Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?

● quote just now
SportsCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $658.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $885.4KEvent: FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
3.1¢
YES
96.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets100execution99priority0data 88%💡 3 smart
24h sample:51 trades$797.3K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 90%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $783.2K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$783.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$587.1K@ 97¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$6
6h
−$652.7K
tracked
$797.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: NO · $783.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 26 minutes old.
  • Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

If FK Bodø/Glimt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If FK Bodø/Glimt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $46.0K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $159 gross
0xdce0…2daf2 linked markets · $8 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 96.9¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY NO@ 96.9¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 96.7¢6h ago
15m STALLED -0.1pp1h STALLED +0.1pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY NO@ 96.7¢6h ago
15m STALLED -0.1pp1h STALLED +0.1pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hNO · $6
6hNO · $652.7K
24hNO · $797.1K

YES price VWAP

Current3.1¢
VWAP 24h3.1¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d3.1¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$799.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNO$587.1K@ 97.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYNO$49.8K@ 96.9¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYNO$13.3K@ 96.8¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 6 hours ago
BUYNO$57.9K@ 96.5¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 11 hours ago
BUYNO$20.5K@ 96.4¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62No$782.1K
BUY VWAP 96.9¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.