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Porto 2: Max Basing vs Mili Poljicak

Sports→TennisSettlement: Mili PoljicakLiquidity: $742.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $256.2KEvent: Porto 2: Max Basing vs Mili Poljicak
0.0¢
Max Basing payout
100.0¢
Mili Poljicak payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMili Poljicak$21.7K@ 78¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mili Poljicak. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Basing and Mili Poljicak in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Mili Poljicak. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Max Basing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Mili Poljicak@ 77.0¢26d ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mili Poljicak@ 77.0¢26d ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Max Basing; negative values favor Mili Poljicak. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMax Basing · $3.5K
6hMili Poljicak · $46.7K
24hMili Poljicak · $46.7K

Max Basing price VWAP

Volume-weighted Max Basing price. Mili Poljicak fills are converted to the complementary Max Basing probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.81¢▼ below by 22.8pp
VWAP 7d22.81¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Max Basing price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$55
35¢
$1.6K
30¢
$7.4K
25¢
$17.2K
20¢
$60.5K
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$0
5¢
$68
0¢
← now
$5.7K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMili Poljicak$10.0K@ 78.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—26 days ago
BUYMili Poljicak$14.0K@ 78.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—26 days ago
BUYMili Poljicak$21.7K@ 77.79¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—26 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.