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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $144.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $112.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
52.5¢
Sinners
47.5¢
Nuclear TigeRES
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection51Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$57.9K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nuclear TigeRES · $36.1K net·2 wallets·$36.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNuclear TigeRES$13.8K@ 46¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Nuclear TigeRES SETUP
What the tape says

Nuclear TigeRES pressure: $29.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$29.7K
6h
−$56.0K
tracked
$57.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nuclear TigeRES · $36.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 73

Since latest large flow: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nuclear TigeRES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against Nuclear TigeRES.

•This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Sinners.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Sinners and Nuclear TigeRES in the 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nuclear TigeRES@ 46.0¢37m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Nuclear TigeRES@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sinners; negative values favor Nuclear TigeRES. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuclear TigeRES · $29.7K
6hNuclear TigeRES · $56.0K
24hNuclear TigeRES · $54.2K

Sinners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sinners price. Nuclear TigeRES fills are converted to the complementary Sinners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h54.2¢▼ below by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d54.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sinners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$17.7K
50¢
← now
$40.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNuclear TigeRES$13.8K@ 46.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—14 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cNuclear TigeRES$34.3K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·7 fills
Diabolical-PrizeNuclear TigeRES$14.9K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.