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LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 21 hoursLiquidity: $584.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $405.1KEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

80.5¢
Team Liquid
19.5¢
LOS
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$229.6K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOS · $707 net·4 wallets(2🐋)·$50.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$159.2K@ 80¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$6
6h
+$175.9K
tracked
$229.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: LOS · $707 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 21h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LOS.

•This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Team Liquid and LOS in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LOS. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $194.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Team Liquid@ 81.0¢56m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 81.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 81.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor LOS. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOS · $6
6hTeam Liquid · $175.9K
24hTeam Liquid · $177.9K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. LOS fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current80.5¢
VWAP 24h79.99¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d79.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$203.7K
75¢
$25.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Liquid$22.5K@ 81.0¢
StarryPath0x55b4…80ea
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Liquid$159.2K@ 80.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLOS$25.8K@ 21.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Team Liquid$159.2K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49LOS$25.8K
BUY VWAP 21.0¢·1 fill
StarryPathTeam Liquid$22.5K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.