Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?

● quote just now
SportsCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $401.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $246.8KEvent: Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma
45.5¢
YES
54.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly17direction0wallets33execution93priority0data 72%💡 1 smart
24h sample:91 trades$68.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 50s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$22.9K@ 45¢·bardeen

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$232
6h
+$18.7K
tracked
$68.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: YES · $7.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 16:45 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 46.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $232
6hYES · $18.7K
24hYES · $64.8K

YES price VWAP

Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h45.3¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d45.3¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$66.6K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYES$22.9K@ 45.0¢
bardeen0xcfeb…e8f0
🐋about 6 hours ago
BUYYES$11.0K@ 45.0¢
bardeen0xcfeb…e8f0
🐋about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bardeenYes$33.8K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.