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US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $122.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $631.5KEvent: US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley
71.5¢
Martin Landaluce
28.5¢
Jacob Fearnley
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:133 trades$299.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jacob Fearnley · $17.0K net·10 wallets(2🐋)·$167.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJacob Fearnley$87.5K@ 47¢·beachboy4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Jacob Fearnley pressure: $13.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.3K
6h
+$14.3K
tracked
$299.2K

10 verified profitable wallets: Jacob Fearnley · $17.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 87% · priority 43

Since latest large flow: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jacob Fearnley or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Jacob Fearnley in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Martin Landaluce@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +3.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Jacob Fearnley@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jacob Fearnley@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
Latest book event: Martin Landaluce DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $5.2K → $3.8K · 61s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martin Landaluce; negative values favor Jacob Fearnley. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJacob Fearnley · $13.3K
6hMartin Landaluce · $14.3K
24hJacob Fearnley · $3.2K

Martin Landaluce price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martin Landaluce price. Jacob Fearnley fills are converted to the complementary Martin Landaluce probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h56.1¢▲ above by 15.4pp
VWAP 7d56.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Martin Landaluce price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$8
70¢
← now
$14.6K
65¢
$14.7K
60¢
$27.9K
55¢
$24.6K
50¢
$217.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMartin Landaluce$11.0K@ 73.0¢
Ilgato0xbdc3…c0ea
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMartin Landaluce$43.8K@ 54.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJacob Fearnley$87.5K@ 47.0¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJacob Fearnley$14.2K@ 49.0¢
justwins0xa2cc…0cbc
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beachboy4Jacob Fearnley$87.5K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Martin Landaluce$43.8K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
NiNo999Jacob Fearnley$24.2K
BUY VWAP 42.5¢·5 fills
TRCMMartin Landaluce$17.2K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·3 fills
tradecraftMartin Landaluce$16.8K
BUY VWAP 55.9¢·3 fills
justwinsJacob Fearnley$14.2K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
flatbarrelMartin Landaluce$12.2K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·3 fills
IlgatoMartin Landaluce$11.0K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.