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Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens

Sports→TennisSettlement: Leylah FernandezLiquidity: $326.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $945.1KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens
100.0¢
Leylah Fernandez payout
0.0¢
Elise Mertens payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leylah Fernandez · $95.9K net·8 wallets(3🐋)·$204.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLeylah Fernandez$34.7K@ 100¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Leylah Fernandez. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Elise Mertens in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $226 gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $57 gross
0x0d10…780b2 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Leylah Fernandez1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 59.8¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Leylah Fernandez1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 71.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +2.1pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leylah Fernandez; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $0
6hLeylah Fernandez · $0
24hLeylah Fernandez · $83.0K

Leylah Fernandez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leylah Fernandez price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Leylah Fernandez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.09¢▲ above by 20.9pp
VWAP 7d78.92¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leylah Fernandez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$58.1K
90¢
$43.6K
85¢
$11.1K
80¢
$28.3K
75¢
$75.1K
70¢
$81.0K
65¢
$35.3K
60¢
$15.7K
55¢
$4.9K
50¢
$12.5K
45¢
$8.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLeylah Fernandez$34.7K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—1 day ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$11.8K@ 84.5¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$13.6K@ 65.1¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$15.6K@ 72.1¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
BUYElise Mertens$14.2K@ 21.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
SELLLeylah Fernandez$11.1K@ 79.0¢0xe713…c9a0🐋—1 day ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$10.0K@ 92.45¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—1 day ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$13.8K@ 76.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$14.6K@ 69.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Leylah Fernandez$109.2K
BUY VWAP 72.52¢·20 fills
0x1610…ae49Elise Mertens$39.3K
BUY VWAP 17.34¢·11 fills
UpTheBluesLeylah Fernandez$37.4K
BUY VWAP 86.16¢·14 fills
KkunnLeylah Fernandez$14.6K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
0xe713…c9a0Leylah Fernandez$10.9K
BUY VWAP 71.39¢·4 fills
0x246b…fb5bLeylah Fernandez$10.0K
BUY VWAP 92.45¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.