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Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Vilius Gaubas

Sports→TennisSettlement: Elmer MoellerLiquidity: $224.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $247.6KEvent: Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Vilius Gaubas
100.0¢
Elmer Moeller payout
0.0¢
Vilius Gaubas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElmer Moeller$10.0K@ 68¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elmer Moeller. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Vilius Gaubas in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elmer Moeller; negative values favor Vilius Gaubas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVilius Gaubas · $3.1K
6hElmer Moeller · $5.0K
24hElmer Moeller · $5.0K

Elmer Moeller price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elmer Moeller price. Vilius Gaubas fills are converted to the complementary Elmer Moeller probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h76.79¢▲ above by 23.2pp
VWAP 7d76.79¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elmer Moeller price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.5K
90¢
$182
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.5K
75¢
$5.8K
70¢
$7.4K
65¢
$11.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1
45¢
$0
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElmer Moeller$10.0K@ 68.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—14 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.