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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $121.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $67.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
45.5¢
MOUZ
54.5¢
Team Falcons
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly18Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets74Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$62.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 91%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $27.3K net·4 wallets·$36.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$15.9K@ 54¢·itwillallbeok

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$334
6h
+$13.4K
tracked
$62.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: MOUZ · $27.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between MOUZ and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 46.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 55.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $334
6hMOUZ · $13.4K
24hMOUZ · $4.9K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h46.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d46.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$62.0K
40¢
$50
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Falcons$15.9K@ 54.0¢
itwillallbeok0x8e74…5972
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cMOUZ$30.2K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·6 fills
itwillallbeokTeam Falcons$15.9K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.