Elias.Thornwell

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

$6.1M

Official volume · all time

5.1%

Observed YES share · 30d

Observed fills · 30d

$21.0K

Observed flow · 30d

whale0Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill

Recent Trades (20)

NO$181@ 92.2¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?about 22 hours ago

NO$2@ 13.0¢Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?about 22 hours ago

NO$396@ 98.6¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?about 22 hours ago

YES$6@ 59.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?about 22 hours ago

YES$10@ 85.8¢Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?about 22 hours ago

YES$13@ 81.1¢Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?about 22 hours ago

NO$4@ 73.0¢Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?about 22 hours ago

YES$23@ 60.0¢Fed rate hike in 2026?about 22 hours ago

NO$22@ 96.4¢Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?about 22 hours ago

NO$18@ 92.4¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2 days ago

YES$476@ 55.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?2 days ago

NO$22@ 98.5¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?2 days ago

NO$2@ 13.0¢Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?2 days ago

YES$199@ 65.0¢Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?2 days ago

YES$37@ 59.0¢Fed rate hike in 2026?2 days ago

NO$7@ 99.9¢Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?3 days ago

NO$31@ 92.6¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3 days ago

NO$7@ 99.9¢Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?3 days ago

NO$7@ 99.9¢Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?3 days ago

NO$7@ 99.9¢Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?3 days ago

Trading Activity · 90d

22 active days

Entry Timing Before Resolution

<6h

1 bets100%1/1

6h–1d

1 bets0%0/1

1d–7d

6 bets67%4/6

>7d

200 bets72%18/25

+180

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