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European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs

● quote 327 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $447.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $502.0KEvent: European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs

Indicative prices · 327 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0.1¢
Zizou Bergs
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets72Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$203.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 343 min agoofficial metadata 330 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zizou Bergs · $92.1K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$127.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJan-Lennard Struff$27.8K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$31.4K
tracked
$203.5K

13 verified profitable wallets: Zizou Bergs · $92.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 327 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 343 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 330 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Zizou Bergs in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x76d2…99a62 linked markets · $415 gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $69 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Zizou Bergs@ 54.0¢6h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Zizou Bergs@ 46.0¢7h ago
15m INVALIDATED -33.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Zizou Bergs DOWN 10.5pp · near-book depth $40 → $27 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Zizou Bergs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $0
6hZizou Bergs · $31.4K
24hZizou Bergs · $106.6K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Zizou Bergs fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h62.18¢▲ above by 37.7pp
VWAP 7d62.18¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$32.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$4.0K
80¢
$7.4K
75¢
$78
70¢
$6.9K
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$7.1K
55¢
$112.0K
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$299
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$26.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJan-Lennard Struff$27.8K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYZizou Bergs$25.1K@ 44.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYZizou Bergs$25.1K@ 44.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYZizou Bergs$25.1K@ 44.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$13.9K@ 56.0¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs
—$2.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Bergs: Match O/U 23.5
—$486priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$389priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Zizou Bergs (-2.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+2.5)
—$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Zizou Bergs$86.1K
BUY VWAP 43.93¢·6 fills
778908Jan-Lennard Struff$13.9K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.