PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

● quote 45s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $245.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $117.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Indicative prices · 45s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

37.5¢
Aurora Gaming
62.5¢
MOUZ
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets68Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$47.9K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 31s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $20.4K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$29.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAurora Gaming$25.1K@ 37¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

MOUZ pressure: $4.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.7K
6h
+$9.4K
tracked
$47.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Aurora Gaming · $20.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MOUZ or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2a46…66b82 linked markets · $15 gross
0x2054…148f2 linked markets · $11 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $4.7K
6hAurora Gaming · $9.4K
24hAurora Gaming · $2.5K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h36.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d36.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$284
35¢
← now
$47.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$11.0K@ 63.0¢
caspar12480xa278…3369
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAurora Gaming$25.1K@ 37.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Aurora Gaming$25.1K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
caspar1248MOUZ$11.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.