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US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Lois Boisson

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $126.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $458.4KEvent: US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Lois Boisson
95.0¢
Emma Navarro
5.0¢
Lois Boisson
1.7¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:116 trades$217.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Emma Navarro · $8.8K net·7 wallets·$34.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEmma Navarro$60.6K@ 80¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Emma Navarro pressure: $8.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$8.0K
6h
−$2.3K
tracked
$217.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: Emma Navarro · $8.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.7¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest position change: -16.2pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Emma Navarro or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Lois Boisson in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Lois Boisson. This market will resolve to 'Lois Boisson' if Lois Boisson advances against Emma Navarro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Emma Navarro1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Emma Navarro1h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGESELL Emma Navarro@ 78.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.9pp
LARGE FLOWSELL Emma Navarro@ 81.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -14.9pp
Latest book event: Emma Navarro UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $3.8K → $13.7K · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Emma Navarro; negative values favor Lois Boisson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEmma Navarro · $8.0K
6hLois Boisson · $2.3K
24hLois Boisson · $1.4K

Emma Navarro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Emma Navarro price. Lois Boisson fills are converted to the complementary Emma Navarro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current95.0¢
VWAP 24h72.4¢▲ above by 22.6pp
VWAP 7d72.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Emma Navarro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.1K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$2.3K
80¢
$60.6K
75¢
$8.9K
70¢
$20.6K
65¢
$56.3K
60¢
$59.2K
55¢
$39
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEmma Navarro$60.6K@ 80.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYEmma Navarro$50.0K@ 69.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLois Boisson$15.0K@ 37.5¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Emma Navarro$59.0K
BUY VWAP 68.2¢·2 fills
AGUGavaLois Boisson$15.0K
BUY VWAP 37.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.