Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

● quote 1275 min ago
Crypto→Closes: 3 monthsLiquidity: $173.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $51.3KEvent: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
2.7¢
YES
97.3¢
NO
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets0execution99priority0data 0%
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$51.1K@ 97¢·0x8b4b…541b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 0% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2027-01-01 05:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Read full resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
boyau749 linked markets · $146.5K gross
justdance10 linked markets · $73.9K gross
JnStrtPrdctnMrkts3 linked markets · $53.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 95.0¢12d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGESELL NO@ 95.0¢23d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 95.0¢27d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 95.0¢30d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleclimax

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$169.2K
0¢
← now
$70.9K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNO$51.1K@ 97.0¢0x8b4b…541b🐋—8 days ago
BUYNO$48.0K@ 95.0¢
boyau740xe734…4f0c
🐋—12 days ago
SELLNO$13.3K@ 94.0¢
JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072
🐋—22 days ago
SELLNO$11.0K@ 95.0¢
name4180x86ab…e5be
🐋—22 days ago
SELLNO$15.4K@ 95.0¢
JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072
🐋—24 days ago
SELLNO$33.6K@ 95.0¢
tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5
🐋—26 days ago
BUYNO$18.5K@ 95.0¢
notprofitabl0x42d1…dab6
🐋—27 days ago
BUYNO$49.4K@ 95.0¢0x8b4b…541b🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYNO$32.3K@ 95.0¢0x8b4b…541b🐋—about 1 month ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.