← Wallets

Elias.Thornwell

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

$-3725
Real PnL
-47.9%
ROI
$21.0K
Volume
$7.8K
Invested
5.1%
YES Bias
59
Trades (DB)
86/89
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity β€” large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:19 marketsΒ·current value $24.7KΒ·377 closed
PnL by Market (396)19 open377 closed
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
$-1022
● open No Β· $1.0Kin $1.0Kunreal +$1
● open No Β· $2.3Kin $656unreal +$62
● open No Β· $3.1Kout $71unreal +$402
● open No Β· $1.2Kin $469unreal +$4
● open No Β· $6.1Kin $846unreal +$419
● open No Β· $1.0Kin $350unreal +$2
● open No Β· $410in $24unreal $-184
● open No Β· $500in $67unreal $-86
● open No Β· $182in $4unreal $-98
● open No Β· $1.2Kin $21unreal +$93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
+$27
● open Yes Β· $839in $41unreal +$67
● open No Β· $780in $35unreal +$12
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
+$4
● open Yes Β· $119in $0unreal +$4
● open No Β· $589in $35unreal +$31
Trump out as President by April 30?
$-253
● closedin $253
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
$-120
● closedin $120
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
$-114
● closedin $114
● closedin $101out $193
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
+$92
● closedout $92
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be LΓ‘szlΓ³ Toroczkai?
$-88
● closedin $88
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
+$86
● closedout $86
● closedin $125out $48
Will TrαΊ§n CαΊ©m TΓΊ be the next President of Vietnam?
$-70
● closedin $70
● closedin $58out $116
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$-56
● closedin $56
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
$-53
● closedin $53
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
$-52
● closedin $52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
$-47
● closedin $47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-46
● closedin $46
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
+$43
● closedin $43out $86
● closedin $84out $126
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
+$36
● closedin $5out $41
Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
$-36
● closedin $36
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
$-35
● closedin $35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
+$35
● closedout $35
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
+$33
● closedout $33
● closedout $32
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
$-31
● closedin $31
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
$-30
● closedin $30
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
$-28
● closedin $28
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-28
● closedin $28
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-27
● closedin $27
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
$-26
● closedin $26
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$-25
● closedin $25
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
$-24
● closedin $24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
$-24
● closedin $24
Will Franck Keller be the next mayor of Le Havre?
+$23
● closedout $23
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$-23
● closedin $23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
$-22
● closedin $22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-21
● closedin $21
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86Β°F or higher on March 28?
+$19
● closedout $19
Will Γ‰ric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-19
● closedin $19
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-18
● closedin $18
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
$-18
● closedin $18
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?
$-18
● closedin $18
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will SΓ©amas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
$-17
● closedin $17
Will Eoghan Γ“ CeannabhΓ‘in win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-16
● closedin $16
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
$-16
● closedin $16
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
+$16
● closedin $108out $124
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85Β°F on March 28?
+$15
● closedout $15
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
+$15
● closedin $14out $29
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
+$15
● closedin $11out $26
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?
+$15
● closedout $15
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
$-15
● closedin $15
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
$-14
● closedin $14
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
+$14
● closedout $14
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
$-14
● closedin $14
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
$-14
● closedin $14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
$-14
● closedin $14
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
$-14
● closedin $14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
$-13
● closedin $13
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$-13
● closedin $13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-13
● closedin $13
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
+$13
● closedout $13
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
$-12
● closedin $12
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
+$12
● closedin $60out $72
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-12
● closedin $12
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
$-11
● closedin $11
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
$-11
● closedin $11
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
$-11
● closedin $11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
+$10
● closedout $10
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat Vitality
$-10
● closedin $10
Will ClΓ©mentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-10
● closedin $10
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-10
● closedin $10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
$-10
● closedin $14out $4
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
$-10
● closedin $10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-10
● closedin $10
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
$-10
● closedin $10
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
$-10
● closedin $10
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80Β°F or higher on March 28?
+$9
● closedout $9
Will YaΓ«l Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will FranΓ§ois Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
$-9
● closedin $9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
$-8
● closedin $8
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
$-8
● closedin $8
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$-7
● closedin $7
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$7
● closedout $7
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?
$-7
● closedin $7
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
$-6
● closedin $6
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
+$6
● closedout $6
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will Scotland win on 2026-03-28?
+$6
● closedout $6
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
+$6
● closedin $2out $7
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will AnΕΎe Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
+$6
● closedout $6
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83Β°F on March 28?
+$6
● closedout $6
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
$-6
● closedin $6
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$-6
● closedin $6
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Duke win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47Β°F or below on March 29?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
+$5
● closedout $5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
+$5
● closedout $5
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Team Spirit win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Aurora Gaming win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
● closedout $5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9Β°C on March 29?
+$5
● closedout $5
Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
+$5
● closedout $5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89Β°F on March 27?
+$5
● closedout $5
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Alexandre Sarr lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Γ‰lisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will FranΓ§ois Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Trump meet with Delcy RodrΓ­guez by March 31?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will TCU win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Charles Lee win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67Β°F on March 29?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$-5
● closedin $5
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
$-5
● closedin $5
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Russia enter Borova by April 30?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
$-5
● closedin $5
● closedin $5
Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Charlotte Boulogne be the next mayor of Le Havre?
+$5
● closedout $5
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?
+$5
● closedin $2out $6
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Iran Nuke before 2027?
+$5
● closedout $5
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
$-5
● closedin $5
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
+$5
● closedout $5
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
$-5
● closedin $5
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
+$4
● closedout $4
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
$-4
● closedin $4
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
+$4
● closedout $4
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
$-4
● closedin $4
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Janez JanΕ‘a be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
+$4
● closedin $2out $6
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
+$4
● closedout $4
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
+$4
● closedout $4
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
+$4
● closedin $3out $7
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
$-4
● closedin $4
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
$-4
● closedin $4
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
$-4
● closedin $4
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
$-4
● closedin $4
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
$-3
● closedin $3
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
$-3
● closedin $3
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$-3
● closedin $3
Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
+$3
● closedin $6out $9
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
$-3
● closedin $3
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
+$3
● closedout $3
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
$-3
● closedin $3
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
$-3
● closedin $3
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
$-2
● closedin $2
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
$-2
● closedin $2
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Γ‰douard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$2
● closedout $2
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
$-2
● closedin $2
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
+$2
● closedout $2
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
+$2
● closedout $2
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$-2
● closedin $2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
$-2
● closedin $2
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
$-1
● closedin $1
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?
$-1
● closedin $1
● closedout $1
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will NicolΓ‘s Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
+$1
● closedout $1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
+$1
● closedout $1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be IstvΓ‘n KapitΓ‘ny?
+$1
● closedout $1
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
+$1
● closedout $1
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will Trump meet with NicolΓ‘s Maduro in March 2026?
$-1
● closedin $1
Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?
$-1
● closedin $1
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
+$1
● closedin $7out $7
Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
$-0
● closedin $0
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
+$0
● closedin $5out $5
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?
+$0
● closedin $8out $9
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?
+$0
● closedin $5out $5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
$-0
● closedin $0
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
$-0
● closedin $0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73Β°F on March 28?
+$0
● closedin $5out $5
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
$-0
● closedin $2out $2
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$0
● closedin $16out $16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79Β°F on March 28?
+$0
● closedin $5out $5
Recent Trades (20)
NO$84@ 99.5Β’Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?1 day ago
NO$5@ 65.0Β’Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?1 day ago
NO$12@ 96.4Β’Iran leadership change by March 31?1 day ago

Trading Activity Β· 90d

11 active days

Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$1.8K55%6/11
Crypto
$657β€”0/0
Politics
$62430%6/20
Sports
$17333%9/27
Finance
$400%0/1
Entry Timing Before Resolution
6h–1d
1 betsunresolved0/0
1d–7d
23 betsunresolved0/0
+3
>7d
278 betsunresolved0/0
+258
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