Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6.6¢
YES
93.3¢
NO
85.1¢
Spread
conv11Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge6Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom2Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 2 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:852 trades25% YES75% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·11 wallets(2🐋)·$122.4K
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
Loading orderbook…
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax
Net Order Flow
Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.1h$563
6h$6.9K
24h$17.9K
VWAP vs Price
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.Current6.6¢
VWAP 24h72.0¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d89.5¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.
Top Holders · 30d
Loading…
Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)
95¢
$0
90¢
$3.9M
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$243.4K0¢
$0
VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Accumulation
Loading…
Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
Related Markets · Geopolitics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
99.9¢$138.4M0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
12.5¢$42.9M0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4.0¢$39.4M4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
27.0¢$28.1M4
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d