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Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lorenzo MusettiLiquidity: $650.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti
0.0¢
Luca Van Assche payout
100.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:265 trades$474.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Musetti · $5.0K net·25 wallets(1🐋)·$98.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuca Van Assche$42.3K@ 72¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lorenzo Musetti. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-30 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Lorenzo Musetti in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Luca Van Assche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
DCAAA2 linked markets · $9 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Luca Van Assche1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Lorenzo Musetti1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Luca Van Assche1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Luca Van Assche@ 69.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Lorenzo Musetti UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $208 → $3.6K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luca Van Assche; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuca Van Assche · $22.6K
6hLuca Van Assche · $140.4K
24hLuca Van Assche · $140.7K

Luca Van Assche price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luca Van Assche price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Luca Van Assche probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h51.36¢▼ below by 51.4pp
VWAP 7d51.36¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luca Van Assche price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$11.5K
75¢
$110.8K
70¢
$55.5K
65¢
$7.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$87.4K
40¢
$67.3K
35¢
$44.1K
30¢
$14.4K
25¢
$9.8K
20¢
$7.7K
15¢
$35.6K
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$18.1K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLorenzo Musetti$19.0K@ 62.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$14.5K@ 78.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$13.6K@ 76.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$20.0K@ 76.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$42.3K@ 72.21¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$10.3K@ 70.81¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLorenzo Musetti$36.3K@ 55.22¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLLorenzo Musetti$13.5K@ 56.0¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$21.9K@ 84.99¢
7789080x3c3a…8b5f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$22.0K@ 53.13¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$20.0K@ 48.88¢
tiger1050x0d23…2d56
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseLuca Van Assche$108.8K
BUY VWAP 74.30¢·6 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseLorenzo Musetti$38.1K
BUY VWAP 37.47¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesLuca Van Assche$31.2K
BUY VWAP 49.62¢·34 fills
0x076d…8d4cLorenzo Musetti$26.7K
BUY VWAP 54.12¢·3 fills
778908Lorenzo Musetti$21.9K
BUY VWAP 84.99¢·1 fill
tiger105Luca Van Assche$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.88¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.