PnL by Market (77)47 open30 closed
US recession by end of 2026?
● open No · $4.5Kin $1.3Kout $13.5Kunreal $-653
● open No · $4.9Kin $11.5Kout $7.2Kunreal +$369
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
● open No · $583out $3.9Kunreal +$5
● open No · $3.9Kin $3.7Kunreal +$196
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
● open No · $8.2Kin $2.7Kunreal +$110
● open No · $1.2Kin $98out $2.3Kunreal +$37
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
● open No · $1.5Kin $1.5Kunreal $-500
● open No · $9.6Kin $3.4Kout $1.7Kunreal $-199
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
● open No · $1.7Kout $1.7Kunreal +$9
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
● open No · $1.5Kin $1.5Kunreal +$38
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
● open No · $551out $1.2Kunreal +$12
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?
● open No · $1.6Kin $1.4Kunreal +$219
● open No · $1.4Kin $1.3Kunreal +$143
● open No · $992out $1.1Kunreal +$37
● open No · $1.0Kin $3.0Kout $1.9Kunreal +$169
● open No · $935in $910unreal +$25
● open No · $842in $792unreal +$50
● open No · $781in $752unreal +$29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
● open No · $700in $688unreal +$12
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March?
● open No · $750in $708unreal +$43
● open No · $648in $633unreal +$15
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $1.9Kin $752unreal +$151
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
● open Yes · $811in $524unreal +$17
● open Yes · $604in $552unreal +$52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?
● open No · $497in $495unreal +$2
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?
● open No · $122in $873out $529unreal $-36
● open Yes · $84in $520out $264unreal $-111
● open No · $461in $411unreal +$50
● open No · $644in $488unreal +$156
● open Yes · $411in $354unreal +$57
● open Yes · $173in $335out $86unreal $-28
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March?
● open No · $406in $339unreal +$67
● open No · $282in $267unreal +$15
● open No · $388in $514out $546unreal +$215
● open No · $2.8Kin $1.3Kout $45unreal +$1.4K
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
● open No · $395out $115unreal +$85
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $332out $188unreal +$11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 Week of March 30 2026?
● open No · $143in $140unreal +$3
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?
● open No · $213in $173unreal +$40
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?
● open No · $139in $135unreal +$4
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
● open No · $160out $75unreal +$8
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $3.0Kin $535out $43unreal +$419
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?
● open No · $76in $72unreal +$4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?
● open Yes · $73in $64unreal +$10
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $58out $49unreal $-2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?
● open Down · $0in $17unreal $-17
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?
● open No · $8in $8unreal +$1
● closedin $12.5Kout $25.7K
● closedout $2.3K
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
● closedin $4.8Kout $2.5K
● closedin $159out $2.0K
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
● closedin $1.5Kout $709
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?
● closedin $1.2Kout $735
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
● closedout $300
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
● closedin $790out $1.0K
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
● closedin $308out $166
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.5K
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $190?
● closedin $797out $910
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
● closedin $288out $400
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
● closedin $380out $489
● closedin $328out $256
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
● closedin $791out $850
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $170?
● closedin $307out $355
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
● closedin $552out $600
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.1K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedout $40
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $190?
● closedin $166out $200
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $185?
● closedin $71out $105
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
● closedin $208out $230
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
● closedout $20
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
● closedin $187out $198
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
● closedin $140out $150
● closedin $160out $170
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?
● closedout $10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $170?
● closedin $232out $237
● closedin $49out $50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $195?
● closedin $5out $5
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US recession by end of 2026? ●open No· $4.5K | $1.3K | $13.5K | $-653 | 15 | +$11.5K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open No· $4.9K | $11.5K | $7.2K | +$369 | 30 | $-3971 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30? ●open No· $583 | $0 | $3.9K | +$5 | 1 | +$3.9K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? ●open No· $3.9K | $3.7K | $0 | +$196 | 2 | $-3544 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? ●open No· $8.2K | $2.7K | $0 | +$110 | 1 | $-2591 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $1.2K | $98 | $2.3K | +$37 | 15 | +$2.2K |
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? ●open No· $1.5K | $1.5K | $0 | $-500 | 6 | $-2000 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? ●open No· $9.6K | $3.4K | $1.7K | $-199 | 18 | $-1939 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? ●open No· $1.7K | $0 | $1.7K | +$9 | 10 | +$1.7K |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026? ●open No· $1.5K | $1.5K | $0 | +$38 | 4 | $-1421 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? ●open No· $551 | $0 | $1.2K | +$12 | 13 | +$1.2K |
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March? ●open No· $1.6K | $1.4K | $0 | +$219 | 10 | $-1184 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $1.4K | $1.3K | $0 | +$143 | 3 | $-1155 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ●open No· $992 | $0 | $1.1K | +$37 | 1 | +$1.1K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ●open No· $1.0K | $3.0K | $1.9K | +$169 | 10 | $-933 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $935 | $910 | $0 | +$25 | 1 | $-885 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? ●open No· $842 | $792 | $0 | +$50 | 1 | $-743 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? ●open No· $781 | $752 | $0 | +$29 | 1 | $-723 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? ●open No· $700 | $688 | $0 | +$12 | 1 | $-676 |
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March? ●open No· $750 | $708 | $0 | +$43 | 4 | $-665 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? ●open No· $648 | $633 | $0 | +$15 | 1 | $-618 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $1.9K | $752 | $0 | +$151 | 2 | $-601 |
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open Yes· $811 | $524 | $0 | +$17 | 4 | $-507 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ●open Yes· $604 | $552 | $0 | +$52 | 1 | $-500 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026? ●open No· $497 | $495 | $0 | +$2 | 5 | $-493 |
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March? ●open No· $122 | $873 | $529 | $-36 | 15 | $-380 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? ●open Yes· $84 | $520 | $264 | $-111 | 6 | $-368 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $461 | $411 | $0 | +$50 | 2 | $-361 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $644 | $488 | $0 | +$156 | 1 | $-332 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open Yes· $411 | $354 | $0 | +$57 | 1 | $-297 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? ●open Yes· $173 | $335 | $86 | $-28 | 11 | $-277 |
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March? ●open No· $406 | $339 | $0 | +$67 | 9 | $-271 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ●open No· $282 | $267 | $0 | +$15 | 5 | $-252 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open No· $388 | $514 | $546 | +$215 | 7 | +$247 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? ●open No· $2.8K | $1.3K | $45 | +$1.4K | 11 | +$223 |
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $395 | $0 | $115 | +$85 | 4 | +$200 |
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $332 | $0 | $188 | +$11 | 1 | +$199 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 Week of March 30 2026? ●open No· $143 | $140 | $0 | +$3 | 2 | $-137 |
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March? ●open No· $213 | $173 | $0 | +$40 | 6 | $-133 |
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March? ●open No· $139 | $135 | $0 | +$4 | 1 | $-131 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? ●open No· $160 | $0 | $75 | +$8 | 2 | +$83 |
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $3.0K | $535 | $43 | +$419 | 21 | $-73 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026? ●open No· $76 | $72 | $0 | +$4 | 1 | $-68 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? ●open Yes· $73 | $64 | $0 | +$10 | 3 | $-54 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $58 | $0 | $49 | $-2 | 1 | +$47 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? ●open Down· $0 | $17 | $0 | $-17 | 2 | $-33 |
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March? ●open No· $8 | $8 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-7 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? ● closed | $12.5K | $25.7K | — | 28 | +$13.1K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $2.3K | — | 1 | +$2.3K |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2? ● closed | $4.8K | $2.5K | — | 24 | $-2312 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? ● closed | $159 | $2.0K | — | 4 | +$1.8K |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? ● closed | $1.5K | $709 | — | 12 | $-763 |
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2? ● closed | $1.2K | $735 | — | 14 | $-417 |
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? ● closed | $0 | $300 | — | 0 | +$300 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? ● closed | $790 | $1.0K | — | 1 | +$210 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? ● closed | $308 | $166 | — | 4 | $-142 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.5K | — | 7 | +$133 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $190? ● closed | $797 | $910 | — | 4 | +$113 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14? ● closed | $288 | $400 | — | 2 | +$112 |
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? ● closed | $380 | $489 | — | 6 | +$109 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? ● closed | $328 | $256 | — | 6 | $-72 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? ● closed | $791 | $850 | — | 5 | +$60 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $170? ● closed | $307 | $355 | — | 2 | +$49 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? ● closed | $552 | $600 | — | 2 | +$48 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.1K | — | 8 | +$41 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $40 | — | 0 | +$40 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $190? ● closed | $166 | $200 | — | 2 | +$34 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $185? ● closed | $71 | $105 | — | 2 | +$34 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? ● closed | $208 | $230 | — | 5 | +$22 |
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? ● closed | $0 | $20 | — | 0 | +$20 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? ● closed | $187 | $198 | — | 9 | +$12 |
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings? ● closed | $140 | $150 | — | 4 | +$11 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? ● closed | $160 | $170 | — | 5 | +$10 |
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $10 | — | 0 | +$10 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $170? ● closed | $232 | $237 | — | 2 | +$5 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? ● closed | $49 | $50 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $195? ● closed | $5 | $5 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (2)
Trading Activity · 90d
2 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$20.3K60%3/5
Politics
$17.4K50%2/4
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
2 betsunresolved0/0
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