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Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $57.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $239.9KEvent: Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda
59.1¢
Philip Sekulic
40.9¢
Koki Matsuda
1.7¢
Spread
anomaly84Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution62Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:135 trades$74.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philip Sekulic · $16.3K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$25.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhilip Sekulic$13.9K@ 92¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Philip Sekulic pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.6K
6h
+$15.8K
tracked
$74.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: Philip Sekulic · $16.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.7¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 83% · priority 50

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philip Sekulic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Sekulic and Koki Matsuda in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Sekulic' if Philip Sekulic advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Philip Sekulic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Koki Matsuda UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $65 → $85 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philip Sekulic; negative values favor Koki Matsuda. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhilip Sekulic · $1.6K
6hPhilip Sekulic · $15.8K
24hPhilip Sekulic · $15.8K

Philip Sekulic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philip Sekulic price. Koki Matsuda fills are converted to the complementary Philip Sekulic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.1¢
VWAP 24h72.5¢▼ below by 13.4pp
VWAP 7d72.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philip Sekulic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$2.3K
90¢
$23.3K
85¢
$129
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$9.4K
60¢
$22.8K
55¢
← now
$6.0K
50¢
$7.2K
45¢
$500
40¢
$165
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhilip Sekulic$13.9K@ 92.1¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cPhilip Sekulic$13.9K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.