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Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong

● quote 393 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $126.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $388.9KEvent: Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong
1.0¢
J.J. Wolf
99.9¢
Alexander Maarten Jong
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:278 trades$139.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 461 min agoofficial metadata 395 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Maarten Jong · $2.6K net·12 wallets·$12.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJ.J. Wolf$20.0K@ 93¢·homeemo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$139.3K

12 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Maarten Jong · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 393 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 461 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 395 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Alexander Maarten Jong in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Alexander Maarten Jong. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Maarten Jong' if Alexander Maarten Jong advances against J.J. Wolf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY J.J. Wolf@ 89.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY J.J. Wolf@ 88.0¢9h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alexander Maarten Jong UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $13.8K → $16.9K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor J.J. Wolf; negative values favor Alexander Maarten Jong. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJ.J. Wolf · $0
6hJ.J. Wolf · $0
24hJ.J. Wolf · $55.6K

J.J. Wolf price VWAP

Volume-weighted J.J. Wolf price. Alexander Maarten Jong fills are converted to the complementary J.J. Wolf probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h62.8¢▼ below by 61.8pp
VWAP 7d62.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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J.J. Wolf price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$25.4K
85¢
$14.1K
80¢
$612
75¢
$10.3K
70¢
$18.9K
65¢
$10.9K
60¢
$34.5K
55¢
$133
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.7K
0¢
← now
$21.1K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlexander Maarten Jong$15.3K@ 99.9¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYJ.J. Wolf$20.0K@ 92.9¢
homeemo0x01c2…e08f
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYJ.J. Wolf$10.5K@ 88.9¢
homeemo0x01c2…e08f
🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wolf vs. Jong: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$109priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: J.J. Wolf (-1.5) vs Alexander Maarten Jong (+1.5)
0.0¢$79priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wolf vs. Jong: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: J.J. Wolf (-2.5) vs Alexander Maarten Jong (+2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wolf vs. Jong: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
J.J. Wolf vs. Alexander Maarten Jong: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger
0.0¢$660.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

homeemoJ.J. Wolf$30.5K
BUY VWAP 91.5¢·2 fills
robustmstAlexander Maarten Jong$18.2K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.