simplystupid188
0x682c92615993fd1f75cdfe101efdc1a8adcb17ae
$-294
Real PnL
-34.2%
ROI
$54
Volume
$858
Invested
100.0%
YES Bias
12
Trades (DB)
25/41
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:3 markets·current value $66·84 closed
PnL by Market (87)3 open84 closed
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● open Yes · $30in $2unreal $-4
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● open Yes · $14in $0unreal +$3
● open Yes · $23in $2unreal +$1
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
● closedin $50out $6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
● closedin $37
● closedout $29
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● closedin $28
● closedin $17out $45
● closedin $25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
● closedin $24
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● closedin $7out $29
● closedin $22out $0
● closedin $21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
● closedin $19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● closedout $19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedout $17
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
● closedin $16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● closedin $29out $14
● closedin $15
● closedin $15
● closedout $15
● closedin $15
● closedin $48out $60
● closedin $12out $24
● closedin $16out $5
● closedout $11
● closedin $10
● closedout $10
● closedin $10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● closedin $10out $19
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedin $9
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
● closedin $9
● closedin $57out $48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
● closedin $10out $1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $9
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $8
● closedin $8
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● closedin $8
Iran leadership change by April 30?
● closedin $7
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
● closedin $7
● closedin $21out $14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
● closedin $9out $15
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
● closedin $7
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
● closedin $6
● closedin $1out $7
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
● closedin $6
● closedin $10out $4
● closedin $22out $27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
● closedin $5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
● closedin $5
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● closedin $5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
● closedout $5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
● closedin $4
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
● closedout $4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $4
● closedin $13out $17
● closedin $6out $3
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
● closedin $3
● closedin $3
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● closedin $3
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
● closedin $3
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
● closedin $3
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
● closedin $2
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● closedin $2
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● closedin $0out $3
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● closedin $30out $28
● closedin $36out $34
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
● closedin $2
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
● closedin $2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
● closedin $2
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● closedin $0out $2
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● closedin $2out $0
● closedin $5out $4
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● closedout $1
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
● closedin $3out $4
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
● closedin $3out $2
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
● closedout $1
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $0
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
● closedin $6out $5
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
● closedin $0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
● closedin $0
● closedin $1out $0
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
● closedin $1out $1
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $29out $29
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ●open Yes· $30 | $2 | $0 | $-4 | 5 | $-5 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ●open Yes· $14 | $0 | $0 | +$3 | 3 | +$2 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ●open Yes· $23 | $2 | $0 | +$1 | 3 | $-1 |
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? ● closed | $50 | $6 | — | 8 | $-45 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? ● closed | $37 | $0 | — | 5 | $-37 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $29 | — | 3 | +$29 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ● closed | $28 | $0 | — | 5 | $-28 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ● closed | $17 | $45 | — | 11 | +$28 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? ● closed | $25 | $0 | — | 4 | $-25 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? ● closed | $24 | $0 | — | 4 | $-24 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $7 | $29 | — | 8 | +$22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $22 | $0 | — | 4 | $-21 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $21 | $0 | — | 4 | $-21 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? ● closed | $19 | $0 | — | 5 | $-19 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ● closed | $0 | $19 | — | 4 | +$19 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $17 | — | 4 | +$17 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? ● closed | $16 | $0 | — | 2 | $-16 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ● closed | $29 | $14 | — | 11 | $-16 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ● closed | $15 | $0 | — | 3 | $-15 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $15 | $0 | — | 9 | $-15 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $15 | — | 2 | +$15 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? ● closed | $15 | $0 | — | 3 | $-15 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ● closed | $48 | $60 | — | 34 | +$12 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $12 | $24 | — | 14 | +$12 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? ● closed | $16 | $5 | — | 3 | $-11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ● closed | $0 | $11 | — | 5 | +$11 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $10 | $0 | — | 4 | $-10 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $10 | — | 3 | +$10 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? ● closed | $10 | $0 | — | 2 | $-10 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $10 | $19 | — | 9 | +$9 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $9 | $0 | — | 5 | $-9 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? ● closed | $9 | $0 | — | 2 | $-9 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ● closed | $57 | $48 | — | 26 | $-9 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? ● closed | $10 | $1 | — | 4 | $-9 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $9 | $0 | — | 6 | $-9 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $8 | $0 | — | 2 | $-8 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $8 | $0 | — | 7 | $-8 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $8 | $0 | — | 12 | $-8 |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ● closed | $8 | $0 | — | 5 | $-8 |
Iran leadership change by April 30? ● closed | $7 | $0 | — | 1 | $-7 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? ● closed | $7 | $0 | — | 1 | $-7 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ● closed | $21 | $14 | — | 5 | $-7 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $9 | $15 | — | 9 | +$7 |
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? ● closed | $7 | $0 | — | 6 | $-7 |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $6 | $0 | — | 8 | $-6 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ● closed | $1 | $7 | — | 7 | +$6 |
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? ● closed | $6 | $0 | — | 5 | $-6 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $10 | $4 | — | 8 | $-6 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? ● closed | $22 | $27 | — | 15 | +$5 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $5 | $0 | — | 2 | $-5 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? ● closed | $5 | $0 | — | 1 | $-5 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ● closed | $5 | $0 | — | 1 | $-5 |
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $5 | — | 3 | +$5 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? ● closed | $4 | $0 | — | 3 | $-4 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $0 | $4 | — | 5 | +$4 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $4 | $0 | — | 2 | $-4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ● closed | $13 | $17 | — | 14 | +$4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? ● closed | $6 | $3 | — | 8 | $-3 |
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 2 | $-3 |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 10 | $-3 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 1 | $-3 |
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 2 | $-3 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 2 | $-3 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 6 | $-3 |
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 16 | $-2 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 5 | $-2 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ● closed | $0 | $3 | — | 3 | +$2 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ● closed | $30 | $28 | — | 11 | $-2 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ● closed | $36 | $34 | — | 16 | $-2 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 3 | $-2 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 1 | $-2 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 2 | $-2 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $2 | — | 2 | +$2 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ● closed | $2 | $0 | — | 5 | $-1 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $5 | $4 | — | 5 | $-1 |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 5 | +$1 |
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $3 | $4 | — | 8 | +$1 |
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? ● closed | $3 | $2 | — | 3 | $-1 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 2 | +$1 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | $-0 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? ● closed | $6 | $5 | — | 11 | $-0 |
Will France win Eurovision 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | $-0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | $-0 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $0 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 4 | +$0 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 5 | +$0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $29 | $29 | — | 8 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
12 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
17 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
256 betsunresolved0/0
+236
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