Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Geopolitics→Closes: about 1 monthLiquidity: $351.9K24h Vol: $13.9M

6.0¢

YES

94.0¢

95.1¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 3 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:655 trades10% YES90% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 92%·12 wallets(5🐋)·$171.0K

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$134.0K@ 96¢·Spas12

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$0

6h$2.0K

24h$72.9K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current6.0¢

VWAP 24h87.6¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d92.0¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$722.4K

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢