Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
● quote 92 min ago
Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $324.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $101.1KEvent: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
0.3¢
YES
99.8¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 0%
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 0% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
- •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
- •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity
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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity