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Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 46.5

Sports→American FootballSettlement: OverLiquidity: $55.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $129.7KEvent: Patriots vs. Bears
100.0¢
Over payout
0.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $519 net·6 wallets·$4.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLOver$25.4K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Over. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-23 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Patriots and Bears combine to score 47 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 47, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Patriots and Bears combine to score 47 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 47, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 24h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 24h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $574.0K gross
milkteaboba2 linked markets · $341.9K gross
0xb4f9…c9a76 linked markets · $171.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 64.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $25.0K
6hUnder · $33.0K
24hUnder · $33.0K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.27¢▲ above by 25.7pp
VWAP 7d74.27¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.8K
90¢
$1
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$383
65¢
$17.5K
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$19.6K
50¢
$9.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLOver$25.4K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—1 day ago
BUYOver$17.3K@ 67.91¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tin54321Under$25.0K
BUY VWAP 44.42¢·3 fills
kkookkooOver$17.3K
BUY VWAP 67.91¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.