Crampus
0xa416a5c03381c90b94e4c1881b0494281e3e025e
$-13573
Real PnL
-19.6%
ROI
$49.9K
Volume
$69.2K
Invested
42.9%
YES Bias
14
Trades (DB)
6/10
Markets Won
whale7Whale Activity ā large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:8 marketsĀ·current value $26.7KĀ·8 closed
PnL by Market (16)8 open8 closed
ā open No Ā· $14.5Kin $15.8Kunreal $-1268
ā open Yes Ā· $7.7Kin $6.6Kunreal +$1.1K
Iran leadership change by December 31?
ā open Yes Ā· $2.7Kin $7.2Kout $5.0Kunreal +$248
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
ā open Yes Ā· $548out $1.1Kunreal $-53
ā open Yes Ā· $568in $501unreal +$68
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
ā open No Ā· $95in $107unreal $-12
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
ā open Yes Ā· $125in $28unreal $-21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
ā open Yes Ā· $404in $90unreal +$74
ā closedin $6.1Kout $13.5K
ā closedin $5.9Kout $9.4K
ā closedin $1.7Kout $1.2K
ā closedin $259out $128
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
ā closedin $484out $512
Iran leadership change by May 31?
ā closedin $272out $293
Iran leadership change by June 30?
ā closedin $4out $5
ā closedin $24.3Kout $24.3K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? āopen NoĀ· $14.5K | $15.8K | $0 | $-1268 | 18 | $-17084 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? āopen YesĀ· $7.7K | $6.6K | $0 | +$1.1K | 53 | $-5458 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? āopen YesĀ· $2.7K | $7.2K | $5.0K | +$248 | 34 | $-1875 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? āopen YesĀ· $548 | $0 | $1.1K | $-53 | 193 | +$1.1K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? āopen YesĀ· $568 | $501 | $0 | +$68 | 6 | $-433 |
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? āopen NoĀ· $95 | $107 | $0 | $-12 | 1 | $-118 |
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? āopen YesĀ· $125 | $28 | $0 | $-21 | 2 | $-48 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? āopen YesĀ· $404 | $90 | $0 | +$74 | 11 | $-15 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ā closed | $6.1K | $13.5K | ā | 38 | +$7.4K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ā closed | $5.9K | $9.4K | ā | 7 | +$3.5K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ā closed | $1.7K | $1.2K | ā | 26 | $-449 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ā closed | $259 | $128 | ā | 51 | $-131 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? ā closed | $484 | $512 | ā | 3 | +$28 |
Iran leadership change by May 31? ā closed | $272 | $293 | ā | 14 | +$21 |
Iran leadership change by June 30? ā closed | $4 | $5 | ā | 3 | +$1 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ā closed | $24.3K | $24.3K | ā | 10 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (15)
Trading Activity Ā· 90d
7 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$36.8K50%2/4
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1dā7d
2 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
13 betsunresolved0/0
Related Wallets Ā· same markets (30d)