Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $480.9K24h Vol: $11.5M

8.5¢

YES

91.4¢

82.9¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 2 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:2097 trades10% YES90% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 71%·3 wallets·$516

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$4.2K@ 92¢·0xcf13…bdeb

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$3.1K

6h$25.3K

24h$155.7K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current8.5¢

VWAP 24h83.0¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d82.4¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 7d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

90¢

$1.1M

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢