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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $18.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
51.0¢
1WIN
49.0¢
B8
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:136 trades$520.6K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 59s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:1WIN · $48.1K net·7 wallets·$48.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYB8$112.0K@ 56¢·110thst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

B8 pressure: $163.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$163.8K
6h
−$299.7K
tracked
$520.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: 1WIN · $48.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 88% · priority 72

Since latest position change: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 8.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from B8 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 20:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against B8.

•This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against 1WIN.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between 1WIN and B8 in the PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against B8. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against 1WIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 14m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY 1WIN@ 45.0¢36m ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY B8@ 56.0¢45m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY B8@ 56.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY B8@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 1WIN; negative values favor B8. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hB8 · $163.8K
6hB8 · $299.7K
24hB8 · $304.6K

1WIN price VWAP

Volume-weighted 1WIN price. B8 fills are converted to the complementary 1WIN probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h44.4¢▲ above by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d44.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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1WIN price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$104
45¢
$130.2K
40¢
$390.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYB8$112.0K@ 56.0¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYB8$56.0K@ 56.0¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYB8$56.0K@ 56.0¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYB8$62.2K@ 56.0¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYB8$62.2K@ 56.0¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUY1WIN$13.5K@ 45.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYB8$11.2K@ 56.0¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUY1WIN$18.4K@ 46.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUY1WIN$13.5K@ 45.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYB8$12.0K@ 53.0¢
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

110thstB8$383.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·11 fills
Diabolical-Prize1WIN$45.4K
BUY VWAP 45.4¢·3 fills
0x29b5…cc6c1WIN$36.4K
BUY VWAP 44.9¢·17 fills
lllllllIlllB8$12.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.