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Set 2 Winner: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

Sports→TennisSettlement: Rafael JodarLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $582Event: Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar
0.0¢
Valentin Vacherot payout
100.0¢
Rafael Jodar payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$45 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rafael Jodar. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Valentin Vacherot” if Valentin Vacherot wins set 2. It will resolve to “Rafael Jodar” if Rafael Jodar wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Rafael Jodar in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Valentin Vacherot” if Valentin Vacherot wins set 2. It will resolve to “Rafael Jodar” if Rafael Jodar wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $10.5K gross
redvinny2 linked markets · $3.4K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $124 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentin Vacherot; negative values favor Rafael Jodar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValentin Vacherot · $0
6hRafael Jodar · $45
24hRafael Jodar · $45

Valentin Vacherot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentin Vacherot price. Rafael Jodar fills are converted to the complementary Valentin Vacherot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h21.0¢▼ below by 21.0pp
VWAP 7d21.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentin Vacherot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$45
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.