Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $676.9K24h Vol: $24.9M

0.7¢

YES

99.2¢

98.5¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 4 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:210 trades0% YES100% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·10 wallets·$8.0K

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$28.1K@ 99¢·budarlo

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$1.8K

6h$5.5K

24h$16.1K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current0.7¢

VWAP 24h98.9¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d98.9¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$774.7K

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢