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US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi

Sports→Settlement: Karen KhachanovLiquidity: $409.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $855.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi
100.0¢
Karen Khachanov payout
0.0¢
Benjamin Bonzi payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karen Khachanov · $76.4K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$88.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaren Khachanov$52.4K@ 100¢·0xAlikz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Karen Khachanov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Karen Khachanov@ 92.0¢5d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Karen Khachanov@ 88.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 25.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h INVALIDATED -23.1pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 31.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karen Khachanov; negative values favor Benjamin Bonzi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaren Khachanov · $26.9K
6hKaren Khachanov · $62.7K
24hKaren Khachanov · $72.8K

Karen Khachanov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karen Khachanov price. Benjamin Bonzi fills are converted to the complementary Karen Khachanov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.8¢▲ above by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d79.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karen Khachanov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$97.3K
90¢
$27.1K
85¢
$54.9K
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$58.7K
70¢
$31.9K
65¢
$61.3K
60¢
$86.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKaren Khachanov$18.2K@ 99.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—5 days ago
SELLKaren Khachanov$11.0K@ 99.9¢
Diablotrade2k270xaa00…f736
🐋—5 days ago
BUYKaren Khachanov$52.4K@ 99.9¢
0xAlikz0x2037…473d
🐋—5 days ago
BUYKaren Khachanov$16.6K@ 91.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—5 days ago
BUYKaren Khachanov$39.7K@ 85.8¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—5 days ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$32.5K@ 37.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—5 days ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$19.5K@ 31.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Gourmet1Benjamin Bonzi$75.1K
BUY VWAP 33.1¢·8 fills
0xAlikzKaren Khachanov$52.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
beeemwKaren Khachanov$39.7K
BUY VWAP 85.8¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Benjamin Bonzi$19.5K
BUY VWAP 31.6¢·1 fill
0x9e3e…f882Karen Khachanov$18.1K
BUY VWAP 88.7¢·2 fills
hamloKaren Khachanov$11.2K
BUY VWAP 74.6¢·2 fills
FlaznorpKaren Khachanov$10.7K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·2 fills
TRCMKaren Khachanov$10.0K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.