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Grizzlies vs. Warriors

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 40 minutesLiquidity: $118.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

33.5¢
Grizzlies
66.5¢
Warriors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets43Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 24 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:258 trades$731.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Grizzlies · $161.6K net·24 wallets(3🐋)·$371.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWarriors$144.2K@ 61¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Warriors SETUP
What the tape says

Warriors pressure: $82.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$82.3K
6h
−$10.6K
tracked
$731.0K

24 verified profitable wallets: Grizzlies · $161.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 56

Since latest accumulation: -7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Warriors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".

•If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii6 linked markets · $245.6K gross
BreakTheBank4 linked markets · $197.5K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $104.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Grizzlies@ 41.0¢53m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Grizzlies@ 41.0¢56m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Grizzlies@ 40.0¢58m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Grizzlies@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Grizzlies; negative values favor Warriors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWarriors · $82.3K
6hWarriors · $10.6K
24hWarriors · $45.5K

Grizzlies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Grizzlies price. Warriors fills are converted to the complementary Grizzlies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h40.5¢▼ below by 7.0pp
VWAP 7d40.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Grizzlies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$68.1K
40¢
$335.7K
35¢
$323.8K
30¢
← now
$3.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGrizzlies$54.2K@ 39.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYWarriors$144.2K@ 61.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYWarriors$10.7K@ 60.0¢
chizidahu0x3cf6…0cbd
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYWarriors$14.9K@ 60.0¢
Paracellus0xa8a5…122b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGrizzlies$62.7K@ 40.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGrizzlies$59.7K@ 40.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWarriors$10.2K@ 61.0¢
MrBently0xa39a…1246
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGrizzlies$30.6K@ 39.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$15.2K@ 38.0¢
BaronenBaron0xb8ba…da22
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYWarriors$21.2K@ 60.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYWarriors$19.6K@ 58.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BreakTheBankGrizzlies$153.0K
BUY VWAP 39.80¢·3 fills
WoaifacaiWarriors$145.5K
BUY VWAP 60.99¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiiWarriors$64.4K
BUY VWAP 56.04¢·17 fills
0x2c33…0563Grizzlies$61.5K
BUY VWAP 38.88¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111Warriors$32.4K
BUY VWAP 59.39¢·3 fills
BullishBarbWarriors$21.6K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·7 fills
ethanazGrizzlies$20.0K
BUY VWAP 46.21¢·5 fills
BaronenBaronGrizzlies$19.1K
BUY VWAP 38.20¢·2 fills
SunlineTickerWarriors$17.1K
BUY VWAP 59.90¢·11 fills
iDARKenjoyerGrizzlies$17.0K
BUY VWAP 42.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.