Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 75% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Cina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cina."
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Michelsen can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Cina."
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Federico Cina in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Cina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cina." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Michelsen can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Cina." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Michelsen price VWAP
Largest holders
Michelsen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.