Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $208.4K24h Vol: $25.3M

20.6¢

YES

79.3¢

51.1¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

24h sample:67 trades35% YES65% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·4 wallets·$13.6K

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$7.4K@ 26¢·0x3959…c73d

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$8

6h$2.2K

24h$1.1K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current20.6¢

VWAP 24h58.6¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d60.1¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

$77.0K

70¢

$24.3K

65¢