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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $92.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $375.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
64.0¢
Legacy
36.0¢
FURIA
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:121 trades$160.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $51.6K net·5 wallets·$58.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLegacy$12.1K@ 39¢·CORGI8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

FURIA pressure: $3.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.6K
6h
+$852
tracked
$160.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: FURIA · $51.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 86% · priority 64

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Legacy and FURIA in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Noprajsk2 linked markets · $386.6K gross
SemyonMarmeladov2 linked markets · $74.9K gross
RN13 linked markets · $64.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Legacy59m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Legacy@ 39.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +27.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 62.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -29.0pp
Latest book event: Legacy UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $3.0K → $6.8K · 40s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $3.6K
6hLegacy · $852
24hFURIA · $28.3K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current64.0¢
VWAP 24h42.9¢▲ above by 21.2pp
VWAP 7d42.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$19.3K
60¢
← now
$4.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.5K
45¢
$7.3K
40¢
$7.9K
35¢
$119.6K
30¢
$133
25¢
$51
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLegacy$12.1K@ 39.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy$10.9K@ 39.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cFURIA$37.3K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·15 fills
CORGI8Legacy$20.1K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·2 fills
RN1FURIA$13.8K
BUY VWAP 51.7¢·5 fills
vjnnLegacy$10.9K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.