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England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $137.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $83.9KEvent: England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

11.5¢
Sri Lanka
88.5¢
England
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$18.0K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEngland$3.3K@ 79¢·swy01

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

England pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.4K
6h
−$5.5K
tracked
$18.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: England · $4 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from England or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Sri Lanka and England scheduled for October 29 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sri Lanka UP 13.0pp · near-book depth $55 → $12.2K · 69s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sri Lanka; negative values favor England. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEngland · $3.4K
6hEngland · $5.5K
24hSri Lanka · $4.2K

Sri Lanka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sri Lanka price. England fills are converted to the complementary Sri Lanka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current11.5¢
VWAP 24h29.21¢▼ below by 17.7pp
VWAP 7d29.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sri Lanka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1
30¢
$13.2K
25¢
$22
20¢
$3.4K
15¢
$9
10¢
← now
$1.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.