Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

PoliticsCloses: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $1.4M24h Vol: $27.8M
0.9¢
YES
99.0¢
NO
98.3¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:230 trades5% YES95% NO
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$20.6K@ 99¢·roystonford

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
Loading orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$388
6h$4.8K
24h$19.2K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current0.9¢
VWAP 24h94.6¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d97.4¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

Loading…

Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$672.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.9K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

Loading…
Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$10.7K@ 99.0¢0x47c8…20d5🐋+0.1%12 days ago
NO$11.4K@ 99.0¢0xbf4a…0931🐋+0.1%14 days ago
NO$10.1K@ 99.0¢0x5cab…2240🐋+0.1%14 days ago
NO$10.1K@ 99.0¢0x3c83…599b🐋+0.1%20 days ago
NO$17.2K@ 99.0¢
beenraping0x3e5b…073b
🐋+0.1%21 days ago
NO$20.6K@ 98.9¢
roystonford0xdea3…2266
🐋+0.2%22 days ago
NO$20.6K@ 99.0¢
roystonford0xdea3…2266
🐋+0.1%22 days ago