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Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic

● quote 48 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $260.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $630.6KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic
99.9¢
Katie Boulter
0.1¢
Antonia Ruzic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly80Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:182 trades$302.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 51 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Antonia Ruzic · $47.9K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$152.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKatie Boulter$49.9K@ 100¢·veliMax

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Antonia Ruzic pressure: $7.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.1K
6h
−$64.7K
tracked
$302.2K

14 verified profitable wallets: Antonia Ruzic · $47.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 48 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 51 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Antonia Ruzic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Antonia Ruzic in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Antonia Ruzic. This market will resolve to 'Antonia Ruzic' if Antonia Ruzic advances against Katie Boulter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Katie Boulter2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Katie Boulter@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.7pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Antonia Ruzic@ 42.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -30.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Antonia Ruzic@ 85.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -79.7pp
Latest book event: Katie Boulter UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $95.4K → $109.2K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katie Boulter; negative values favor Antonia Ruzic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAntonia Ruzic · $7.1K
6hAntonia Ruzic · $64.7K
24hAntonia Ruzic · $56.4K

Katie Boulter price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katie Boulter price. Antonia Ruzic fills are converted to the complementary Katie Boulter probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h72.4¢▲ above by 27.5pp
VWAP 7d72.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katie Boulter price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$113.7K
90¢
$13.8K
85¢
$0
80¢
$28.4K
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$18.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$12.7K
55¢
$22.5K
50¢
$24.5K
45¢
$5.2K
40¢
$28.4K
35¢
$196
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$86
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$27.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKatie Boulter$49.9K@ 99.9¢
veliMax0x3435…a1ed
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Boulter$27.4K@ 83.2¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAntonia Ruzic$23.3K@ 46.6¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAntonia Ruzic$22.8K@ 83.0¢
veliMax0x3435…a1ed
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKatie Boulter$10.3K@ 43.0¢
veliMax0x3435…a1ed
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x246b…fb5bKatie Boulter$27.4K
BUY VWAP 83.2¢·1 fill
WoaifacaiAntonia Ruzic$24.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills
veliMaxAntonia Ruzic$22.8K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesKatie Boulter$19.8K
BUY VWAP 50.4¢·13 fills
FlaznorpAntonia Ruzic$14.7K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
muchova19Katie Boulter$11.0K
BUY VWAP 98.2¢·2 fills
veliMaxKatie Boulter$10.3K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.