437
0x5375…aeeaYES$397
neutralwave23YES$4