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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac

Sports→TennisSettlement: Tomas MachacLiquidity: $306.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac
0.0¢
Zhizhen Zhang payout
100.0¢
Tomas Machac payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTomas Machac$229.7K@ 100¢·0x08a3…8666

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tomas Machac. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Tomas Machac in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Zhizhen Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Zhizhen Zhang@ 63.0¢17d ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -54.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Zhizhen Zhang17d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Zhizhen Zhang17d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Zhizhen Zhang@ 71.0¢17d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -39.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zhizhen Zhang; negative values favor Tomas Machac. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZhizhen Zhang · $258.1K
6hZhizhen Zhang · $299.9K
24hZhizhen Zhang · $299.9K

Zhizhen Zhang price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zhizhen Zhang price. Tomas Machac fills are converted to the complementary Zhizhen Zhang probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.8¢▼ below by 22.8pp
VWAP 7d22.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zhizhen Zhang price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$17.0K
80¢
$16
75¢
$23.5K
70¢
$9.3K
65¢
$25.9K
60¢
$15.7K
55¢
$36.4K
50¢
$28.4K
45¢
$4.2K
40¢
$8.5K
35¢
$13.3K
30¢
$28
25¢
$0
20¢
$5
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$69.7K
5¢
$9.0K
0¢
← now
$273.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTomas Machac$229.7K@ 99.9¢0x08a3…8666🐋—17 days ago
SELLTomas Machac$29.6K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—17 days ago
BUYTomas Machac$19.4K@ 88.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—17 days ago
BUYTomas Machac$11.2K@ 89.79¢0x08a3…8666🐋—17 days ago
BUYZhizhen Zhang$19.5K@ 13.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—17 days ago
BUYZhizhen Zhang$15.0K@ 85.64¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—17 days ago
BUYZhizhen Zhang$15.7K@ 76.98¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—17 days ago
BUYZhizhen Zhang$15.0K@ 57.6¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—17 days ago
BUYTomas Machac$28.4K@ 48.45¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—17 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.