PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz

● quote 360 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $154.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $729.5KEvent: Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz

Indicative prices · 360 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.5¢
Daniel Altmaier
99.9¢
Taylor Fritz
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:112 trades$336.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 365 min agoofficial metadata 364 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniel Altmaier · $8.4K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$89.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTaylor Fritz$71.9K@ 100¢·778908

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$336.7K

14 verified profitable wallets: Daniel Altmaier · $8.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 360 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 365 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 364 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $10.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Taylor Fritz@ 82.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.4pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Taylor Fritz UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $45.9K → $47.1K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Altmaier; negative values favor Taylor Fritz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Altmaier · $0
6hDaniel Altmaier · $0
24hDaniel Altmaier · $136.0K

Daniel Altmaier price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Altmaier price. Taylor Fritz fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Altmaier probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h7.59¢▼ below by 7.1pp
VWAP 7d7.59¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Daniel Altmaier price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$40.6K
15¢
$67.3K
10¢
$31.3K
5¢
$7.4K
0¢
← now
$190.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTaylor Fritz$11.3K@ 99.9¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 6 hours ago
SELLTaylor Fritz$42.6K@ 99.9¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 6 hours ago
SELLTaylor Fritz$40.7K@ 99.9¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 6 hours ago
SELLTaylor Fritz$71.9K@ 99.9¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$10.0K@ 88.39¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYDaniel Altmaier$22.8K@ 19.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$13.0K@ 85.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—about 8 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Altmaier vs. Fritz: Match O/U 21.5
—$23.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Taylor Fritz (-4.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+4.5)
—$4.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+1.5)
—$736priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Daniel Altmaier vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$498priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz
—$367priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5
—$233priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Match O/U 22.5
—$215priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Daniel Altmaier$28.4K
BUY VWAP 19.0¢·2 fills
one8tyfiveTaylor Fritz$15.1K
BUY VWAP 84.44¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesTaylor Fritz$11.4K
BUY VWAP 84.16¢·5 fills
beeemwTaylor Fritz$10.0K
BUY VWAP 88.39¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.