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Spread: Celtics (-1.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: PistonsLiquidity: $107.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $199.9KEvent: Celtics vs. Pistons
0.0¢
Celtics payout
100.0¢
Pistons payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pistons · $4.0K net·8 wallets·$6.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCeltics$40.9K@ 51¢·www511zwin

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pistons. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-20 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iDARKenjoyer4 linked markets · $73.2K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $53.2K gross
tin543212 linked markets · $36.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Celtics@ 51.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Pistons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCeltics · $6.8K
6hCeltics · $43.8K
24hCeltics · $19.9K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Pistons fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.15¢▼ below by 45.1pp
VWAP 7d45.16¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$5
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$39
70¢
$32
65¢
$448
60¢
$16
55¢
$479
50¢
$71.2K
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
$183
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$9.0K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCeltics$40.9K@ 51.14¢
www511zwin0x9368…f390
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPistons$14.6K@ 50.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

www511zwinCeltics$40.9K
BUY VWAP 51.14¢·1 fill
meoooowPistons$14.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.