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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Geopolitics→Closes: 6 monthsLiquidity: $253.4K24h Vol: $18.7M
9.0¢
YES
90.0¢
NO
79.0¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:50 trades2% 🐋0% YES100% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·2 wallets(2🐋)·$58.6K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$65.6K@ 89¢·Llalalala

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h$295
24h$46.6K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current9.0¢
VWAP 24h89.9¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d78.8¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$327.8K
85¢
$323.9K
80¢
$5.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$7.1K
10¢
$113.6K
5¢
← now
$13.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$45.0K@ 90.0¢
Llalalala0x05e2…6e12
🐋+1.1%1 day ago
NO$20.0K@ 91.0¢0x4cd4…5b25🐋+0.0%3 days ago
NO$15.0K@ 91.0¢0x4cd4…5b25🐋+0.0%6 days ago
NO$13.7K@ 91.0¢
MEPP0x6d9f…9790
🐋+0.0%7 days ago
NO$33.0K@ 90.0¢0xc67c…9ad5🐋+1.1%11 days ago
NO$49.4K@ 90.0¢
stupid220x8afa…adb6
🐋+1.1%13 days ago
NO$11.0K@ 90.0¢
Llalalala0x05e2…6e12
🐋+1.1%13 days ago
NO$65.6K@ 89.0¢
Llalalala0x05e2…6e12
🐋+2.2%15 days ago
NO$12.0K@ 87.0¢0xa9e6…1dc2🐋+4.6%17 days ago
NO$26.5K@ 87.0¢0xa9e6…1dc2🐋+4.6%18 days ago
NO$11.2K@ 87.0¢0x60f7…050b🐋+4.6%21 days ago
NO$11.6K@ 86.0¢0xc254…3f73🐋+5.8%25 days ago
NO$18.1K@ 84.2¢0xe899…0899🐋+8.1%about 1 month ago

Related Markets · Geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
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US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
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12.5¢$42.9M0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14.0¢$38.6M0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5.7¢$36.8M33
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
LlalalalaNO$45.0K
MEPPNO$13.7K