Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
12.5¢
YES
87.5¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
Loading orderbook…
Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax
Net Order Flow
Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.
Top Holders · 30d
Loading…
Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)
95¢
$548.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$05¢
$0
0¢
$40.5K
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Accumulation
Loading…
Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
Related Markets · Geopolitics
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2.5¢$47.1M29
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.0¢$33.6M0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
99.9¢$31.9M0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6.3¢$31.8M6
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity